POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
400 AM CDT TUE SEP 06 2011
...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLOODING FROM THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY TO NEW ENGLAND...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.3N 85.0W
ABOUT 120 MILES...190 KM...SSW OF KNOXVILLE MUNICIPAL TENNESSEE.
ABOUT 55 MILES...85 KM...NW OF ATLANTA GEORGIA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT
ALONG THE APPALACHIANS NORTHEASTWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 85.0 WEST. LEE IS NOW AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE INTERACTING WITH A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND A WELL-DEFINED QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT ALONG
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO THE NORTHEAST. THE EXTRATROPICAL
LOW CENTER IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS TODAY. TROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH THE COOL AIRMASS TO THE
NORTH...RESULTING IN EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL IN LOCATIONS WELL IN
ADVANCE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...50 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD FROM
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
THROUGH TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED. ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN
THESE LOCATIONS. THESE RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT
...ALABAMA...
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW 11.74
MOBILE 10.2 WSW 11.62
GRAND BAY 0.6 NW 11.32
ORANGE BEACH 3.0 ENE 10.50
FOLEY 2.0 SSW 10.39
THEODORE 3.7 WNW 10.31
ELBERTA 3.1 SSW 9.65
MOBILE/BATES FIELD 9.19
POINT CLEAR 1.6 SSW 8.42
CHEROKEE 5 S 8.20
WILMER 7.9 SE 7.55
FAIRHOPE 0.9 N 7.41
TUSCALOOSA 7.04
...FLORIDA...
MILTON 1.4 NNE 10.03
NICEVILLE 4.5 SE 7.35
PENSACOLA 3.8 N 6.57
WEST PENSACOLA 10.9 SW 6.35
ENSLEY 2.1 ENE 6.10
PACE 2.4 N 6.06
NAVARRE 2.3 NNW 6.02
DESTIN AIRPORT 5.93
GONZALEZ 2.1 E 5.68
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT 5.37
EGLIN AFB 5.6 NE 5.33
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB 5.30
HURLBURT FIELD AWS 5.30
BELLVIEW 1.7 NW 5.13
...GEORGIA...
ROME/RUSSELL FIELD 5.70
CARTERSVILLE AIRPORT 2.90
...KENTUCKY...
FLATWOODS 0.5 WNW 3.67
WHITESBURG 2 SE 3.38
PLUM SPRINGS 0.8 NNW 3.10
VERSAILLES 5.8 SSW 2.65
LAWRENCEBURG 5.2 S 2.34
BOWLING GREEN 5.9 ESE 2.33
SMITHS GROVE 0.3 SE 2.14
LEXINGTON 1.7 SSE 2.08
GUTHRIE 0.8 WNW 2.00
...LOUISIANA...
HOLDEN 15.43
N.O. CAROLLTON 14.32
MAUREPAS 13.63
PONCHATOULA 4 SE 13.22
CONVENT 2 S 13.04
RESERVE 0.5 SSE 12.43
GRAY 0.5 ENE 12.15
MARRERO 1.9 E 11.21
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 11.00
MONTICELLO 3.0 ENE 10.91
PONCHATOULA 11.8 E 10.59
MERAUX 0.8 WNW 10.10
ABITA SPRINGS 2.2 SSW 9.93
LACOMBE 1.4 N 9.79
TERRYTOWN 3.3 S 9.10
ZACHARY 3.5 WNW 9.04
BATON ROUGE 3.5 E 9.00
SLIDELL 2.2 NE 8.20
...MISSISSIPPI...
FLORENCE 0.9 E 13.45
WAVELAND 1.1 NW 13.20
SAUCIER 6.4 ESE 11.75
GULFPORT 2.0 NE 11.71
LONG BEACH 0.7 S 11.59
PASS CHRISTIAN 5.0 N 11.31
RICHLAND 0.3 WSW 11.25
PHILADELPHIA 5.4 E 11.18
PEARL 3.4 ESE 11.14
JACKSON WFO 11.13
KILN 6.6 N 10.90
GULFPORT-BILOXI 10.78
...TENNESSEE...
OAK RIDGE 8.08
KNOXVILLE MUNI ARPT 6.68
CLARKSVILLE 10.2 WSW 5.53
CUMBERLAND CITY 1.2 ESE 5.41
OAK RIDGE 6.9 NNE 5.09
LAWRENCEBURG 8.8 SE 4.95
LORETTO 2.8 NNW 4.50
ALEXANDRIA 0.5 SW 4.48
COOKEVILLE 4.6 WNW 4.23
CHRISTIANA 6.5 E 4.22
LEBANON 4.0 SE 4.21
JAMESTOWN 6.7 W 4.07
...TEXAS...
BRIDGE CITY 1.3 NW 3.12
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 3.04
JASPER 6.7 W 2.12
...VIRGINIA...
ROANOKE MUNI ARPT 4.30
...WEST VIRGINIA...
BLUEFIELD/MERCER CO. ARPT 3.14
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE 2.87
BECKLEY MEMORIAL ARPT 2.78
ROCKPORT 1.3 SSE 2.22
POINT PLEASANT 5.8 E 2.00
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER KONG
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 06/0900Z 34.3N 85.0W
12HR VT 06/1800Z 35.1N 84.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 07/0600Z 36.2N 83.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 07/1800Z 37.0N 83.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 08/0600Z 38.6N 84.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP