THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 2 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAVY RAINS
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1000 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

...A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA BRINGING FLOODING RAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
ENTERING INTO KANSAS AND MISSOURI...

FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR A LARGE PORTION OF
TEXAS...PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA...A SMALL AREA OF WESTERN
ARKANSAS...AND PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN KANSAS. IN
ADDITION....FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN TEXAS ALONG WITH A FEW SMALLER AREAS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN TEXAS...SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...A SMALL
PORTION OF NORTHEASTERN KANSAS...AND INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL
MISSOURI.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR A LARGE AREA OF THE
CENTRAL UNITED STATES WHICH INCLUDES A MAJORITY OF TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA...AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...MUCH
OF MISSOURI...A LARGE AREA OF SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN IOWA...AND EXTENDING INTO WESTERN ILLINOIS.

AT 900 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS DEPICTED A
LARGE SWATH OF PRECIPITATION CONTINUING TO CIRCULATE IN A
COUNTERCLOCKWISE FASHION IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
SPINNING OVER NORTHERN TEXAS. WHILE THE RAINFALL HAS BECOME MORE
SCATTERED IN NATURE OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS OVER SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA AND MUCH OF TEXAS...AN IMPRESSIVE AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL
WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED ACROSS THE NORTHERN EDGE OF
THE CIRCULATION. AREAS CURRENTLY BEING AFFECTED INCLUDE NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA...THE EASTERN HALF OF KANSAS...AND MUCH OF MISSOURI. THE
GREATEST SPATIAL COVERAGE OF STORMS REMAINS OVER KANSAS AND
MISSOURI WHERE THE RAIN BANDS HAVE BEGUN TO INTERACT WITH A
STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY SITUATED JUST TO THE NORTH. 
ALTHOUGH TEXAS IS NOT RECEIVING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION AT THIS
TIME...LINES OF CONVECTION HAVE BEGUN TO REDEVELOP FROM
NORTHEASTERN TEXAS DOWN TO SOUTH TEXAS WITH A GENERAL
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION.

...SELECTED STORM RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES AS OF 900 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY...

...TEXAS...

MARBLE FALLS 6 ENE                19.05
MARBLE FALLS                      17.92
BURNET 6 SSE                      13.79
MARBLE FALLS 10 N                 13.45
SPICEWOOD 5 WNW                   10.55
KINGSLAND                         10.16
BERTRAM 8 SSW                      9.92
KINGSLAND 1 E                      9.18
KILLEEN MUNICIPAL AIRPORT          7.24 
SANTA ANNA 0.5 E                   5.83 
WATAUGA 2.4 WNW                    5.55
BURNET                             5.32 
MABELLE                            5.27 
FORT WORTH/MEACHAM                 5.20 
TERRELL (ASOS)                     4.45
SHADY SHORES 3.9 N                 4.20
KEMPNER                            4.14 
BONITA 4 NW                        3.95
RANGER                             3.91 
PLANO 2.4 WSW                      3.88 
UNIVERSITY PARK 3.1 WNW            3.87
DALLAS/FORT WORTH INTL AIRPORT     3.82 
DALLAS/LOVE FIELD                  3.74  
CHARLIE 8 NW                       3.69
BRADY                              3.50 
GRANBURY 7.1 NNW                   3.42 
RICHARDSON 2.4 WSW                 3.39
NEW BRAUNFELS 3.1 WNW              3.34 
DECATUR                            3.30
FORT WORTH 7.8 SE                  3.27
GRAND PRAIRIE                      3.27 
SAN MARCOS 16 W                    3.25

...OKLAHOMA...

SHAWNEE 0.8 ESE                    7.04 
TECUMSEH 0.4 ESE                   5.05 
WALTERS 1 ENE                      5.00
RANDLETT 8 E                       4.80
WALTERS 1 NW                       4.44
MUSTANG 2.1 WNW                    3.92
VANCE AFB/ENID                     3.53  
CHATTANOOGA 3 NE                   3.49
DUNCAN 11 W                        3.48
GUTHRIE 4.9 SSE                    3.40 
EDMOND 1.6 W                       3.31 
WILEY POST 1.6 NNW                 3.27 
MINCO 3 SSW                        3.22
WAURIKA DAM-BEAVER CREEK           3.20
MCALESTER REGIONAL AIRPORT         3.07 
OKLAHOMA CITY/WILEY                2.94 

...ARKANSAS...

BOGG SPRING 6 WNW                  3.87
DE QUEEN 4 NW- DAM                 3.22
PINE RIDGE                         3.07
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD         1.62 
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE FIELD           1.21  

...NEBRASKA...

AUBURN 8 SW                        4.80  
FAIRBURY                           4.00 
AUBURN                             3.31 
CHESTER                            2.30 
DILLER 3.0 E                       2.03 

...MISSOURI...

HALLSWILLE 2 W                     4.00 
HILLSBORO 0.5 SSW                  1.93 
BOWLING GREEN 0.6 SE               1.50 

...KANSAS...

MUNDEN 3 NW                        3.50 
SCANDIA                            3.00 
ST. MARYS 1 N                      2.50 
PARSONS/TRI-CITY AIRPORT           1.66 
PRETTY PRAIRIE 9.4 ENE             1.50 


THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT FOR THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ALONG WITH
KANSAS AND MISSOURI WILL CONTINUE AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAINS
QUASI-STATIONARY OVER SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...A
LARGE UPPER RIDGE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP WHICH SHOULD ALLOW THIS
SYSTEM TO REMAIN STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WITH THE
CONTINUAL SUPPLY OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO IN
COMBINATION WITH THE STRONG FORCING FROM THE LOW CENTER...AREAS
EXTENDING FROM SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD TO WESTERN
ILLINOIS ARE EXPECTED TO RECEIVE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH HEAVIER AMOUNTS WITHIN THE EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS...GIVEN THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF MANY OF THESE CELLS.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 0400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
EVENT.

RUBIN-OSTER




Last Updated: 1026 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007