THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 13 FOR SOUTHEAST U.S. HEAVY RAIN AND COASTAL
STORM
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
500 PM EDT MON OCT 05 2015

...HISTORIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING OCCURRING AND EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS....

WIND ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS THE CAROLINAS.

FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND SOUTH
CAROLINA.

COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF THE MID-ATLANTIC.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 400 PM EDT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
1006 MB...29.71 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF
JACKSONVILLE...FLORIDA. A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED
NORTHWARD ALONG THE CAROLINA COASTLINE. A DEEP PLUME OF TROPICAL
MOISTURE STREAMING WESTWARD...PARTLY ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE
JOAQUIN...WAS INTERACTING WITH THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND A STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO PRODUCE RAIN ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHEAST. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATED RAIN WAS GENERALLY LIGHT AND SCATTERED
ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA...WITH AREAS OF MODERATE RAIN ACROSS EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA. A FEW PATCHES OF LIGHT RAIN WAS FALLING OVER
NORTHERN GEORGIA...AND FLORIDA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS IS WEAKENING BUT STRONGER WINDS WILL BE ALONG THE COAST.
 THE WIND SPEED WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48
HOURS. LIKEWISE...PERSISTENT AND STRONG EASTERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY
COME TO AN END OVER THE CAROLINAS. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 AM EDT THU OCT
01 THROUGH 400 PM EDT MON OCT 05...

...GEORGIA...
DAHLONEGA 6 NW                        5.14                    
CLEVELAND 1 NE                        4.33                    
CARNESVILLE                           4.26                    
ST SIMONS ISLAND                      4.20                    
SAUTEE 3 W                            4.09                    
ELBERTON                              3.82                    
BAXLEY                                3.43                    
BRUNSWICK/MALCOLM MCKINNON AP         3.38                    
ALTO 4 SE                             3.29                    
R.H.BANDY STEAM PLANT (TVA)           3.27                    
ABBEVILLE 4S                          2.90                    
ROME 6SW                              2.71                    
TOCCOA                                2.55                    
ALMA/BACON CO. ARPT                   2.51                    
HAWKINSVILLE                          2.50                    
CHARLOTTE                             2.31                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
CALABASH 1 NNW                       21.63                    
SUNSET BEACH 1.7 WNW                 18.79                    
MICHAEL J SMITH AP                   17.92                    
LELAND 2.2 SW                        14.85                    
LONGWOOD 1 NW                        13.63                    
BILLY MITCHELL AP                    13.15                    
BAYSHORE 1 ENE                       12.74                    
TABOR CITY 4 NE                      12.29                    
NEWPORT WFO (MHXN7)                  12.25                    
GREENVILLE (GREN7)                   11.16                    
WILMINGTON AIRPORT                    8.79                    
LAKE WACCAMAW 3 S                     8.63                    
ELIZABETHTOWN 4 NNE                   8.01                    
OAKBORO 1 WNW                         7.76                    
RAEFORD 9.6 E                         7.43                    
POPE AFB                              7.33                    
FORT BRAGG                            7.00                    
BENSON 1 SSW                          6.87                    
ROCKINGHAM 0.6 WSW                    6.72                    
CAMERON 8 E                           6.71                    
WILSON 2 NNW                          6.52                    
ANSON COUNTY ARPT                     6.32                    
ALBEMARLE 5.1 SSE                     6.11                    
HARRELLS 0.7 SE                       5.90                    
PINETOPS                              5.79                    
RALEIGH-DURHAM INTL AIRPORT           3.76                    

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
MOUNT PLEASANT 6 NE                  26.88                    
KINGSTREE                            24.75                    
BOONE HALL PLANTATION 3 NNE          24.23                    
SHADOWMOSS 3 SSW                     24.10                    
LONGS                                23.74                    
CHARLESTON 5.4 SSE                   23.61                    
KINGSTREE 9.5 NW                     23.35                    
LIMERICK 1 NNW                       22.02                    
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW                   21.45                    
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH 1.4 ENE           21.17                    
LONGS 3 SE                           21.14                    
HUGER 5 NNW                          21.04                    
GILLS CREEK                          20.28                    
GEORGETOWN 4.9 NNE                   19.72                    
SUMMERVILLE 3 NW                     19.47                    
SHAW AFB                             19.32                    
WATEREE                              18.90                    
KIAWAH ISLAND 4 NNW                  18.25                    
EFFINGHAM 2 W                        17.95                    
JAMES ISLAND COUNTY PARK 1 NNE       17.00                    
CHARLESTON AIRPORT                   16.61                    
LITTLE RIVER 1 N                     16.00                    
GARRIS LANDING 2 NNW                 15.81                    
SANTEE                               14.84                    
HUGER 3 NNE                          14.68                    
SANGAREE 2 NE                        14.51                    
FLORENCE 5 W                         14.34                    
CHARLESTON NWS                       13.88                    
GOOSE CREEK 5 E                      11.26                    
COLUMBIA METRO APT                   10.77                    
WANDO 1 SSW                           8.76                    
DARLINGTON 1 W                        8.17                    

...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...

...DELAWARE...
BIG STONE BEACH 18 SE                 58                    
LEWES BEACH                           45                    
REHOBOTH BEACH                        42                    

...MASSACHUSETTS...
NANTUCKET                             47                    
OAK BLUFFS                            45                    

...MARYLAND...
OXFORD 2 NNW                          40                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
SMITH REYNOLDS AIRPORT                43                    

...NEW JERSEY...
CAPE MAY                              62                    
SEASIDE HEIGHTS                       56                    
TUCKERTON                             55                    
LITTLE SHEEPSHEAD CR                  54                    
LONG BEACH ISLAND                     47                    
OCEAN CITY                            47                    
PORT NORRIS 19 ESE                    45                    
SOUTH SEASIDE PARK                    45                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
LANDENBERG                            53                    

...RHODE ISLAND...
CHARLESTOWN                           46                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS
ENDED...

...DELAWARE...
NASSAU                                4.45                    
LONG NECK                             4.20                    
REHOBOTH BEACH                        3.75                    
DAGSBORO 7 ENE                        3.73                    
OCEAN VIEW 1 NW                       3.50                    
SELBYVILLE 7 E                        2.91                    
LEWES 2 SSW                           2.75                    
DOVER AFB                             2.61                    
SEAFORD 1 S                           2.55                    
DELMAR 4 E                            2.49                    
GEORGETOWN 6 W                        2.48                    
MILFORD 2 W                           2.01                    

...MARYLAND...
BISHOPVILLE 3.1 E                     4.67                    
FENTRESS 1 WSW                        4.16                    
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT                  3.65                    
TRAPPE 4 NE                           2.80                    
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT                   2.48                    
PATUXENT RIVER NAS                    2.11                    

...NEW JERSEY...
MILLVILLE MUNI ARPT                   2.15                    
ATLANTIC CITY INTL ARPT               1.36                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT                2.01                    

...TENNESSEE...
COLUMBIA                              5.48                    
DEL RIO 4SE (TVA)                     2.57                    
PRAIRIE PLAINS                        2.08                    

...VIRGINIA...
NORFOLK NAS                           3.77                    
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON                   3.43                    
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK                     2.98                    
NEWPORT/WILLIAMSBURG INTL ARPT        2.49                    
RICHMOND                              2.10                    


THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH TUESDAY. THE FRONT ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST
WILL SLOWLY MOVE OFF THE COAST AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES AWAY.
TROPICAL MOISTURE AND STRONG EASTERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY COME TO AN
END ON TUESDAY. THE RAIN WILL SLOWLY TAPER OFF WITH ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES LOCALLY OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. THESE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CONTINUE TO LOCALLY EXACERBATE FLOODING
PROBLEMS ACROSS THE REGION. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
DIMINISH ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BY LATER MONDAY. GIVEN THE ALREADY
VERY WET AND SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
REGION...SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES ARE STILL
POSSIBLE. COASTAL FLOODING WILL ALSO REMAIN A HAZARD THROUGH
MONDAY. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

KREKELER




Last Updated: 441 PM EDT MON OCT 05 2015