THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 4 FOR MIDWEST AND NORTHEAST U.S. WINTER STORM
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
300 PM CST TUE FEB 13 2007

...MAJOR WINTER STORM TRACKING NORTHEAST...BRINGING SNOW...SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN TO THE MIDWEST AND MIDDLE ATLANTIC...

BLIZZARD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
EASTERN ILLINOIS...INDIANA AND NORTHWESTERN OHIO.

HEAVY SNOW WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR A SMALL PORTION OF EASTERN
INDIANA...WEST CENTRAL OHIO...AND INTO THE NORTHEAST INCLUDING
NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...NEW YORK...NORTH CENTRAL
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...ALL OF VERMONT...AND
SOUTHWESTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE SECTION OF THE
MIDWEST...NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC...AND NORTHEAST INCLUDING
SOUTHEASTERN IOWA...NORTHEASTERN MISSOURI...MUCH OF
ILLINOIS...INDIANA...OHIO...SOUTHERN
MICHIGAN...PENNSYLVANIA...MARYLAND...THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA...NORTHERN AND EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN
VIRGINIA...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...WESTERN
CONNECTICUT...PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE
ISLAND...NEW HAMPSHIRE...AND WESTERN MAINE.

ICE STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN WEST
VIRGINIA AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHERN INDIANA...AND SOUTHERN
OHIO...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA...AREAS OF
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND EASTERN MARYLAND...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...NEW JERSEY...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...RHODE ISLAND...AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN MAINE.

A SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN MISSOURI.

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN IOWA...NORTHERN ILLINOIS...AND MICHIGAN.

FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS..AS
WELL AS NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND
SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA UNTIL 400 PM CST.

AT 3 PM CST...A 1002 MILLIBAR LOW PRESSURE CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WINTER STORM WAS LOCATED IN NORTHWESTERN TENNESSEE AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. A
SECONDARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE
COAST OF GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA TUESDAY EVENING. THIS NEW LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT LOW TUESDAY
NIGHT AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD TOWARD
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WHILE RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.

THE LATEST NOAA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS ARE SHOWING A
LARGE AREA OF PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM ACROSS THE
MIDWEST AND NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC...AND SOUTHWARD INTO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND THE EASTERN GULF COAST. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN GEORGIA
SOUTHWARD INTO SOUTH FLORIDA. SNOW IS CURRENTLY FALLING ON THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS PRECIPITATION REGION ACROSS THE
NORTHERN MID MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS EASTWARD INTO THE
NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC STATES. FREEZING RAIN IS MIXING IN TO THE
SOUTH OF THE SNOW...AND RAIN IS BEING REPORTED SOUTH OF THE
FREEZING RAIN.


...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES AS OF 2 PM CST...

...KANSAS...

MARSHALL                           11.7 
MCDONALD 2 SW                      10.0
CENTRALIA                           9.0
MCDONALD 3 E                        8.0
MCDONALD 1 S                        8.0
BIRD CITY 8 SE                      7.0
BREMEN 1 E                          7.0
CONCORDIA 1 W                       7.0
HADDAM                              7.0
WILSON                              7.0
WILSON LAKE                         6.8 
COURTLAND                           6.0
MILTONVALE                          6.0
NORWAY                              6.0
LURAY                               6.0
OSAWATOMIE                          6.0
FAIRFAX                             6.0
GALLATIN 1 W                        6.0
GARDEN CITY                         5.0 
GOODLAND                            4.0
  
...NEBRASKA...

BURWELL                             7.0
AUBURN                              6.7
FAIRBURY                            6.5
PAWNEE CITY                         6.1
HEBRON                              6.0
NELIGH                              6.0
NELSON                              6.0
WILBER                              6.0
NEBRASKA CITY                       5.7
RULO                                5.6
CHADRON                             5.0
MID OMAHA                           5.0
TRYON                               5.0
ONEILL                              5.0
MULLEN 21 NW                        5.0
SPENCER 5 SSE                       5.0
SPRINGVIEW                          5.0
TAYLOR                              5.0

...MISSOURI...

WEST QUINCY                         9.0
MEXICO                              8.0
QUINCY                              8.0
PALMYRA 5 SW                        8.0
CANTON                              7.0
WELDON SPRING                       5.2
WELLSVILLE                          5.0
FULTON                              5.0
O FALLON                            4.8
ST. PETERS                          4.1
CHAMOIS                             4.0
WASHINGTON                          4.0
ST. LOUIS                           1.1

...IOWA...

SIOUX CITY                          5.2
BURLINGTON                          4.0
ALLERTON                            4.0
BEACONSFIELD                        4.0
BEDFORD                             4.0
CLARINDA                            4.0
LITTLE SIOUX                        4.0
LORIMOR                             4.0
DES MOINES                          3.4
DAVENPORT                           3.0
JOHNSTON                            2.7
STORM LAKE                          2.6
WINTERSET                           1.3 

...ILLINOIS...

MOUNT STERLING                      9.0
QUINCY                              8.5
SPRINGFIELD                         6.2
MOUNT PULASKI                       6.0
MONTICELLO                          6.0
RANKIN                              5.2
DECATUR 4 N                         5.2
SIDELL 5 NW                         5.0
ARCOLA                              5.0
FARMER CITY                         5.0
BATAVIA                             4.7
SOUTH PEKIN 2 E                     4.1 
LE ROY                              4.1 
WHITING                             4.0
BISMARK                             4.0 
WILLOWBROOK                         3.4
COOK                                3.3 
CICERO                              3.2
LA GRANGE                           3.0
MACOMB                              1.8 

...INDIANA...

INDIANAPOLIS                        4.7
TIPPECANOE                          4.3 
WHITING                             4.0
LAWRENCEBURG                        3.0 
LA PORTE                            3.0 

...OHIO...

TROY                                6.5
PIQUA                               6.0 
EATON                               6.0
GROVE CITY                          5.5
BEAVERCREEK                         5.3
GREENVILLE                          5.0
SOMERSET                            5.0
URBANA                              4.5
WAPAKONETA                          4.5
XENIA                               4.0
CINCINNATI                          3.0
COLUMBUS                            2.0 

...WISCONSIN...

VALDERS                             5.7
PLEASANT PRAIRIE                    3.3
ELKHART LAKE                        3.0 
ROME                                3.0
PELL LAKE 1 SE                      2.1
BRODHEAD                            2.1
CEDARBURG 1 E                       2.0
JACKSON                             2.0
JANESVILLE                          2.0
MILTON                              2.0
DELAVAN                             2.0

...WEST VIRGINIA...

ROMNEY 1 SW                         2.0
BAYARD                              1.6
LOST RIVER                          1.0
KEYSER 2 SSW                        1.0
LEWISBURG                           0.5 

...VIRGINIA...

CROSS JACKSON                       1.3
MIDDLETOWN                          0.9
EDINBURG                            0.8
DALE ENTERPRISE                     0.5

...MARYLAND...

MT. SAVAGE                          5.0
FROSTBURG                           1.7
FREDERICK                           1.0

...PENNSYLVANIA...

ROCKWOOD                            4.0
JOHNSTOWN                           3.0
HARRISBURG                          3.0
CARLISLE                            2.8
YORK SPRINGS                        2.0

...SELECTED FREEZING RAIN ICE ACCUMULATIONS AS OF 2 PM CST...

...INDIANA...

VIGO                               0.25

...ILLINOIS...

MONTGOMERY                         0.25 
CHARLESTON                         0.25 
MATTOON                            0.20 

...KENTUCKY...

CARROLLTON                         0.10
OWENTON                            0.10

...OHIO...

SHARONVILLE                        0.10

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES AS OF 2 PM CST...

...TEXAS...

SOUR LAKE                          5.14
EVADALE                            3.92 
ANAHUAC                            2.75
ROCKLAND                           2.21
LUFKIN                             1.71 
NACOGDOCHES                        1.23 
LONGVIEW                           1.10 
HOUSTON HOBBY AIRPORT              1.08 

...LOUISIANA...

FORT POLK                          1.81 
SHREVEPORT REGIONAL AIRPORT        1.34 
SHREVEPORT DOWNTOWN AIRPORT        1.33 
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                1.28 

...MISSISSIPPI...

GULFPORT-BILOXI                    1.73 
TUPELO/C.D. LEMONS                 1.50 

...ARKANSAS...

VIDETTE                            2.50 
HARRIET                            2.30 
FORT SMITH MUNICIPAL               2.24 
ST. JOE                            2.09 
HARRISON/BOONE COUNTY              1.92 
SILVER HILL                        1.72
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE FIELD           1.72 
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE            1.67 
HARDY                              1.57
MULBERRY                           1.52
BAXTER COUNTY AIRPORT              1.51 
MOUNTAIN HOME                      1.47 
FLIPPIN                            1.47 
HARRIET                            1.44

...MISSOURI...

POPLAR BLUFF 4.2 NW                3.30 
POPLAR BLUFF MUNICIPAL AIRPORT     3.24 
ALTON 1.7 NNW                      3.14 
WEST PLAINS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT      2.60 
GAINESVILLE 8.2 NE                 2.53 
THEODOSIA 6.2 SW                   2.47      
BRENTWOOD                          2.47
COUCH                              2.43 
POPLAR BLUFF                       2.34
CAPE GIRARDEAU MUNICIPAL AIRPORT   2.12  
AVA                                2.09 
WASOLA                             1.88 
WEST PLAINS                        1.78 
SPRINGFIELD MUNICIPAL AIRPORT      1.62 
FARMINGTON AIRPORT                 1.41 
BRADLEYVILLE                       1.39
FISK                               1.26

...OKLAHOMA...

PANAMA                             1.31
EAGLETOWN                          1.03
BIG CEDAR                          1.02

...FLORIDA...

MILTON/WHITING FIELD               1.97 
MILTON                             1.58 
BAKER                              1.54 
PENSACOLA REGIONAL AIRPORT         1.48 
CRESTVIEW                          1.29 


AS THIS STORM MOVES EASTWARD...HEAVY SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TODAY
FROM CENTRAL ILLINOIS EASTWARD THROUGH PENNSYLVANIA AND INTO NEW
ENGLAND. ON WEDNESDAY...THE HEAVY SNOWFALL POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED
TO PUSH INTO MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND AND BEGIN EXITING THE AREA
THURSDAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NORTH OF
THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY INTO PENNSYLVANIA. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO
2 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF UPSTATE NEW YORK...INCLUDING
AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED VERY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER THE PAST
WEEK. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FOR
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  CLOSER
TO THE COAST...A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND
PLAIN RAIN IS LIKELY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY SNOW THREAT FROM THIS STORM...THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TODAY. 
ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE.
FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION FROM
EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...VIRGINIA...THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA...MARYLAND...EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NEW JERSEY...AND INTO
SOUTHERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE
TENTH OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND
IS FORECAST TO SPREAD TOWARD THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COASTLINE AND
SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES LATER TONIGHT.  

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 900 PM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
EVENT.

RUBIN-OSTER




Last Updated: 354 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007