PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 36 FOR THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL052006
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 02 2006        

...REMNANTS OF ERNESTO ARE STARTING TO MOVE NORTH...

FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...AND DELAWARE.

COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW
JERSEY...EASTERN VIRGINIA...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...SOUTHERN
AND EASTERN MARYLAND.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY AND
WESTERN NEW YORK. 

WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NEW YORK...CONNECTICUT...WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...AND VERMONT.

AT 11 AM EDT SATURDAY...15Z...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANTS OF
ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.7 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 76.8
WEST OR 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA.

THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO HAVE STARTED MOVING NORTH SINCE THE LAST
ADVISORY AND A NORTHWARD MOTION OF ABOUT 10 MPH IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...HOWEVER THE
STRONGER WINDS ARE CONFINED TO OVER WATER AND NEAR COASTAL AREAS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  1008 MB OR 29.76 INCHES. 

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 10 AM EDT
SATURDAY

...FLORIDA...

ROCK ISLAND              6.74  
IMMOKALEE                5.96
MOORE HAVEN              4.74
KISSIMMEE                4.28
LEHIGH ACRES             4.16
LAKE WALES               3.85
OCHOPEE                  3.78

...SOUTH CAROLINA...

MT PLEASANT              6.82
MYRTLE BEACH             6.20  
MCCLELLANVILLE           6.35
DANIEL ISLAND            4.50
SURFSIDE BEACH           4.05  
CONWAY MARINA            4.00  

...NORTH CAROLINA...

GRIFTON                  9.85
CAPE FEAR RIVER          9.71  
WILMINGTON               9.58  
KINSTON                  9.57
SNOW HILL                8.40  
NEW RIVER NCAS           8.06  
WALLACE                  8.00
TRANTERS CREEK           7.57  
LONGWOOD                 7.23  
GREENVILLE               7.13  
RICHLANDS                7.06

...VIRGINIA...

VIRGINIA BEACH          10.43
UPPER SHERANDO          10.11
NORFOLK                 10.00
WILLIAMSBURG 	         9.51
LITTLE PLYMOUTH          9.25
CHESAPEAKE               8.93
TOANO                    8.73
DEVILS KNOB              8.56
JAMESTOWN                8.25
CHINCOTEAGUE             8.00
GWYNN ISLAND             8.00
SKYLAND                  7.80
CARSON                   7.70
WINDSOR                  7.63
YALE                     7.50
PORTSMOUTH               7.11
HAMPTON                  7.00 

...WEST VIRGINIA...

ELLISON RIDGE            3.20
RIPLEY                   2.50  
SPENCER                  2.48  
RACINE                   2.43 
CHARLES TOWN             2.33 
TORNADO                  2.12  

...MARYLAND...

LEONARDTOWN             10.08
SNOW HILL                7.19
SALISBURY                6.80
HOLLYWOOD                6.13
PRINCESS ANNE            5.90
OCEAN CITY		 4.38 

...DELAWARE...

GEORGETOWN		 4.50
DOVER                    2.82   

...PENNSYLVANIA...

PORT ROYAL               2.90
RAINSBURG                2.44
MARYSVILLE               2.40
ALTOONA                  2.35
EVERETT                  2.32
HARRISBURG               1.69

...NEW JERSEY...

MCGUIRE AFB              1.49


RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM WESTERN NEW
YORK STATE AND PENNSYLVANIA...TO THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND STATES
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT SATURDAY POSITION...38.7 NORTH...AND 76.8
WEST...NORTHWARD MOVEMENT NEAR 10 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT
50 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 5 PM EDT SATURDAY. REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL FORECAST OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONCERNING
THIS SYSTEM.
 
OTTO/MUSHER

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL    02/1500Z 38.3N 76.8W
12HR VT    03/0000Z 39.9N 76.8W
24HR VT    03/1200Z 42.0N 77.1W
36HR VT    04/0000Z 44.0N 77.2W