THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
COLLEGE PARK, MD
STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE
STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 06 FOR SOUTHEAST U.S. HEAVY RAIN AND COASTAL
STORM
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1100 PM EDT SAT OCT 03 2015
...POTENTIALLY HISTORIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...
WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST COASTLINE
FROM MASSACHUSETTS TO DELAWARE. THERE ARE ALSO WIND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF
THE EASTERN COASTLINE FROM FLORIDA TO CONNECTICUT.
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES...REMAIN
IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CAROLINA... AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST GEORGIA...FAR EASTERN TENNESSEE... AND SOUTHERN AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV
AT 1000 PM EDT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE
OF 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 20 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA. A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OFF
THIS LOW WAS SITTING JUST ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC
COASTS. A DEEP PLUME OF MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD...ASSOCIATED
WITH HURRICANE JOAQUIN...WAS INTERACTING WITH THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WAS FALLING
ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.
ELSEWHERE...RAIN WAS GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO EASTERN OHIO AND NORTHERN
PENNSYLVANIA. ONLY SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN WAS FALLING ACROSS THE
MID-ATLANTIC REGION FROM SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA TO CENTRAL AND
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT...A
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE ENTIRE EASTERN U.S. WAS
RESULTING IN STRONG AND GUSTY EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS.
WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WERE REPORTED IN SOME
AREAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. PERSISTENT AND STRONG EASTERLY
FLOW WAS ALSO RESULTING IN COASTAL FLOODING AND HIGH SURF ALONG
MUCH OF THE EAST COAST.
...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 AM EDT THU OCT
01 THROUGH 1000 PM EDT SAT OCT 03...
...DELAWARE...
NASSAU 4.45
LONG NECK 4.20
REHOBOTH BEACH 3.75
DAGSBORO 7 ENE 3.73
OCEAN VIEW 1 NW 3.50
SELBYVILLE 7 E 2.91
LEWES 2 SSW 2.75
DOVER AFB 2.61
SEAFORD 1 S 2.55
DELMAR 4 E 2.49
GEORGETOWN 6 W 2.48
MILFORD 2 W 2.01
...GEORGIA...
ST SIMONS ISLAND 4.20
BAXLEY 3.43
BRUNSWICK/MALCOLM MCKINNON AP 3.38
R.H.BANDY STEAM PLANT (TVA) 3.27
ABBEVILLE 4S 2.90
ROME 6SW 2.71
TOCCOA 2.55
ALMA/BACON CO. ARPT 2.51
HAWKINSVILLE 2.50
CHARLOTTE 2.31
...MARYLAND...
BISHOPVILLE 3.1 E 4.67
FENTRESS 1 WSW 4.16
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 3.65
TRAPPE 4 NE 2.80
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 2.48
PATUXENT RIVER NAS 2.11
...NORTH CAROLINA...
CALABASH 1 NNW 9.04
OAKBORO 1 WNW 7.76
RAEFORD 9.6 E 7.43
POPE AFB 7.33
LONGWOOD 1 NW 7.04
FORT BRAGG 7.00
ANSON COUNTY ARPT 6.90
BENSON 1 SSW 6.87
CAMERON 8 E 6.71
ELIZABETHTOWN 4 NNE 6.68
WILSON 2 NNW 6.52
TABOR CITY 4 NE 6.13
PINETOPS 5.79
WILMINGTON 4.40
...NEW JERSEY...
MILLVILLE MUNI ARPT 2.15
ATLANTIC CITY INTL ARPT 1.36
...PENNSYLVANIA...
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 2.01
...SOUTH CAROLINA...
LITTLE RIVER 1 N 16.00
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH 15.86
BOONE HALL PLANTATION 3 NNE 15.20
LONGS 14.93
SHADOWMOSS 3 SSW 14.92
JAMES ISLAND 2 WSW 12.10
MOUNT PLEASANT 6 NE 11.06
CHARLESTON 3 ENE 10.49
KIAWAH ISLAND 2 NE 10.09
WANDO 1 SSW 8.76
CHARLESTON MUNI ARPT 8.67
DANIEL ISLAND 1 SSW 8.27
CHESTERFIELD 3 SW 7.20
SUMMERVILLE 1 SSW 6.75
HILTON HEAD ISLAND 4 N 5.31
MAYBANK BRIDGE 1 NE 5.25
SULLIVANS ISLAND 3.55
FLORENCE 3.36
GEORGETOWN 5 NNE 2.90
CHARLESTON 2.63
LONGS 1 NW 2.62
EDISTO ISLAND 2.43
CHESNEE 7WSW 2.13
...TENNESSEE...
COLUMBIA 5.48
DEL RIO 4SE (TVA) 2.57
PRAIRIE PLAINS 2.08
...VIRGINIA...
NORFOLK NAS 3.77
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON 3.43
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK 2.98
NEWPORT/WILLIAMSBURG INTL ARPT 2.49
RICHMOND 2.10
...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...
...DELAWARE...
BIG STONE BEACH 18 SE 58
LEWES BEACH 45
REHOBOTH BEACH 42
...MASSACHUSETTS...
NANTUCKET 47
OAK BLUFFS 45
...MARYLAND...
OXFORD 2 NNW 40
...NORTH CAROLINA...
SMITH REYNOLDS AIRPORT 43
...NEW JERSEY...
CAPE MAY 62
SEASIDE HEIGHTS 56
TUCKERTON 55
LITTLE SHEEPSHEAD CR 54
LONG BEACH ISLAND 47
OCEAN CITY 47
PORT NORRIS 19 ESE 45
SOUTH SEASIDE PARK 45
...PENNSYLVANIA...
LANDENBERG 53
...RHODE ISLAND...
CHARLESTOWN 46
THE SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. ALTHOUGH HURRICANE JOAQUIN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL
OFFSHORE...TROPICAL MOISTURE AND VERY STRONG EASTERLY FLOW WILL
CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO THE REGION OVERRUNNING THE FRONT. AS MUCH
AS 5 TO 10 MORE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CAROLINA AND THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS. THESE EXTREME RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO
WIDESPREAD AND CATASTROPHIC FLOODING AND FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA AND WESTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...WITH DEBRIS FLOWS POSSIBLE IN THE STEEPER TERRAIN.
FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND THE
MID-ATLANTIC...GENERALLY LESS THAN 2 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. GIVEN THE ALREADY VERY WET
AND SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION...SCATTERED DOWNED
TREES AND POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. COASTAL FLOODING WILL ALSO
REMAIN A HAZARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.
KREKELER
Last Updated: 1013 PM EDT SAT OCT 03 2015