PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 55 FOR REMNANTS OF IKE
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL092008
400 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008        

...REMNANTS OF IKE RACING NORTHEAST AND PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL...STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS...

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL TEXAS INTO
EASTERN LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. ADDITIONAL FLOOD AND
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF ILLINOIS...NORTHERN
INDIANA INTO SOUTHERN MICHIGAN.  MANY COUNTIES ARE CURRENTLY UNDER
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
NORTHWARD INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES
REGION. 

THE REMNANTS OF IKE ARE SUPPORTING STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS THRU
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. SEVERAL STATIONS HAVE BEEN REPORTING WINDS
OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 60 MPH. THIS HAS RESULTED IN
WIDESPREAD DOWNED TREES AND STRUCTUAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS.

AT 400 PM CDT...21Z...LOW PRESSURE...WHICH WAS IKE...WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 41.6 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 84.5 WEST...OR 40 MILES
WEST OF TOLEDO...OHIO. THE LOW IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH OR 80
KM/HR.

THE LOW WILL RACE NORTHEASTWARD...ALONG A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES THIS EVENING. BY MONDAY
MORNING THE LOW WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER
VALLEY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 TO 45 MPH...65 TO 80 KM/HR...WITH
GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH...95 TO 115 KM/HR. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE WAS 990 MB...OR 29.23 INCHES.

SELECTED HIGH WIND REPORTS SINCE 700 AM SUNDAY

LOUISVILLE KY            75 MPH
COVINGTON KY             74 MPH
HUNTINGBURG IN           67 MPH
FORT KNOX KY             64 MPH
OWENSBORO KY             63 MPH
WALNUT RIDGE AR          62 MPH
POPULAR BLUFF MO         61 MPH
CINCINNATI/LUNKIN        61 MPH


SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 100 PM CDT

...LOUISIANA...
NATCHITOCHES                        3.68
GOLDONNA                            2.57
MONROE                              2.45

...TEXAS...
SPRING BRANCH (HARRIS COUNTY)      15.20
CYPRESS CREEK (HARRIS COUNTY)      14.21
HALLS BAYOU (HARRIS COUNTY)        13.94
HARRIS GULLEY (HARRIS COUNTY)      10.71
GOOSE CREEK (HARRIS COUNTY)        10.39
BUFFALO BAYOU (HARRIS COUNTY)      10.12
MISSION BEND                        7.37
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR                4.99
HUNTSVILLE                          4.90
COLLEGE STATION                     3.45
TYLER                               2.69
PARIS                               2.44 

...ARKANSAS...
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE                  4.35
HARRISON                            2.26
FORT SMITH                          2.23

...ILLINOIS...

DECATUR                             5.00
PEORIA                              4.74
CAHOKIA                             3.69
CHAMPAIGN                           3.60
SCOTT AFB                           3.42
QUINCY                              3.32

...MISSOURI...
FAIR GROVE                          5.52
ASHLAND                             5.39
JEFFERSON CITY                      5.35
BUFFALO                             5.28
LIBERAL                             5.25
CROSS TIMBERS                       5.18
BROOKFIELD                          5.11
COLE CAMP                           5.06
PLATTSBURG                          5.06
HERMITAGE                           5.06
HIGHLANDVILLE                       5.02
WHEATLAND                           5.02
FORNEY AAF                          4.82
COLUMBIA                            4.72

...KANSAS...
MCCUNE                              3.80
COFFEYVILLE                         3.16

...OKLAHOMA...
CLAREMORE                           2.44
MUSKOGEE                            2.38
SAND SPRINGS                        2.10


THE REMNANTS OF IKE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL INTO
THIS EVENING OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AS IT MOVES INTO THE ST.
LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY. MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER TOTALS THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING.

A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE
SYSTEM FROM NORTHEASTERN OHIO INTO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...WESTERN
AND NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND NORTHERN VERMONT. WINDS OF 30 TO
50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS
SHOULD BE OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...WESTERN
AND NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN VERMONT.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...41.6 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE
84.5 WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUST OVER
60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT SUNDAY BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER.  PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

ECKERT/FRACASSO

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 14/2100Z 41.6N 84.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
12HR VT 15/0600Z 44.8N 76.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 15/1800Z 49.6N 64.4W...EXTRATROPICAL