THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
COLLEGE PARK, MD
STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE
STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 01 FOR EASTERN U.S. MOUNTAIN AND COASTAL STORM
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
500 PM EDT FRI OCT 02 2015
...POTENTIALLY HISTORIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES...
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC REGIONS FROM EASTERN GEORGIA TO NEW
JERSEY.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
THE COASTLINE FROM NORTH CAROLINA TO SOUTHERN MAINE. COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORIES ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST.
HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA AND
NORTH CAROLINA. HIGH WIND WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE DELAWARE
COAST AND PORTIONS OF THE NEW JERSEY COAST. WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFEC FROM PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS NORTH TO CAPE COD.
FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV
AT 400 PM EDT...A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS IN PLACE JUST
OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST. A SURFACE LOW WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
1000 MB...29.53 INCHES...HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE FRONT EAST OF THE
GEORGIA/FLORIDA BORDER. A PLUME OF MOISTURE WAS STREAMING
NORTHWARD FROM HURRICANE JOAQUIN AND INTERACTING WITH THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND SURFACE LOW TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF
THE EASTERN U.S. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATED RAIN WAS GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE AT
THIS TIME...ALTHOUGH THERE WERE OCCASIONAL REPORTS OF HEAVY RAIN.
IN ADDITION TO THE RAINFALL...A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT
RESULTING FROM A STRONG POLAR HIGH PRESSURE AREA ACROSS EASTERN
CANADA WAS RESULTING IN STRONG AND GUSTY EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY
WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40
MPH WERE REPORTED IN SOME AREAS. PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW IS ALSO
RESULTING IN COASTAL FLOODING AND HIGH SURF ALONG MUCH OF THE EAST
COAST.
...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 AM EDT THU OCT
01 THROUGH 400 PM EDT FRI OCT 02...
...DELAWARE...
DAGSBORO 7 ENE 3.73
OCEAN VIEW 1 NW 3.50
SELBYVILLE 7 E 2.91
LEWES 2 SSW 2.75
DOVER AFB 2.61
SEAFORD 1 S 2.55
DELMAR 4 E 2.49
GEORGETOWN 6 W 2.48
MILFORD 2 W 2.01
...GEORGIA...
ST SIMONS ISLAND 4.20
BAXLEY 3.43
BRUNSWICK/MALCOLM MCKINNON AP 3.38
R.H.BANDY STEAM PLANT (TVA) 3.27
ABBEVILLE 4S 2.90
ROME 6SW 2.71
TOCCOA 2.55
ALMA/BACON CO. ARPT 2.51
HAWKINSVILLE 2.50
CHARLOTTE 2.31
...MARYLAND...
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 3.65
TRAPPE 4 NE 2.80
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 2.48
PATUXENT RIVER NAS 2.11
...NORTH CAROLINA...
CALABASH 1 NNW 5.32
SUNSET BEACH 3 NNE 3.97
WILMINGTON 2 SE 3.80
LAKE WACCAMAW 3 SW 3.68
NEW RIVER MCAS 3.58
BAYBORO 3E 3.51
LONGWOOD 1NW 3.44
WASHINGTON/WARREN FIELD ARPT 3.32
NEW BERN/CRAVEN CO. ARPT 3.14
SURF CITY 1 E 3.12
WHITEVILLE 7NW 3.12
JACKSONVILLE/ELLIS AIRPORT 3.07
CHEROKEE 12N 2.96
CAPE FEAR RIVER AT LOCK 1 2.87
ELIZABETHTOWN (LOCK 2) 2.87
...NEW JERSEY...
MILLVILLE MUNI ARPT 2.15
...SOUTH CAROLINA...
SULLIVANS ISLAND 3.55
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH 3.14
GEORGETOWN 5 NNE 2.90
LONGS 1 NW 2.62
EDISTO ISLAND 2.43
CHESNEE 7WSW 2.13
...TENNESSEE...
COLUMBIA 5.48
DEL RIO 4SE (TVA) 2.57
PRAIRIE PLAINS 2.08
...VIRGINIA...
NORFOLK NAS 3.77
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON 3.43
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK 2.98
NEWPORT/WILLIAMSBURG INTL ARPT 2.49
RICHMOND 2.10
...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...
...DELAWARE...
BIG STONE BEACH 18 SE 47
REHOBETH BEACH 42
...NEW JERSEY...
LITTLE SHEEPSHEAD CR 54
TUCKERTON 52
LONG BEACH ISLAND 47
OCEAN CITY 47
PORT NORRIS 19 ESE 45
SOUTH SEASIDE PARK 45
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND SURFACE LOW ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST ALONG
THE EAST COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH THE FRONT FORECAST TO
DRIFT VERY SLOWLY WESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN CAROLINAS. ALTHOUGH
HURRICANE JOAQUIN IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OFFSHORE...WITH A FORECAST
TRACK TAKING THE STORM OUT TO SEA...TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO THE REGION ACROSS THE FRONT...WITH HEAVY
RAINS EXPECTED OVER A LARGE AREA. THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...THE
HEAVIEST RAIN IS FORECAST TO FALL ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA...EASTERN
GEORGIA...AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...WHERE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF
RAIN ARE EXPECTED. LOCALIZED RAINFALL TOTALS WITHIN THIS AREA MAY
EXCEED 12 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTH ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC
REGION...AND FARTHER WEST...FROM WEST VIRGINIA AND KENTUCKY SOUTH
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS IN
PLACE...WITH WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 40 MPH POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE EASTERN U.S. THESE WINDS MAY RESULT IN SCATTERED DOWNED TREES
AND POWER OUTAGES IN SOME AREAS DUE TO THE VERY WET SOIL
CONDITIONS. COASTAL FLOODING WILL ALSO REMAIN A HAZARD ALONG MUCH
OF THE EAST COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...DUE TO THE STRONG ONSHORE
FLOW.
THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.
RYAN
Last Updated: 524 PM EDT FRI OCT 02 2015