THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 11 FOR SOUTHEAST U.S. HEAVY RAIN AND COASTAL
STORM
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
500 AM EDT MON OCT 05 2015

UPDATED FOR HIGHEST PRECIP TOTAL IN SOUTH CAROLINA.

...HISTORIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING OCCURRING AND EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTO MONDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS....

WIND ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH
THE BULK OF THE CAROLINAS.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES...REMAIN
IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST COASTS.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 400 AM EDT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
1002 MB...29.59 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 140 MILES EAST OFF THE
COAST OF CHARLESTON...SOUTH CAROLINA. A STATIONARY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COASTLINE. A
DEEP PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMING WESTWARD...ASSOCIATED
WITH HURRICANE JOAQUIN...WAS INTERACTING WITH THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO PRODUCE
RAIN ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED RAIN WAS GENERALLY
MODERATE ACROSS EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...WHILE THE HEAVIER RAIN
WAS JUST OFFSHORE. LIGHT RAIN WAS FALLING IN EASTERN
GEORGIA...WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST. SOME SHOWERS WERE DEVELOPING IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA AS
WELL. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT...A STRONG PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS THE ENTIRE EASTERN U.S. WAS RESULTING IN GUSTY
WINDS. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WERE REPORTED IN SOME
AREAS. PERSISTENT AND STRONG EASTERLY FLOW HAS CONTINUED TO RESULT
IN COASTAL FLOODING AND HIGH SURF ALONG MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC
AND SOUTHEAST COASTLINE. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 AM EDT THU OCT
01 THROUGH 400 AM EDT MON OCT 05...

...GEORGIA...
DAHLONEGA 6 NW                        5.14                    
CLEVELAND 1 NE                        4.33                    
ST SIMONS ISLAND                      4.20                    
SAUTEE 3 W                            4.09                    
BAXLEY                                3.43                    
BRUNSWICK/MALCOLM MCKINNON AP         3.38                    
ALTO 4 SE                             3.29                    
R.H.BANDY STEAM PLANT (TVA)           3.27                    
ABBEVILLE 4S                          2.90                    
ROME 6SW                              2.71                    
TOCCOA                                2.55                    
ALMA/BACON CO. ARPT                   2.51                    
HAWKINSVILLE                          2.50                    
CHARLOTTE                             2.31                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
CALABASH 1 NNW                       16.13                    
LONGWOOD 1 NW                        13.63                    
SUNSET BEACH 2 WNW                   12.64                    
WILMINGTON AIRPORT                    8.79                    
LAKE WACCAMAW 3 S                     8.63                    
ELIZABETHTOWN 4 NNE                   8.01                    
OAKBORO 1 WNW                         7.76                    
RAEFORD 9.6 E                         7.43                    
POPE AFB                              7.33                    
FORT BRAGG                            7.00                    
BENSON 1 SSW                          6.87                    
ROCKINGHAM 0.6 WSW                    6.72                    
CAMERON 8 E                           6.71                    
WILSON 2 NNW                          6.52                    
ANSON COUNTY ARPT                     6.32                    
TABOR CITY 4 NE                       6.13                    
ALBEMARLE 5.1 SSE                     6.11                    
HARRELLS 0.7 SE                       5.90                    
PINETOPS                              5.79                    
RALEIGH-DURHAM INTL AIRPORT           3.76                    

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
CAINHOY 3 ESE                        26.88                    
BOONE HALL PLANTATION 3 NNE          24.23                    
MOUNT PLEASANT                       24.23                    
SHADOWMOSS 3 SSW                     23.51                    
LONGS 3 SE                           21.14                    
HUGER 5 NNW                          21.04                    
CHARLESTON 5 SSE                     20.37                    
GILLS CREEK                          20.28                    
LIMERICK 1 NNW                       19.71                    
SHAW AFB                             19.32                    
WATEREE                              18.90                    
KIAWAH ISLAND 4 NNW                  18.25                    
KINGSTREE                            17.53                    
SUMMERVILLE 3 NW                     17.23                    
JAMES ISLAND COUNTY PARK 1 NNE       17.00                    
CHARLESTON AIRPORT                   16.61                    
LITTLE RIVER 1 N                     16.00                    
GEORGETOWN 5 NNE                     15.95                    
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH                   15.86                    
GARRIS LANDING 2 NNW                 15.81                    
SANTEE                               14.84                    
HUGER 3 NNE                          14.68                    
SANGAREE 2 NE                        14.51                    
CHARLESTON NWS                       13.88                    
GOOSE CREEK 5 E                      11.26                    
MOUNT PLEASANT 6 NE                  11.06                    
COLUMBIA METRO APT                   10.77                    
FLORENCE 5 W                         10.45                    
WANDO 1 SSW                           8.76                    
DARLINGTON 1 W                        8.17                    

...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...

...DELAWARE...
BIG STONE BEACH 18 SE                 58                    
LEWES BEACH                           45                    
REHOBOTH BEACH                        42                    

...MASSACHUSETTS...
NANTUCKET                             47                    
OAK BLUFFS                            45                    

...MARYLAND...
OXFORD 2 NNW                          40                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
SMITH REYNOLDS AIRPORT                43                    

...NEW JERSEY...
CAPE MAY                              62                    
SEASIDE HEIGHTS                       56                    
TUCKERTON                             55                    
LITTLE SHEEPSHEAD CR                  54                    
LONG BEACH ISLAND                     47                    
OCEAN CITY                            47                    
PORT NORRIS 19 ESE                    45                    
SOUTH SEASIDE PARK                    45                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
LANDENBERG                            53                    

...RHODE ISLAND...
CHARLESTOWN                           46                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS
ENDED...

...DELAWARE...
NASSAU                                4.45                    
LONG NECK                             4.20                    
REHOBOTH BEACH                        3.75                    
DAGSBORO 7 ENE                        3.73                    
OCEAN VIEW 1 NW                       3.50                    
SELBYVILLE 7 E                        2.91                    
LEWES 2 SSW                           2.75                    
DOVER AFB                             2.61                    
SEAFORD 1 S                           2.55                    
DELMAR 4 E                            2.49                    
GEORGETOWN 6 W                        2.48                    
MILFORD 2 W                           2.01                    

...MARYLAND...
BISHOPVILLE 3.1 E                     4.67                    
FENTRESS 1 WSW                        4.16                    
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT                  3.65                    
TRAPPE 4 NE                           2.80                    
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT                   2.48                    
PATUXENT RIVER NAS                    2.11                    

...NEW JERSEY...
MILLVILLE MUNI ARPT                   2.15                    
ATLANTIC CITY INTL ARPT               1.36                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT                2.01                    

...TENNESSEE...
COLUMBIA                              5.48                    
DEL RIO 4SE (TVA)                     2.57                    
PRAIRIE PLAINS                        2.08                    

...VIRGINIA...
NORFOLK NAS                           3.77                    
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON                   3.43                    
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK                     2.98                    
NEWPORT/WILLIAMSBURG INTL ARPT        2.49                    
RICHMOND                              2.10                    


THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO START MOVING
SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH MONDAY. THE FRONT ALONG THE CAROLINA
COAST SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY STATIONARY. ALTHOUGH HURRICANE JOAQUIN
WILL REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE...TROPICAL MOISTURE AND STRONG EASTERLY
FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO THE REGION OVERRUNNING THE
FRONT. AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 MORE INCHES ARE STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THESE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO WIDESPREAD AND CATASTROPHIC FLOODING AND
FLASH FLOODING. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S.. GIVEN THE ALREADY VERY WET AND
SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION...SCATTERED DOWNED
TREES AND POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. COASTAL FLOODING WILL ALSO
REMAIN A HAZARD INTO MONDAY. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1100 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

TATE




Last Updated: 543 AM EDT MON OCT 05 2015