STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 3 FOR HEAVY RAIN IN THE SOUTHERN U.S.
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
4 PM CDT MON OCT 16 2006

...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SPREADING NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...MUCH OF
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
SOUTHEAST TEXAS...LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...MISSISSIPPI AND
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST
TEXAS INTO CENTRAL LOUISIANA...INCLUDING THE METROPOLITAN AREAS OF
HOUSTON AND BEAUMONT. RAINFALL OVER THESE AREAS SINCE SUNDAY
MORNING HAS BEEN BETWEEN 5 AND 11 INCHES.

AS OF 3PM...THE SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE HEAVY RAIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR TEXARKANA ARKANSAS. A BROAD AREA OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
IS BEING PULLED NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO AS THIS LOW
TRACKS SLOWLY TO THE EAST NORTHEAST. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE COMMON OVER PORTIONS OF THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT...WITH
ISOLATED STORM TOTALS AROUND TEN INCHES.

AS OF 4 PM CDT...NOAA DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN COVERING SOUTHEAST TEXAS...NORTHERN
LOUISIANA AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI.  WHILE THE HIGHEST RAINFALL
RATES ARE OCCURRING CLOSER TO THE GULF OF MEXICO...A LARGE AREA OF
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS IN PLACE OVER THE MIDWEST AND OHIO
VALLEY WHERE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED.

THERE HAVE BEEN SEVERAL SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS ASSOCIATED WITH
SOME OF THE MORE INTENSE STORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
LOUISIANA.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES AS OF 4 PM CDT...

...TEXAS...

QUANAH                            10.71
ANGLETON                          8.70
KINGWOOD                          7.29
SILSBEE                           7.20
BARRETT                           6.93
NASSAU BAY                        6.85
FRIENDSWOOD                       6.52
HOUSTON (HOBBY)                   6.00
WEBSTER                           5.56
ONKSTOWN                          5.20
CHARLIE                           5.20
HOUSTON (BUSH)                    5.03
WICHITA FALLS                     4.74
SPUR                              4.43
ASPERMONT                         4.41
GUTHRIE                           4.40
CHILDRESS                         4.31
CONROE                            4.07

...OKLAHOMA...

REAGAN                            5.29
FITTSTOWN                         4.68
PAULS VALLEY                      4.66
ADA                               4.63
CONNERVILLE                       4.61
FREDERICK                         4.27
WALTERS                           4.18

...ARKANSAS...

PARIS                             4.58
RATCLIFF                          4.27
FORT SMITH                        2.71
WHINFREY                          2.18
VAN BUREN                         2.04
FAYETTEVILLE                      2.12
DE QUEEN                          1.95

...LOUISIANA...

FORT POLK                         4.98
LAKE CHARLES                      2.96
JENNINGS                          3.61
SALT POINT                        1.62


...MISSOURI...

WEST PLAINS                       2.04
GAINESVILLE                       1.96
ALTON                             1.76
AVA                               1.45
KANSAS CITY                       1.35
LAKE CITY                         1.27
INDEPENDENCE                      1.05
ST JOSEPH                         1.02

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NWS
FORECAST OFFICE FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT.

OTTO