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Remnants of BONNIE Advisory Number 20
 
Issued 15:00Z Jun 01, 2016
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  23   22   21   20   19   18   17   16   15   14   13   


POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
1100 AM EDT WED JUN 01 2016

...CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE MEANDERING OFF CAPE FEAR
NORTH CAROLINA...HEAVY RAIN THREAT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY IN
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.4N 76.6W
ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...SE OF WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER NORTH
CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 090 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREA NEAR MOREHEAD
CITY...NORTH CAROLINA AND FOR MUCH OF THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH
CAROLINA.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 76.6 WEST. THE CENTER OF
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE HAD BEEN MEANDERING OFF CAPE
FEAR...NORTH CAROLINA OVERNIGHT.  LATEST ANIMATION OF SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND RADAR COMPOSITE SUGGEST THAT A GENERAL EAST-NORTHEAST
FORWARD MOTION HAS RESUMED IN THE PAST FEW HOURS.  SOME BANDS OF
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ROTATING ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA.  MORE ACTIVE CONVECTION IS FOUND JUST OFF THE COAST
AROUND THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION WHERE AN UNCONFIRMED 30-KNOT
NORTHWESTERLY WIND WAS REPORTED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. 
THE BEST ESTIMATE OF THE CENTRAL PRESSURE...BASED ON RECENT BUOY
OBSERVATIONS NEAR THE CENTER...WAS ABOUT 1010 MB.  THE REMNANT
CIRCULATION OF BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A GENERAL
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION TODAY...PASSING NEAR THE OUTER BANKS OF
NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT BEFORE MOVING OFF INTO THE ATLANTIC
TOMORROW.  THE MAIN THREAT WITH BONNIE WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER THE EASTERN PART OF NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH
THURSDAY.  THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR
LOCAL FLASH FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY
SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 8 AM EDT

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON 2 NW                      2.23                     
GLASGOW                              2.01                     
NEW CASTLE                           1.94                     
TOWNSEND                             1.86                     
KITTS HUMMOCK                        1.82                     
PORT PENN                            1.64                     
WOODSIDE                             1.57                     
PRICES CORNER                        1.57                     
DOVER AFB                            1.50                     
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO ARPT            1.43                     

...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING                8.85                     
OLIVER 2 SW                          7.74                     
MARLOW                               7.46                     
NEWINGTON 1 S                        4.92                     
BLICHTON 1 ESE                       4.62                     
ROCKY FORD 1 SSW                     4.07                     
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD                   2.69                     
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT                   1.57                     

...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT                   2.31                     
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT                1.59                     
TAUNTON MUNI ARPT                    1.21                     
BOSTON/LOGAN                         1.13                     

...MARYLAND...
GALENA                               3.51                     
CARVILLE 3 W                         3.35                     
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT                 2.77                     
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT                  1.38                     
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS             1.31                     

...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP           8.21                     
MAYSVILLE 7.5 SSE                    5.42                     
BUXTON 1.0 ESE                       5.12                     
HOLDEN BEACH 0.6 E                   4.87                     
VARNAMTOWN 1.3 SSW                   3.71                     
FAYETTEVILLE 1.6 WSW                 3.29                     
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT            2.50                     
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT             2.45                     
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT               2.07                     
FORT BRAGG/FAYETTEVILLE              1.47                     
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO ARPT       1.45                     
CHAPEL HILL/WILLIAMS ARPT            1.34                     

...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TOWNSHIP                    4.52                     
EAST WINDSOR TWP                     3.91                     
WESTAMPTON TWP                       3.50                     
TRENTON 5 ESE                        3.16                     
SPRINGDALE 3 W                       3.14                     
MOUNT HOLLY WFO                      3.08                     
SEWELL                               2.93                     
TURNERSVILLE 2 S                     2.76                     
MATAWAN 1 WSW                        2.76                     
TOTTENVILLE 8 S                      2.52                     
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AIRPORT           1.81                     
NEWARK INTL ARPT                     1.60                     

...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY                        1.65                     
NEW YORK/LA GUARDIA                  1.53                     

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS                                3.49                     
POHOPOCO CREEK                       3.09                     
KRESGEVILLE                          3.08                     
PALMERTON 6 ENE                      3.00                     
WALNUTPORT                           2.70                     
DREXEL HILL                          2.51                     
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT           2.35                     
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT        2.32                     
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA               2.30                     
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT               1.51                     

...RHODE ISLAND...
PROVIDENCE/PO WARWICK                1.50                     
WESTERLY STATE ARPT                  1.35                     
NEWPORT                              1.33                     

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
RIDGELAND 5.8 ESE                   10.43                     
OLD HOUSE 1 SSE                     10.36                     
VARNVILLE 6.7 SW                     9.03                     
LENA 4 ENE                           9.03                     
NORTH CHARLESTON 2.6 NW              8.61                     
ARCHDALE 2 NE                        8.61                     
BRUNSON 1.6 SSW                      6.45                     
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW                   6.44                     
JOHNS ISLAND 4 SE                    6.24                     
ALLENDALE 1 S                        6.14                     
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11                  6.11                     
CALAWASSIE ISLAND                    6.05                     
CHARLESTON AIRPORT                   5.27                     
BEAUFORT 2 N                         4.60                     

...VIRGINIA...
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT                  2.56                     
RICHMOND                             2.35                     
WALLOPS ISLAND                       2.02                     
NORFOLK NAS                          1.87                     
TINKER CREEK                         1.39                     
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON                  1.24                     
PETERSBURG                           1.21                     
BUCHANAN 1 WNW                       1.02                     


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON
THIS STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 01/1500Z 33.4N 76.6W
12HR VT 02/0000Z 33.8N 76.6W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 02/1200Z 34.5N 75.9W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 03/0000Z 35.4N 74.7W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 03/1200Z 36.4N 73.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW