PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 17 FOR REMNANTS OF HERMINE NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL102010 1000 PM CDT THU SEP 09 2010 ...FLOODING POTENTIAL DECREASES OVER THE OZARKS INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY STATES...AS REMNANT LOW CENTER OF HERMINE BEGINS TO DISSIPATE... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.7N 95.0W ABOUT 25 MILES...45 KM...E OF CHANUTE/MARTIN JOHN KANSAS. ABOUT 120 MILES...193 KM...SSW OF KANSAS CITY MISSOURI. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...10 MPH...19 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS...FLOOD WATCHES AND ADVISORIES...REMAIN IN EFFECT OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS...AS WELL AS PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN AND SOUTHERN TEXAS. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF REMNANTS OF HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.7 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST. THE REMNANT LOW CENTER OF HERMINE IS DISSIPATING OVER EASTERN KANSAS. POTENTIAL OF FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS...SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI...EXTREME WESTERN KENTUCKY AND NORTHWESTERN TENNESSEE INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 10 MPH...19 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS ------- RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY FROM SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI...NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS INTO WESTERN KENTUCKY AND WESTERN TENNESSEE. RAINFALL TOTALS --------------- SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 9 PM CDT ...ARKANSAS... HARRISON 6.57 CLARKSVILLE 1.7 N 4.03 WALNUT RIDGE RGNL ARPT 3.60 JASPER 2.1 NW 3.50 LAMAR 5.7 NNE 3.36 FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE FIELD 3.23 SPRINGDALE 5.8 ENE 3.04 BUSCH 0.4 E 2.80 EUREKA SPRINGS 0.5 N 2.78 PEA RIDGE 0.2 WSW 2.52 MAGAZINE 3.0 NNW 2.52 BENTONVILLE 0.6 W 2.48 WESTERN GROVE 0.1 SSE 2.40 DECATUR 2.6 ESE 2.38 BELLA VISTA 2.0 E 2.33 ...KANSAS... HUMBOLDT 4.6 ESE 2.26 IOLA 2.7 SSE 2.18 ...MISSOURI... NOEL 3.7 NNW 4.40 WEST PLAINS MUNI ARPT 2.62 SELIGMAN 3.0 N 2.53 JOPLIN RGNL ARPT 2.36 KIMBERLING CITY 1.5 WNW 2.35 SHELL KNOB 5.6 ESE 2.22 GALENA 2.4 NW 2.10 EMERALD BEACH 3.0 S 2.08 SPRINGFIELD MUNI ARPT 1.88 ...OKLAHOMA... EUFAULA 4.6 ENE 10.35 PURCELL 6.7 W 6.14 BOWLEGS 5.17 HOLDENVILLE 5.12 TECUMSEH 0.4 ESE 5.05 NOBLE 3.3 SE 4.64 NORMAN 10.9 ESE 4.50 ADA 0.3 NNW 4.50 SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 3.95 ETOWAH 5.9 NNW 3.91 TULSA 6.0 SSW 3.71 MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 3.54 ...TEXAS... GEORGETOWN 15.62 FRISCO 1.9 N 14.82 ANDERSON MILL 1.4 NW 13.19 JOLLYVILLE 2.1 SSW 13.14 CEDAR PARK 1.0 ESE 12.99 LEANDER 2.5 ESE 12.71 KILLEEN 2.9 SSW 12.38 AUSTIN 10.7 N 11.95 BRUSHY CREEK 1.4 S 11.87 WEST LAKE HILLS 2.4 NNW 11.69 FORT WORTH 5.4 SSW 7.48 SAN ANTONIO/STINSON MUNI ARPT 6.73 HOUSTON 1.4 NE 4.47 CORPUS CHRISTI NAS 3.17 NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM. FORECASTER KONG FORECAST POSITIONS ------------------ INITIAL 10/0300Z 37.7N 95.0W 12HR VT 10/1200Z 37.4N 90.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPICAL