THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 5 FOR MIDWEST AND NORTHEAST U.S. WINTER STORM
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1000 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...MAJOR WINTER STORM TRACKING NORTHEAST...BRINGING SNOW...SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN TO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND MIDDLE ATLANTIC ALONG
WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO THE SOUTHEAST...

BLIZZARD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
EASTERN ILLINOIS...INDIANA AND NORTHWESTERN OHIO.

HEAVY SNOW WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR A SMALL PORTION OF EASTERN
INDIANA...WEST CENTRAL OHIO...AND INTO THE NORTHEAST INCLUDING
NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...NEW YORK...NORTHWESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...ALL OF VERMONT...AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE SECTION OF THE
MIDWEST...NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC...AND NORTHEAST INCLUDING MUCH OF
ILLINOIS...INDIANA...OHIO...SOUTHERN
MICHIGAN...PENNSYLVANIA...MARYLAND...THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA...NORTHERN AND EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN
VIRGINIA...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...MUCH OF
CONNECTICUT...PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE
ISLAND...NEW HAMPSHIRE...AND MAINE.

ICE STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN WEST
VIRGINIA AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHERN INDIANA...SOUTHERN OHIO...NORTHERN AND EASTERN
KENTUCKY...NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...PORTIONS OF WEST
VIRGINIA...AREAS OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND EASTERN
MARYLAND...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...RHODE
ISLAND...AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN IOWA...NORTHEASTERN NEBRASKA...NORTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
ILLINOIS...A PORTION OF SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA...AND LOWER MICHIGAN.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR A SMALL AREA IN
CENTRAL ALABAMA. IN ADDITION...FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS..AS WELL AS NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND
SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN ALABAMA UNTIL 10 PM CST.
ADDITIONALLY...ANOTHER TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF
SOUTH CAROLINA AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. THIS WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT
EST.

A TORNADO WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AN AREA OF INTENSE
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF ALABAMA.

AT 10 PM EST...A 1001 MILLIBAR LOW PRESSURE CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WINTER STORM WAS LOCATED IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NIGHT ON TUESDAY.
ADDITIONALLY...A SECONDARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS JUST DEVELOPED
IN SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. THIS NEW LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT LOW TUESDAY NIGHT AS IT MOVES
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD TOWARD SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
WHILE RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.

THE LATEST NOAA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS ARE SHOWING A
LARGE AREA OF PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM ACROSS THE
UPPER MIDWEST AND NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC...AND SOUTHWARD INTO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND THE EASTERN GULF COAST. AHEAD OF THE PRIMARY
COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY...A LARGE AREA OF HEAVY RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN PROGRESSING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST
ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA. ALONG THE COLD FRONT...PORTIONS OF ALABAMA
HAVE BEEN EXPERIENCING HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS. SNOW
IS CURRENTLY FALLING ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS
PRECIPITATION REGION ACROSS THE NORTHERN MID MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO
VALLEYS EASTWARD INTO THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC STATES. FREEZING
RAIN IS MIXING IN TO THE SOUTH OF THE SNOW...AND RAIN IS BEING
REPORTED SOUTH OF THE FREEZING RAIN.


...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES AS OF 9 PM EST...

...KANSAS...

MARSHALL                           11.7 
MCDONALD 2 SW                      10.0
CENTRALIA                           9.0
MCDONALD 3 E                        8.0
MCDONALD 1 S                        8.0
BIRD CITY 8 SE                      7.0
BREMEN 1 E                          7.0
CONCORDIA 1 W                       7.0
HADDAM                              7.0
WILSON                              7.0
WILSON LAKE                         6.8 
  
...NEBRASKA...

BURWELL                             7.0
AUBURN                              6.7
FAIRBURY                            6.5
PAWNEE CITY                         6.1
HEBRON                              6.0
NELIGH                              6.0
NELSON                              6.0
WILBER                              6.0
NEBRASKA CITY                       5.7
RULO                                5.6

...MISSOURI...

WEST QUINCY                         9.0
PALMYRA                             8.5
MEXICO                              8.0
BOWLING GREEN                       8.0
CENTER                              8.0
NEW LONDON                          8.0
QUINCY                              8.0
PALMYRA 5 SW                        8.0
CANTON                              7.0
WELDON SPRING                       6.0
WELLSVILLE                          5.0
FULTON                              5.0

...IOWA...

SIOUX CITY                          5.2
BURLINGTON                          4.0
ALLERTON                            4.0
BEACONSFIELD                        4.0
BEDFORD                             4.0
CLARINDA                            4.0
LITTLE SIOUX                        4.0
LORIMOR                             4.0
DES MOINES                          3.4
DAVENPORT                           3.0
JOHNSTON                            2.7
STORM LAKE                          2.6
WINTERSET                           1.3 

...ILLINOIS...

WILLOWBROOK                        11.2
CLAYTON                            10.0
WHITE HALL                         10.0
CHICAGO-NW SIDE                     9.5
CAMP POINT                          9.0
MOUNT STERLING                      9.0
RICHTON PARK                        8.9
QUINCY                              8.5
PLAINFIELD                          8.3
GRAYSLAKE                           8.2
PAYSON                              8.0
GRIGGSVILLE                         8.0
SPRINGFIELD                         6.2
MOUNT PULASKI                       6.0
MONTICELLO                          6.0

...INDIANA...

WHITING                            16.6
HIGHLAND                            9.7
HARTFORD CITY                       7.5
SCHERERVILLE                        7.1
BLUFFTON                            6.0
SIMONTON LAKE                       6.0
FORT WAYNE 6 N                      6.0
COLUMBUS GROVE                      6.0
VAN WERT                            5.6
MICHIGAN CITY                       5.0
INDIANAPOLIS                        4.7
TIPPECANOE                          4.3 
WHITING                             4.0
LAWRENCEBURG                        3.0 
LA PORTE                            3.0 

...OHIO...

RUSHSYLVANIA                        9.5
ZANESFIELD                          8.0
SPRINGFIELD                         8.0
GREENVILLE                          8.0
TROY                                6.5
GETTYSBURG                          6.5
FAIRBORN                            6.5
PIQUA                               6.0 
EATON                               6.0
XENIA                               6.0
KENTON                              6.0
URBANA                              5.5
GROVE CITY                          5.5
BEAVERCREEK                         5.3
SOMERSET                            5.0
WAPAKONETA                          4.5
CINCINNATI                          3.0
COLUMBUS                            2.0 

...MICHIGAN...

MATTAWAN                            4.0
DEERFIELD                           3.2
TECUMSEH                            3.0
CEMENT CITY                         3.0
HASTINGS                            3.0
BATTLE CREEK                        3.0
JACKSON                             3.0
SCHOOLCRAFT                         3.0

...WISCONSIN...

TWO RIVERS                          7.0
VALDERS                             5.7
PLEASANT PRAIRIE                    3.3
ELKHART LAKE                        3.0 
ROME                                3.0
PELL LAKE 1 SE                      2.1
BRODHEAD                            2.1
CEDARBURG 1 E                       2.0
JACKSON                             2.0
JANESVILLE                          2.0
MILTON                              2.0
DELAVAN                             2.0

...WEST VIRGINIA...

KEYSER                              4.6
PETERSBURG                          2.0
BUNKER HILL                         2.0
ROMNEY 1 SW                         2.0
BAYARD                              1.6
LOST RIVER                          1.0
KEYSER 2 SSW                        1.0
LEWISBURG                           0.5 

...VIRGINIA...

CROSS JUNCTION                      2.7
STEPHENS CITY                       2.0
WINCHESTER                          2.0
BOSTON 4 SE                         2.0
CROSS JACKSON                       1.3
MIDDLETOWN                          0.9
EDINBURG                            0.8
DALE ENTERPRISE                     0.5

...MARYLAND...

MT. SAVAGE                          5.0
FROSTBURG                           5.0
CUMBERLAND                          3.0
FREDERICK                           3.0
NORRISVILLE                         3.0

...PENNSYLVANIA...

SENECA                             12.0
CULMERVILLE                         7.0
NATRONA HEIGHTS                     6.0
MONACA                              6.0
FARRELL                             6.0
PENN HILLS                          6.0
MOON                                5.5
STATE COLLEGE                       5.5
ZELIENOPLE                          5.2
ALTOONA                             5.2
ZION                                5.0

...NEW JERSEY...

NATIONAL PARK                       2.5
DELRAN                              1.5
TABERNACLE                          1.5

...DELAWARE...

BEAR                                2.0
WILMINGTON AIRPORT                  2.0

...SELECTED FREEZING RAIN ICE ACCUMULATIONS AS OF 9 PM EST...

...INDIANA...

SUNMAN                             0.50
RIPLEY COUNTY                      0.30
BATESVILLE                         0.25
OSGOOD                             0.25
VIGO                               0.25

...ILLINOIS...

MONTGOMERY                         0.25 
CHARLESTON                         0.25 
MATTOON                            0.20 

...KENTUCKY...

FLORENCE                           0.50
FORT MITCHELL                      0.10
CARROLLTON                         0.10
OWENTON                            0.10

...OHIO...

ASHVILLE                           1.50
WILMINGTON                         0.60
BEAVERCREEK                        0.60
TRENTON                            0.50
WILLAMSBURG                        0.40
COLUMBUS                           0.30
LEBANON                            0.30
DAYTON                             0.30
WESTCHESTER                        0.25
COSHOCTON                          0.25
SHARONVILLE                        0.25

...PENNSYLVANIA...

MOON                               0.13

...VIRGINIA...

FLOYD                              0.30
STAUNTON                           0.25
CENTREVILLE                        0.20
WARRENTON                          0.20

...MARYLAND...

GLEN BURNIE                        0.20
OXON HILL                          0.20
ELDERSBURG                         0.10

...WEST VIRGINIA...

RAINELLE                           0.25

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES AS OF 9 PM EST...

...TEXAS...

SOUR LAKE                          5.14
EVADALE                            3.92 
ANAHUAC                            2.75
ROCKLAND                           2.21
LUFKIN                             1.71 
NACOGDOCHES                        1.23 
LONGVIEW                           1.10 
HOUSTON HOBBY AIRPORT              1.08 

...LOUISIANA...

FORT POLK                          1.81 
SHREVEPORT REGIONAL AIRPORT        1.34 
SHREVEPORT DOWNTOWN AIRPORT        1.33 
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                1.28 

...MISSISSIPPI...

GULFPORT-BILOXI                    1.73 
TUPELO/C.D. LEMONS                 1.50 

...ARKANSAS...

VIDETTE                            2.50 
HARRIET                            2.30 
FORT SMITH MUNICIPAL               2.24 
ST. JOE                            2.09 
HARRISON/BOONE COUNTY              1.92 
SILVER HILL                        1.72
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE FIELD           1.72 
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE            1.67 
HARDY                              1.57
MULBERRY                           1.52
BAXTER COUNTY AIRPORT              1.51 
MOUNTAIN HOME                      1.47 
FLIPPIN                            1.47 
HARRIET                            1.44

...MISSOURI...

POPLAR BLUFF 4.2 NW                3.30 
POPLAR BLUFF MUNICIPAL AIRPORT     3.24 
ALTON 1.7 NNW                      3.14 
WEST PLAINS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT      2.60 
GAINESVILLE 8.2 NE                 2.53 
THEODOSIA 6.2 SW                   2.47      
BRENTWOOD                          2.47
COUCH                              2.43 
POPLAR BLUFF                       2.34
CAPE GIRARDEAU MUNICIPAL AIRPORT   2.12  
AVA                                2.09 
WASOLA                             1.88 
WEST PLAINS                        1.78 
SPRINGFIELD MUNICIPAL AIRPORT      1.62 
FARMINGTON AIRPORT                 1.41 
BRADLEYVILLE                       1.39
FISK                               1.26

...OKLAHOMA...

PANAMA                             1.31
EAGLETOWN                          1.03
BIG CEDAR                          1.02

...FLORIDA...

MILTON/WHITING FIELD               1.97 
PANAMA CITY/BAY CO. AIRPORT        1.67
MILTON                             1.58 
BAKER                              1.54 
PENSACOLA REGIONAL AIRPORT         1.48 
CRESTVIEW                          1.29 


AS THIS STORM MOVES EASTWARD...HEAVY SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TONIGHT
FROM CENTRAL ILLINOIS EASTWARD THROUGH PENNSYLVANIA AND INTO NEW
ENGLAND. ON WEDNESDAY...THE HEAVY SNOWFALL POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED
TO PUSH INTO MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND AND BEGIN EXITING THE AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY INTO PENNSYLVANIA. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF UPSTATE NEW
YORK...INCLUDING AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED VERY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
SNOW OVER THE PAST WEEK. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE FOR CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY.  CLOSER TO THE COAST...A MIXTURE OF
SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN IS LIKELY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY SNOW THREAT FROM THIS STORM...THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT. 
ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH ARE
POSSIBLE. FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION FROM EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...VIRGINIA...THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA...MARYLAND...EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NEW JERSEY...AND INTO
SOUTHERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE INCH ARE
POSSIBLE FROM WESTERN VIRGINIA THROUGH CENTRAL MARYLAND. 

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND
IS FORECAST TO SPREAD TOWARD THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COASTLINE AND
SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES LATER TONIGHT.  

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 400 AM EST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
EVENT.

RUBIN-OSTER




Last Updated: 955 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007