THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 3 FOR MAJOR WINTER STORM OVER THE
NORTHCENTRAL U.S.
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
900 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

...MAJOR STORM CONTINUING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS EXPECTED TO
BRING A VARIETY OF WEATHER FROM HEAVY SNOW...HEAVY RAIN...AND
SEVERE WEATHER TO PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN U.S. OVER THE NEXT TWO
DAYS...

BLIZZARD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN
IOWA...NORTHEASTERN NEBRASKA...EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA...SOUTHWESTERN
MINNESOTA...AS WELL AS ALONG SECTIONS OF THE WESTERN SHORE OF LAKE
SUPERIOR IN MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
IOWA...SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA...EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...MUCH OF
MINNESOTA...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL WISCONSIN...AND NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN AS WELL AS THE UPPER PENINSULA. FURTHER EAST...WINTER
STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW YORK
STATE...SOUTHWESTERN VERMONT...MUCH OF NEW HAMPSHIRE...AND MUCH OF
MAINE.

WINTER STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
NEW YORK STATE...VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHWESTERN
NEW HAMPSHIRE...AND EASTERN MAINE.

FREEZING RAIN ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
MICHIGAN...EASTERN IOWA...AND NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI...EASTERN KANSAS...ILLINOIS...AND NORTHERN
INDIANA.

FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
MISSOURI...SOUTHEASTERN IOWA...ILLINOIS...INDIANA...NORTHERN
OHIO...PENNSYLVANIA...MARYLAND...DELAWARE...WESTERN NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...WESTERN CONNECTICUT...RHODE
ISLAND...AND SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

TORNADO WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
MISSOURI...ARKANSAS...MUCH OF
LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...TENNESSEE...AND WESTERN ALABAMA. A
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION REGARDING SEVERE WEATHER EXISTS
TODAY IN THE AREAS NEAR MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA.

AT 900 AM CST...A 982 MILLIBAR LOW PRESSURE CENTER WAS DEEPENING
OVER SOUTHERN IOWA AND SLOWLY MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. A COLD
FRONT EXTENDS SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD INTO TEXAS AND WILL BE THE
FOCUS FOR SEVERE WEATHER TODAY NEAR THE GULF COAST.   


...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN INCHES AS OF 900
AM CST...

...NORTH DAKOTA...

LISBON                       11.0 
VALLEY CITY                   9.0 
FORT RANSOM                   8.0 
HEBRON                        8.0 
LITCHVILLE                    7.5 
DUNN CENTER                   7.0
GRAND FORKS                   6.5  
ASHLEY 7NE                    6.0  
MINOT AIR BASE                6.0 
TROGA                         6.0
WILLISTON                     5.3
FARGO                         4.7 
BISMARCK                      4.5  
DICKINSON                     4.5

...SOUTH DAKOTA...

ROSCOE                        6.0 

...MINNESOTA...

LITCHFIELD                    4.0 
RED WING                      4.0
LESTER PRAIRIE                2.7
PRIOR LAKE                    2.5
RICHFIELD                     2.0
WATERTOWN                     2.0
DURAND                        2.0
ST PAUL                       1.5 
MINNEAPOLIS                   1.3    

...NEBRASKA...

BENNET                        6.0 
DESHLER                       2.0 

...IOWA...

SPENCER                       1.0 

...WISCONSIN....

BROOKFIELD                    2.3 
BROWN DEER                    2.3 
WAUKESHA 3 S                  2.0 

THE LATEST NOAA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS ARE SHOWING AN
EXPANSIVE AREA OF PRECIPITATION FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS EASTWARD
INTO THE MIDWEST. SNOW IS CONFINED TO THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN
FRINGE OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
KANSAS AND NEBRASKA INTO IOWA...MINNESOTA...WISCONSIN...AND
MICHIGAN. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN...WITH EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE...ARE NOTED FROM THE OHIO VALLEY
SOUTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES.  THE STORM SYSTEM
AND ITS PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD TODAY
PUSHING INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION THIS EVENING AND INTO THE
NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.

DURING FRIDAY...THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE ITS SLOW NORTHEASTWARD
PROGRESSION INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION. LOCALLY VERY
HEAVY SNOWS AND BLIZZARD OR NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL
ACCOMPANY THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
COULD EXCEED 10 INCHES OVER A LARGE AREA FROM MINNESOTA EASTWARD
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND.
LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...A SECONDARY AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND
MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NEW
ENGLAND...BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN TO PARTS OF THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES AND HEAVY SNOW TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST.
THERE WILL ALSO BE A THREAT FOR FREEZING RAIN FROM PORTIONS OF THE
GREAT LAKES EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW YORK STATE AND
NEW ENGLAND. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF OVER 0.25" ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THESE REGIONS.  

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE FROM THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD
INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION THROUGH FRIDAY...AS VERY MOIST AIR
FLOWS NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT
FORECAST TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA. 

THE STORM WILL FINALLY EXIT THE NORTHEAST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 300 PM CST.  PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT. 

FRACASSO




Last Updated: 1009 AM EST THU MAR 01 2007