PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 22 FOR REMNANTS OF DOLLY
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL042008
400 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2008       

...DOLLY NO LONGER A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING INLAND
WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN TEXAS...SOUTHERN NEW
MEXICO...AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...ACCORDING TO SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ACROSS
TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO....DOLLY NO LONGER HAS A CLOSED WIND
CIRCULATION AND THEREFORE IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION.  THE REMNANT DISTURBANCE ASSOCIATED WITH DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.3 WEST OR 60
MILES...95 KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PRESIDIO TEXAS.

THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH...21
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
BASED UPON DOPPLER RADAR VELOCITY DATA...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
REMAIN NEAR 30 MPH...50 KM/HR...WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH...65 KM/HR
NORTHEAST OF THE DISTURBANCE CENTER ACROSS THE BIG BEND REGION OF
WEST TEXAS.  HIGHER WINDS ARE LIKELY IN THE DAVIS AND GUADELOUPE
MOUNTAINS...AS WELL AS THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN OF
NORTHEAST MEXICO.

RECENT RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL MEXICO...WESTERN TEXAS...AND EXTREME
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.  SIX HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS THE REGION
AT 1 PM CDT PEAKED AT 1.08 INCHES AT FORT STOCKTON.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES...

...TEXAS...

SAN MANUEL......................12.00
RANCHO VIEJO 3 SE................9.67
BROWNSVILLE 4.6 NNW..............8.62
MCALLEN 3 NW.....................8.59
PROGRESO.........................8.14
LA JOYA 11 N.....................7.17
MERCEDES 6SSE....................6.94
CORPUS CHRISTI 4 W...............6.83
PHARR 8SE........................6.77
FLOUR BLUFF 1.6 SW...............6.46

...LOUISIANA...
OLD JEFFERSON 1 W................3.27
GRAND CHENIER 9ESE...............3.12
INNISWOLD 4E.....................3.01
SHENANDOAH 1 W...................2.73
GRAND ECORE......................2.59
LAKE ARTHUR 10SW.................2.05
PORT VINCENT 4 W.................1.90
FRENCH SETTLEMENT................1.88

DOLLYS REMNANT DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR
THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER...MOVING INTO NEW MEXICO BY MIDDAY
SATURDAY.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER
SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER
TOTALS POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND
WESTERN TEXAS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE
FLASH FLOODING.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT.

ROTH