THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 3 FOR MIDWEST AND NORTHEAST U.S. WINTER STORM
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
900 AM CST TUE FEB 13 2007

...MAJOR WINTER STORM TRACKING NORTHEAST...BRINGING SNOW...SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN TO THE MIDWEST AND MIDDLE ATLANTIC...

BLIZZARD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
ILLINOIS...INDIANA AND NORTHWESTERN OHIO.

HEAVY SNOW WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN KANSAS...NORTHERN MISSOURI...A SMALL PORTION OF
EASTERN INDIANA...WEST CENTRAL OHIO...AND INTO THE NORTHEAST
INCLUDING NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...MUCH OF UPSTATE NEW YORK...NORTH
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...ALL OF VERMONT...AND
SOUTHWESTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE SECTION OF THE
MIDWEST...NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST INCLUDING PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA...IOWA...NORTHEASTERN MISSOURI...MUCH OF
ILLINOIS...INDIANA...OHIO...SOUTHEASTERN
MICHIGAN...PENNSYLVANIA...MARYLAND...THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA...NORTHERN AND EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHEASTERN NEW
YORK...CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS...RHODE ISLAND...NEW
HAMPSHIRE...AND WESTERN MAINE.

ICE STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN WEST
VIRGINIA AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
KANSAS...CENTRAL MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHERN
INDIANA...AND OHIO...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL WEST
VIRGINIA...AREAS OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND EASTERN
MARYLAND...DELAWARE...NEW JERSEY...SOUTHEASTERN NEW
YORK...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...RHODE ISLAND...AND EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS.

SNOW ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
NEBRASKA...SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA...NORTHWESTERN IOWA...AND
SOUTHWESTERN MINNESOTA.

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...IOWA...NORTHERN
ILLINOIS...MICHIGAN...AND EASTERN MAINE.

FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS...SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...AS WELL AS NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS
AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA..AND THE WESTERN PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA UNTIL 1100 AM CST.

AT 9 AM CST...THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE WINTER
STORM WAS LOCATED IN NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. A SECONDARY AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE COAST OF GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA TUESDAY EVENING. THIS NEW LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT LOW TUESDAY NIGHT AS IT MOVES
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD TOWARD SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
WHILE RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.

THE LATEST NOAA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS ARE SHOWING A
LARGE AREA OF PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM ACROSS THE
MIDWEST AND NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC...AND SOUTHWARD INTO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY TO CENTRAL GULF COAST. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL TENNESSEE
SOUTHWARD TO THE GULF OF MEXICO. SNOW IS CURRENTLY FALLING ON THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS PRECIPITATION REGION ACROSS THE
NORTHERN MID MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS EASTWARD INTO THE
NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC STATES. FREEZING RAIN IS MIXING IN TO THE
SOUTH OF THE SNOW...AND RAIN IS BEING REPORTED SOUTH OF THE
FREEZING RAIN.


...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES AS OF 8 AM CST...

...KANSAS...

MARSHALL                           11.7 
MCDONALD 2 SW                      10.0
MCDONALD 3 E                        8.0
MCDONALD 1 S                        8.0
BIRD CITY 8 SE                      7.0
WILSON                              7.0 
GARDEN CITY                         5.0 
BURR OAK                            4.0 
KIT CARSON                          4.0
GOODLAND                            4.0
BIRD CITY 6 E                       4.0
  
...NEBRASKA...

TRYON                               5.0
LEWELLEN 5 S                        3.0
LEWELLEN                            3.0
OGALLALA                            3.0
NORTH PLATTE                        3.0
MULLEN                              2.5
THEDFORD                            2.5
HYANNIS                             2.0
MADRID                              2.0
TAYLOR                              2.0

...IOWA...

LITTLE SIOUX                        2.0 
WINTERSET                           1.3 

...ILLINOIS...

SOUTH PEKIN 2 E                     4.1 
LE ROY                              4.1 
BISMARK                             4.0 
COOK                                3.3 
MACOMB                              1.8 

...INDIANA...

TIPPECANOE                          4.3 
LAWRENCEBURG                        3.0 
LA PORTE                            3.0 

...OHIO...

PIQUA                               6.0 
EATON                               6.0
GREENVILLE                          5.0
URBANA                              4.5
XENIA                               4.0
CINCINNATI                          3.0
WAPAKONETA                          3.0
COLUMBUS                            2.0 

...WISCONSIN...

PLEASANT PRAIRIE                    3.3 

...WEST VIRGINIA...

LEWISBURG                           0.5 

...SELECTED FREEZING RAIN ICE ACCUMULATIONS AS OF 8 AM CST...

...INDIANA...

VIGO                               0.25

...ILLINOIS...

MONTGOMERY                         0.25 
CHARLESTON                         0.25 
MATTOON                            0.20 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES AS OF 2 AM CST...

...TEXAS...

SOUR LAKE                          5.14
EVADALE                            3.91
ANAHUAC                            2.71
ROCKLAND                           2.21
LUFKIN                             1.71 
NACOGDOCHES                        1.23 
LONGVIEW                           1.10 
HOUSTON HOBBY AIRPORT              1.08 


...ARKANSAS...

SILVER HILL                        1.72
FORT SMITH MUNICIPAL               1.59 
HARDY                              1.57
MULBERRY                           1.52
BAXTER COUNTY AIRPORT              1.51 
HARRISON/BOONE COUNTY              1.51 
HARRIET                            1.44
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE                 1.35 
FLIPPIN                            1.12 

...MISSOURI...

BRENTWOOD                          2.47
COUCH                              2.43 
POPLAR BLUFF                       2.34 
WASOLA                             1.88 
WEST PLAINS                        1.78 
BRADLEYVILLE                       1.39
FISK                               1.26

...OKLAHOMA...

PANAMA                             1.31
EAGLETOWN                          1.03
BIG CEDAR                          1.02


AS THIS STORM MOVES EASTWARD...HEAVY SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TODAY
FROM CENTRAL ILLINOIS EASTWARD THROUGH PENNSYLVANIA AND INTO NEW
ENGLAND. ON WEDNESDAY...THE HEAVY SNOWFALL POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED
TO PUSH INTO MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND AND BEGIN EXITING THE AREA
THURSDAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NORTH OF
THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY INTO PENNSYLVANIA. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO
2 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF UPSTATE NEW YORK...INCLUDING
AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED VERY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER THE PAST
WEEK. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FOR
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  CLOSER
TO THE COAST...A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND
PLAIN RAIN IS LIKELY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY SNOW THREAT FROM THIS STORM...THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TODAY. 
ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE.
FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION FROM
EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...VIRGINIA...THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA...MARYLAND...EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NEW JERSEY...AND INTO
SOUTHERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE
TENTH OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND
IS FORECAST TO SPREAD INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. LATER TODAY.  

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 300 PM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
EVENT.

OTTO




Last Updated: 959 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007