THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 1 
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
900 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...DEVELOPING WINTER STORM TO EFFECT THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND INTO
THE MIDWEST AND NORTHEAST...

HEAVY SNOW WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
KANSAS...NORTHERN MISSOURI...A SMALL PORTION OF EASTERN
INDIANA...WEST CENTRAL OHIO...AND EXTENDING UP INTO PORTIONS OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...AS WELL AS UPSTATE NEW YORK.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS A LARGE AREA WHICH
INCLUDES PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEBRASKA...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
KANSAS...MUCH OF SOUTHERN IOWA...NORTHEASTERN
MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...INDIANA...OHIO...SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
MICHIGAN...PENNSYLVANIA...WESTERN MARYLAND...EASTERN WEST
VIRGINIA...NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...AND SOUTHERN NEW YORK.

WINTER STORM WATCHES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN
MICHIGAN...NORTHERN VIRGINIA...CENTRAL AND EASTERN MARYLAND...THE
DISTRICT OF COLUMIA...EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHWESTERN NEW
JERSEY...A LARGE PORTION OF EASTERN AND NORTHERN NEW
YORK...NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND...MUCH OF
MASSACHUSETTS...VERMONT...AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

ICE STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR AN AREA OF WESTERN
VIRGINIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT ACROSS MANY STATES WHICH
INCLUDES KANSAS...A SMALL PORTION OF THE OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEBRASKA...SOUTHWESTERN
IOWA...CENTRAL MISSOURI...SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
ILLINOIS...INDIANA...AND OHIO...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL WEST
VIRGINIA...AND AREAS OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA. IN ADDITION...A SNOW
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHEASTERN KANSAS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. A
FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS AND MUCH OF
SOUTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

AT 9 PM CST...THE CENTER OF THE DEVELOPING STORM IS LOCATED ALONG
THE TEXAS-OKLAHOMA BORDER NEAR WICHITA FALLS, TEXAS.  THIS
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD
TONIGHT AND DURING TUESDAY ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY AND THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY REGION.  DURING TUESDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...A SECONDARY AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. 
THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT LOW DURING WEDNESDAY
AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND
INTENSIFIES RAPIDLY.  

THE LATEST NOAA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS ARE SHOWING A
LARGE REGION OF PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DEVELOPING
STORM FALLING FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS...EASTWARD INTO THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND OHIO VALLEY. PRECIPITATION ALSO EXTENDS
SOUTHWARD INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  SNOW IS CURRENTLY
FALLING ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS PRECIPITATION REGION
ACROSS CENTRAL TO NORTHERN KANSAS..SOUTHEASTERN
NEBRASKA...NORTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS.  RAIN IS
REPORTED ELSEWHERE FROM THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY...SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THE MIDDLE AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FALLING OVER FAR EASTERN TEXAS AND INTO
PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA.


...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES AS OF 8 PM CST...

...KANSAS...

MCDONALD 2 SW                     10.0
MCDONALD 3 E                       8.0
MCDONALD 1 S                       8.0
BIRD CITY 8 SE                     7.0
KIT CARSON                         4.0
GOODLAND                           4.0
BIRD CITY 6 E                      4.0

...NEBRASKA...

TRYON                              5.0
LEWELLEN 5S                        3.0
LEWELLEN                           3.0
OGALLALA                           3.0
NORTH PLATTE                       3.0
MULLEN                             2.5
THEDFORD                           2.5
HYANNIS                            2.0
MADRID                             2.0
TAYLOR                             2.0

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES AS OF 8 PM CST...

...TEXAS...

SOUR LAKE                          5.14
EVADALE                            3.91
ANAHUAC                            2.71
ROCKLAND                           2.21
LUFKIN                             1.71 
NACOGDOCHES                        1.23 
LONGVIEW                           1.10 
HOUSTON HOBBY AIRPORT              1.08 


...ARKANSAS...

SILVER HILL                        1.72
FORT SMITH MUNICIPAL               1.59 
HARDY                              1.57
MULBERRY                           1.52
BAXTER COUNTY AIRPORT              1.51 
HARRISON/BOONE COUNTY              1.51 
HARRIET                            1.44
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE                 1.35 
FLIPPIN                            1.12 

...MISSOURI...

BRENTWOOD                          2.47
WEST PLAINS                        1.53 
POPLAR BLUFF                       1.45 
BRADLEYVILLE                       1.39
FISK                               1.26
MOUNTAIN VIEW                      1.14

...OKLAHOMA...

PANAMA                             1.31
EAGLETOWN                          1.03
BIG CEDAR                          1.02


AS THIS STORM MOVES EASTWARD TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY...HEAVY
SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO FALL FROM SOUTHERN IOWA/NORTHERN
MISSOURI...EASTWARD THRU LARGE PORTIONS OF
ILLINOIS...INDIANA...OHIO AND PENNSYLVANIA.  HEAVY SNOWFALL
POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO MOST OF NEW YORK STATE...AND
ACROSS CENTRAL TO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. 
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM NORTHERN
MISSOURI..EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS...NORTHERN TO CENTRAL
INDIANA...NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA.  SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
NEW YORK...INCLUDING AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED VERY HEAVY LAKE
EFFECT SNOW OVER THE PAST WEEK.  SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 FEET
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FOR CENTRAL TO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY.  

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY SNOW THREAT FROM THIS STORM...THERE IS
POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
ILLINOIS...SOUTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHERN OHIO TONIGHT AND DURING
TUESDAY.  ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF .10-.25" POSSIBLE HERE.  FREEZING
RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION FROM EASTERN
WEST VIRGINIA...VIRGINIA...THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA...MARYLAND...EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW
YORK AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.  ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OF .25-.50" POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION
AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF OVER .10" POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHERN NEW YORK
AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE SOUTHERN END OF THE
PRECIPITATION REGION ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY/TENNESSEE VALLEY REGION TONIGHT...SPREADING INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. DURING TUESDAY.  FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE
TONIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF TUESDAY OVER THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WHERE LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2-4" ARE
POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-2 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY..WITH .50-1" AMOUNTS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHEASTERN U.S.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 300 AM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
EVENT.

RUBIN-OSTER/ORAVEC
Q9




Last Updated: 1010 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007