THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
COLLEGE PARK, MD
STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE
STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 05 FOR SOUTHEAST U.S. HEAVY RAIN AND COASTAL
STORM
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
500 PM EDT SAT OCT 03 2015
...POTENTIALLY HISTORIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES...REMAIN
IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA... AS WELL AS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...FAR EASTERN TENNESSEE... AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF
THE EASTERN COASTLINE FROM FLORIDA TO MASSACHUSETTES.
WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST COASTLINE
FROM MASSACHUSETTES TO DELAWARE. THERE ARE ALSO WIND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA.
FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV
AT 400 PM EDT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
999 MB...29.50 INCHES...WAS LOCATED JUST OFF THE SOUTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST...ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON. A
STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OFF THIS LOW WAS SITTING JUST ALONG
THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS. A DEEP PLUME OF MOISTURE
STREAMING NORTHWARD...ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE JOAQUIN...WAS
INTERACTING WITH THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN AND THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WAS FALLING ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. ELSEWHERE...RAIN WAS GENERALLY LIGHT TO
MODERATE ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO EASTERN OHIO AND
NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA. ONLY SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN WAS FALLING
ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION FROM SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA TO
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN
THREAT...A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE ENTIRE EASTERN U.S.
WAS RESULTING IN STRONG AND GUSTY EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS.
WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WERE REPORTED IN SOME
AREAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. PERSISTENT AND STRONG EASTERLY
FLOW WAS ALSO RESULTING IN COASTAL FLOODING AND HIGH SURF ALONG
MUCH OF THE EAST COAST.
...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 AM EDT THU OCT
01 THROUGH 400 PM EDT SAT OCT 03...
...DELAWARE...
NASSAU 4.45
LONG NECK 4.20
REHOBOTH BEACH 3.75
DAGSBORO 7 ENE 3.73
OCEAN VIEW 1 NW 3.50
SELBYVILLE 7 E 2.91
LEWES 2 SSW 2.75
DOVER AFB 2.61
SEAFORD 1 S 2.55
DELMAR 4 E 2.49
GEORGETOWN 6 W 2.48
MILFORD 2 W 2.01
...GEORGIA...
ST SIMONS ISLAND 4.20
BAXLEY 3.43
BRUNSWICK/MALCOLM MCKINNON AP 3.38
R.H.BANDY STEAM PLANT (TVA) 3.27
ABBEVILLE 4S 2.90
ROME 6SW 2.71
TOCCOA 2.55
ALMA/BACON CO. ARPT 2.51
HAWKINSVILLE 2.50
CHARLOTTE 2.31
...MARYLAND...
BISHOPVILLE 3.1 E 4.67
FENTRESS 1 WSW 4.16
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 3.65
TRAPPE 4 NE 2.80
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 2.48
PATUXENT RIVER NAS 2.11
...NORTH CAROLINA...
CALABASH 1 NNW 9.04
OAKBORO 1 WNW 7.76
RAEFORD 9.6 E 7.43
POPE AFB 7.33
LONGWOOD 1 NW 7.04
FORT BRAGG 7.00
ANSON COUNTY AIRPORT 6.90
ANSON COUNTY ARPT 6.90
BENSON 1 SSW 6.87
CAMERON 8 E 6.71
ELIZABETHTOWN 4 NNE 6.68
WILSON 2 NNW 6.52
TABOR CITY 4 NE 6.13
PINETOPS 5.79
WILMINGTON 4.40
...NEW JERSEY...
MILLVILLE MUNI ARPT 2.15
ATLANTIC CITY INTL ARPT 1.36
...PENNSYLVANIA...
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 2.01
...SOUTH CAROLINA...
LITTLE RIVER 1 N 16.00
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH 15.86
LONGS 14.93
JAMES ISLAND 2 WSW 12.10
MOUNT PLEASANT 6 NE 11.06
CHARLESTON 3 ENE 10.49
KIAWAH ISLAND 2 NE 10.09
WANDO 1 SSW 8.76
DANIEL ISLAND 1 SSW 8.27
CHESTERFIELD 3 SW 7.20
SUMMERVILLE 1 SSW 6.75
HILTON HEAD ISLAND 4 N 5.31
MAYBANK BRIDGE 1 NE 5.25
SULLIVANS ISLAND 3.55
FLORENCE 3.36
GEORGETOWN 5 NNE 2.90
CHARLESTON 2.63
LONGS 1 NW 2.62
EDISTO ISLAND 2.43
CHESNEE 7WSW 2.13
...TENNESSEE...
COLUMBIA 5.48
DEL RIO 4SE (TVA) 2.57
PRAIRIE PLAINS 2.08
...VIRGINIA...
NORFOLK NAS 3.77
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON 3.43
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK 2.98
NEWPORT/WILLIAMSBURG INTL ARPT 2.49
RICHMOND 2.10
...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...
...DELAWARE...
BIG STONE BEACH 18 SE 58
LEWES BEACH 45
REHOBOTH BEACH 42
...MASSACHUSETTS...
NANTUCKET 47
OAK BLUFFS 45
...MARYLAND...
OXFORD 2 NNW 40
...NORTH CAROLINA...
SMITH REYNOLDS AIRPORT 43
...NEW JERSEY...
CAPE MAY 62
SEASIDE HEIGHTS 56
TUCKERTON 55
LITTLE SHEEPSHEAD CR 54
LONG BEACH ISLAND 47
OCEAN CITY 47
PORT NORRIS 19 ESE 45
SOUTH SEASIDE PARK 45
...PENNSYLVANIA...
LANDENBERG 53
...RHODE ISLAND...
CHARLESTOWN 46
THE SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. ALTHOUGH HURRICANE JOAQUIN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL
OFFSHORE...TROPICAL MOISTURE AND VERY STRONG EASTERLY FLOW WILL
CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO THE REGION OVERRUNNING THE FRONT. AS MUCH
AS 10 TO 15 ADDITIONAL INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTH CAROLINA WITH 5 TO 10 MORE INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
THESE EXTREME RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO WIDESPREAD
AND CATASTROPHIC FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
SOUTH CAROLINA AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...WITH DEBRIS FLOWS
POSSIBLE IN THE STEEPER TERRAIN. FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS AND THE MID-ATLANTIC...GENERALLY LESS THAN 2 INCHES
OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. GIVEN
THE ALREADY VERY WET AND SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
REGION...SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.
COASTAL FLOODING WILL ALSO REMAIN A HAZARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.
KREKELER
Last Updated: 442 PM EDT SAT OCT 03 2015