THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 5 FOR MAJOR NORTH CENTRAL U.S. STORM
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
900 PM CST THU MAR 1 2007

...MAJOR STORM CONTINUING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS EXPECTED TO
BRING A VARIETY OF WEATHER FROM HEAVY SNOW...HEAVY RAIN...AND
SEVERE WEATHER TO PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN U.S. OVER THE NEXT TWO
DAYS...

BLIZZARD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN
IOWA...NORTHEASTERN NEBRASKA...EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA...SOUTHWESTERN
MINNESOTA...AS WELL AS ALONG SECTIONS OF THE WESTERN SHORE OF LAKE
SUPERIOR IN MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
IOWA...CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...MUCH OF
MINNESOTA...WISCONSIN...AND NORTHERN MICHIGAN AS WELL AS THE UPPER
PENINSULA. FARTHER EAST...WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF NEW YORK...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...VERMONT...NEW
HAMPSHIRE...AND MAINE.

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA...CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...NORTHERN AND EASTERN
NEBRASKA...NORTHERN MISSOURI...IOWA AND NORTHERN MINNESOTA.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN KANSAS...NORTHERN MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...INDIANA AND OHIO.

FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
ILLINOIS...MICHIGAN...NORTHERN
INDIANA...OHIO...PENNSYLVANIA...EASTERN WEST
VIRGINIA...VIRGINIA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...MARYLAND...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...WESTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHEASTERN NEW
YORK...CONNECTICUT...RHODE ISLAND...AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

TORNADO WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST
INCLUDING NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGIA...ALABAMA AND
FLORIDA. 

AT 800 PM CST...A STRONG 978 MILLIBAR LOW PRESSURE CENTER WAS
LOCATED OVER NORTHEASTERN IOWA ABOUT 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
WATERLOO IOWA. THIS LOW HAS BEEN SLOWLY MOVING TO THE NORTH
NORTHEAST AND IS EXPECTED TRACK NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12
HOURS. THE ASSOCIATED OCCLUDED AND COLD FRONTS EXTEND SOUTHWARD
FROM LAKE MICHIGAN...THROUGH CENTRAL TENNESEE AND SOUTH
SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH EASTERN LOUISIANA INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN INCHES AS OF 800
PM CST...

...NORTH DAKOTA...

LISBON                       13.7 
LARIMORE                     12.0 
WISHEK                       12.0 
LISBON                       11.0 
JAMESTOWN                    10.0 
GRAND FORKS NWS              10.0 
VALLEY CITY                   9.0 
FORT RANSOM                   8.0 
HEBRON                        8.0 
LITCHVILLE                    7.5 
DUNN CENTER                   7.0
GRAND FORKS                   6.5  
ASHLEY 7NE                    6.0  
MINOT AIR BASE                6.0 
TROGA                         6.0
WILLISTON                     6.0 
FARGO                         4.7 
BISMARCK                      4.5 
DICKINSON                     4.5

...SOUTH DAKOTA...

BRYANT                       16.0 
CLARK                        11.2 
BRISTOL                      10.6 
VICTOR                       10.0 
WATERTOWN                     8.0 
ROSCOE                        6.0 
ABERDEEN 6 SE                 9.0 
ABERDEEN NWS                  7.8 

...MINNESOTA...

DULUTH                       18.0
SLAYTON                      11.0 
HUTCHINSON                   10.5
DUMONT 1 N                    9.0 
HALSTAD                       9.0 
BRECKENRIDGE                  8.0 
MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL          8.0 
FAIRMONT                      7.0 
SLAYTON                       7.0 
HINCKLEY 1 SE                 6.0 
FOREST LAKE                   6.0 
NEW AUBURN                    6.0 
JACKSON                       5.0 

...NEBRASKA...

BOYS TOWN                    12.8 
ONAWA                        12.0 
VALLEY                       12.0 
OMAHA                        11.4 
LINCOLN                       6.6 
BENNET                        6.0 
DESHLER                       2.0 

...IOWA...

HARLAN                       16.0 
OAKLAND                      13.0 
UNDERWOOD                    11.2 
CHEROKEE                     10.0 
SPENCER                       9.0 
SIOUX CITY 1 NE               8.4 
SIOUX FALLS                   8.0 
SPIRIT LAKE                   7.5 


...WISCONSIN....

SHELL LAKE                   14.0 
SARONA                        7.0
BAYFIELD                      4.0 
MAPLE                         3.0 

...SELECTED RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES AS OF 800 PM CST...

...MISSISSIPPI...

TUPELO                       2.63 
BILOXI                       2.14 

...GEORGIA...

GAINSVILLE                   2.57 
ATHENS                       2.41 
FORT BENNING                 2.16 

...SOUTH CAROLIA...

CLEMSON                      2.73 

THE LATEST NOAA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS ARE SHOWING AN
EXTENSIVE AREA OF PRECIPITATION FROM THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...EASTWARD THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO NEW ENGLAND
AND SOUTHWARD TO THE GULF OF MEXICO. SNOW IS CONFINED TO THE
WESTERN AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD ACROSS
SECTIONS OF WESTERN IOWA AND MINNESOTA EASTWARD INTO NORTHERN NEW
YORK STATE. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN...WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
AND HEAVY RAIN...ARE NOTED FROM THE OHIO VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC
SOUTHWARD TO THE GULF OF MEXICO. THERE HAVE BEEN WIDESPREAD
REPORTS OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS FROM THE
STRONGER STORMS ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...TENNESSEE
VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY.
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE MOVING STEADILY EASTWARD TONIGHT...MOVING MOSTLY OFFSHORE
BY FRIDAY NIGHT.

ON FRIDAY...THE SURFACE LOW OVER IOWA WILL CONTINUE A SLOW EAST
NORTHEASTWARD PROGRESSION INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION.
LOCALLY VERY HEAVY SNOWS AND BLIZZARD OR NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
WILL ACCOMPANY THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
COULD EXCEED 12 INCHES OVER A LARGE AREA FROM MINNESOTA EASTWARD
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND.
LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...A SECONDARY AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND
MOVE NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND...BRINGING THE POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RAIN TO PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND HEAVY SNOW
TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST. A THREAT FOR FREEZING RAIN EXISTS
FROM PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL AND EASTERN
NEW YORK STATE AND NEW ENGLAND. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF OVER 0.25"
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE REGIONS.  

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE FROM THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD
INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION THROUGH FRIDAY...AS VERY MOIST AIR
FLOWS NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT
FORECAST TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA. THE STORM WILL FINALLY EXIT THE
NORTHEAST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 300 AM CST.  PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT. 

OTTO
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Last Updated: 1004 PM EST THU MAR 01 2007