THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 2 FOR MAJOR GREAT PLAINS STORM
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
300 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

...MAJOR STORM CURRENTLY ORGANIZING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
EXPECTED TO BRING A VARIETY OF WEATHER FROM HEAVY SNOW...HEAVY
RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER TO PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...

BLIZZARD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN
IOWA...NORTHEASTERN NEBRASKA...SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA...AND
SOUTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AS WELL AS ALONG SECTIONS OF THE WESTERN
SHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR IN MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN.

BLIZZARD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
IOWA...AND SOUTH DAKOTA.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
IOWA...SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA...EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHEASTERN
SOUTH DAKOTA...MINNESOTA...MUCH OF WISCONSIN...AND NORTHERN
MICHIGAN INCLUDING THE UPPER PENINSULA.

WINTER STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN IOWA
AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS. WINTER STORM WATCHES HAVE ALSO BEEN ISSUED
FOR PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND INCLUDING EASTERN NEW YORK...WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...ALL OF VERMONT...NEW HAMPSHIRE...AND MAINE.

FREEZING RAIN ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
MICHIGAN...NORTHEASTERN INDIANA...AND NORTHWESTERN OHIO.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI...EASTERN KANSAS...ILLINOIS...AND INDIANA.

FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
MISSOURI...SOUTHEASTERN IOWA...ILLINOIS...INDIANA...NORTHERN
OHIO...PENNSYLVANIA...MARYLAND...DELAWARE...WESTERN NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN CONNECTICUT.

TORNADO WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA...SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS...SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.  SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FROM PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
MISSOURI INTO WESTERN ILLINOIS AND FROM NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA INTO CENTRAL AND WESTERN TENNESSEE
AND INTO WESTERN KENTUCKY AND EXTREME SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.

AT 300 AM CST...A 988 MILLIBAR LOW PRESSURE CENTER WAS DEEPENING
OVER EASTERN KANSAS..WITH A COLD FRONT TRAILING SOUTHWARD FROM
THIS LOW INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING
EASTWARD FROM THE LOW INTO THE OHIO VALLEY.   THE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER EASTERN KANSAS WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN DURING
THE DAY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE MOVING SLOWLY
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN BY FRIDAY MORNING. 
DURING FRIDAY..THIS LOW WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS THROUGH
THE GREAT LAKES REGION.   THE VERY HEAVY SNOWS AND BLIZZARD OR
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE.
 
ALSO..LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...A SECONDARY
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NEW
ENGLAND DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY...BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO PARTS
OF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND SNOWS TO PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND.  


...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN INCHES AS OF 300
AM CST...

...NORTH DAKOTA...

FORT RANSOM                   8.0 
HEBRON                        8.0 
LITCHVILLE                    7.5 
DUNN CENTER                   7.0 
ASHLEY 7NE                    6.0  
MINOT AIR BASE                6.0 
CLEVELAND                     6.0  
KENMARE                       6.0
TROGA                         6.0
WILLISTON                     5.3
CROSSY ELEVATOR               5.0
BISMARCK                      4.5  
DICKINSON                     4.5
HAZELTON                      3.9

...MINNESOTA...

RED WING                      4.0
RICHFIELD                     2.0
WATERTOWN                     2.0
PRIOR LAKE                    2.0
DURAND                        2.0
LESTER PRAIRIE                2.0
LITCHFIELD                    2.0    


THE LATEST NOAA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS ARE SHOWING AN
EXPANDING AREA OF PRECIPITATION FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE MIDWEST...WITH SNOWS CONFINED TO THE
WESTERN FRINGE OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD ACROSS PORTIONS OF
KANSAS INTO NEBRASKA AND EXTREME WESTERN IOWA.  INCREASING
RAINS...WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...ARE NOTED ON RADARS FROM THE
OHIO VALLEY SOUTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES...WHILE
GENERALLY LIGHT SNOWS CONTINUE FROM PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS
EASTWARD INTO THE GREAT LAKES.  

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY SNOWS ACCOMPANYING THE CENTRAL U.S STORM
AND THE DEVLOPING EAST COAST STORM...THERE WILL ALSO BE A THREAT
FOR FREEZING RAIN FROM PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES EASTWARD INTO
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW YORK STATE. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF 0.10 TO
0.25" ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE REGIONS.  

THERE WILL ALSO BE A THREAT FOR SOME VERY HEAVY RAINS FROM THE
GULF COAST STATES NWD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION INTO
FRIDAY...AS VERY MOIST AIR FLOWS NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT FORECAST TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA.

SNOWFALL DATA WERE OBTAINED FROM NWS LOCAL STORM REPORTS...NWS
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND FROM COCORAHS. THE NEXT STORM
SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION
CENTER AT 900 AM CST.  PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT. 

TERRY




Last Updated: 347 AM EST THU MAR 01 2007