BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fred Advisory Number  32
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL062021
1100 AM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED SOUTH OF ATLANTA, GEORGIA...
...HEAVY RAIN AND FLOOD THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS NORTH
GEORGIA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...EASTERN TENNESSEE AND
KENTUCKY...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.4N 84.7W
ABOUT 30 MI...48 KM SSW OF ATLANTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flood Watches are in effect for portions of north Georgia, the
western Carolinas, eastern Tennessee and Kentucky, and extreme
southwest Virginia.

Tornado Watches are in effect for parts of north Georgia and the
western Carolinas.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fred
was located near latitude 33.4 North, longitude 84.7 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 17 mph (28
km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through today with a
gradual acceleration to the northeast through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:
Fred is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts:

Through Today:
Portions of Georgia and the Southern Appalachians... 4 to 8 inches
of rain with isolated maximum storm totals of 10 inches are
expected.

Through Friday:
Central Appalachians including portions of the Mid-Atlantic States
as well as portions of the Northeast...2 to 4 inches of rain with
isolated maximum storm totals of 6 inches expected.

Heavy rainfall across portions of the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic States
and Northeast could lead to flash, urban, small stream and isolated
river flooding impacts.  An increased risk of landslides exists
across the mountains of North Carolina as well as portions of the
Blue Ridge Escarpment today.

For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with
Tropical Storm Fred, see the companion storm summary at
WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link:
available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html


TORNADOES:  A few tornadoes are possible through this evening
across parts of Georgia, the western Carolinas, and southwestern
Virginia.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.


Forecaster Carbin

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  17/1500Z 33.4N  84.7W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  18/0000Z 35.6N  83.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 24H  18/1200Z 38.7N  80.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 36H  19/0000Z 40.7N  78.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 48H  19/1200Z 41.8N  75.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 60H  20/0000Z 42.4N  73.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 72H  20/1200Z 42.6N  71.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND