TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...NWS...CAMP SPRINGS MD
10 AM CDT SUN SEP 8 2002

...T. D.  "FAY" HAS NEARLY STALLED IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS...THE HILL COUNTRY...AND ALL OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.  A FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS.
...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR GOLIAD AND DEWITT
COUNTIES.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF T.D. "FAY" WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.8N...LONGITUDE 99.4W...OR 25 MILES NORTH OF COTULLA
TEXAS.

THE STORM HAS DRIFTED SOUTH AT 4 MPH..AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THAT TREND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 20 MPH NEAR THE CENTER.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006MB...29.71 INCHES.

AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FORMED EAST OF THE CENTER THIS
MORNING.  THIS AREA HAS BEEN QUITE ACTIVE AND WAS PRODUCING
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.   WIDESPREAD SCATTERED CONVECTION IS
PRESENT OVER MOST OF SOUTH AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.   5 TO 10
INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS.

SELECTED 24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS (7AM CDT SAT THROUGH 7AM CDT
SUN):

LOCATION                 AMOUNT
=========                =======

HONDO                    4.16"
SAN ANTONIO              2.81"
AUSTIN                   1.58"
HOUSTON                  2.59"

24 HOUR RADAR ESTIMATES HAVE SUGGESTED THAT LOCALIZED AREAS
HAVE RECEIVED OVER 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...28.8N...99.4W...DRIFTING SLOWLY
SOUTHWARD.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 4 PM CDT.

WOLF/FORECAST OPERATIONS BRANCH