THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
COLLEGE PARK, MD
STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE
STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 07 FOR SOUTHEAST U.S. HEAVY RAIN AND COASTAL
STORM
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
500 AM EDT SUN OCT 04 2015
...POTENTIALLY HISTORIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING OCCURRING
AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST U.S....
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES...REMAIN
IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CAROLINA... AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST GEORGIA...FAR EASTERN TENNESSEE... AND SOUTHERN AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF
THE EASTERN COASTLINE FROM FLORIDA TO CONNECTICUT.
WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
CAROLINA COASTLINE FROM DELAWARE TO SOUTH CAROLINA. THERE ARE ALSO
WIND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF INLAND NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA.
FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV
AT 400 AM EDT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
1000 MB...29.53 INCHES...WAS LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST. A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OFF THIS LOW WAS
SITTING JUST ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTLINE. A DEEP
PLUME OF MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD...ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE
JOAQUIN...WAS INTERACTING WITH THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND A STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS
PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WAS
FALLING ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CAROLINA. ELSEWHERE...RAIN WAS
GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.
ONLY SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN WAS FALLING ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION FROM CENTRAL MARYLAND TO CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT...A STRONG PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS THE ENTIRE EASTERN U.S. WAS RESULTING IN STRONG
AND GUSTY EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
40 TO 50 MPH WERE REPORTED IN SOME AREAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST. PERSISTENT AND STRONG EASTERLY FLOW WAS ALSO RESULTING IN
COASTAL FLOODING AND HIGH SURF ALONG MUCH OF THE EAST COAST.
...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 AM EDT THU OCT
01 THROUGH 400 AM EDT SUN OCT 04...
...DELAWARE...
NASSAU 4.45
LONG NECK 4.20
REHOBOTH BEACH 3.75
DAGSBORO 7 ENE 3.73
OCEAN VIEW 1 NW 3.50
SELBYVILLE 7 E 2.91
LEWES 2 SSW 2.75
DOVER AFB 2.61
SEAFORD 1 S 2.55
DELMAR 4 E 2.49
GEORGETOWN 6 W 2.48
MILFORD 2 W 2.01
...GEORGIA...
ST SIMONS ISLAND 4.20
BAXLEY 3.43
BRUNSWICK/MALCOLM MCKINNON AP 3.38
R.H.BANDY STEAM PLANT (TVA) 3.27
ABBEVILLE 4S 2.90
ROME 6SW 2.71
TOCCOA 2.55
ALMA/BACON CO. ARPT 2.51
HAWKINSVILLE 2.50
CHARLOTTE 2.31
...MARYLAND...
BISHOPVILLE 3.1 E 4.67
FENTRESS 1 WSW 4.16
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 3.65
TRAPPE 4 NE 2.80
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 2.48
PATUXENT RIVER NAS 2.11
...NORTH CAROLINA...
CALABASH 1 NNW 9.04
OAKBORO 1 WNW 7.76
RAEFORD 9.6 E 7.43
POPE AFB 7.33
LONGWOOD 1 NW 7.04
FORT BRAGG 7.00
ANSON COUNTY ARPT 6.90
BENSON 1 SSW 6.87
CAMERON 8 E 6.71
ELIZABETHTOWN 4 NNE 6.68
WILSON 2 NNW 6.52
TABOR CITY 4 NE 6.13
PINETOPS 5.79
WILMINGTON 4.40
...NEW JERSEY...
MILLVILLE MUNI ARPT 2.15
ATLANTIC CITY INTL ARPT 1.36
...PENNSYLVANIA...
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 2.01
...SOUTH CAROLINA...
HUGER 5 NNW 18.32
BOONE HALL PLANTATION 3 ENE 17.10
LITTLE RIVER 1 N 16.00
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH 15.86
GARRIS LANDING 2 NNW 15.81
BOONE HALL PLANTATION 3 NNE 15.20
LONGS 14.93
CHARLESTON MUNI ARPT 14.92
SHADOWMOSS 3 SSW 14.92
HUGER 3 NNE 14.68
SANGAREE 2 NE 14.51
CHARLESTON NWS 13.88
JAMES ISLAND 2 WSW 12.10
GOOSE CREEK 5 E 11.26
SANTEE 6 NNE 11.10
MOUNT PLEASANT 6 NE 11.06
KIAWAH ISLAND 2 NE 10.09
WANDO 1 SSW 8.76
EASTOVER 6 SE 8.51
DANIEL ISLAND 1 SSW 8.27
CHESTERFIELD 3 SW 7.20
COLUMBIA METRO APT 6.77
SUMMERVILLE 1 SSW 6.75
HILTON HEAD ISLAND 4 N 5.31
MAYBANK BRIDGE 1 NE 5.25
...TENNESSEE...
COLUMBIA 5.48
DEL RIO 4SE (TVA) 2.57
PRAIRIE PLAINS 2.08
...VIRGINIA...
NORFOLK NAS 3.77
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON 3.43
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK 2.98
NEWPORT/WILLIAMSBURG INTL ARPT 2.49
RICHMOND 2.10
...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...
...DELAWARE...
BIG STONE BEACH 18 SE 58
LEWES BEACH 45
REHOBOTH BEACH 42
...MASSACHUSETTS...
NANTUCKET 47
OAK BLUFFS 45
...MARYLAND...
OXFORD 2 NNW 40
...NORTH CAROLINA...
SMITH REYNOLDS AIRPORT 43
...NEW JERSEY...
CAPE MAY 62
SEASIDE HEIGHTS 56
TUCKERTON 55
LITTLE SHEEPSHEAD CR 54
LONG BEACH ISLAND 47
OCEAN CITY 47
PORT NORRIS 19 ESE 45
SOUTH SEASIDE PARK 45
...PENNSYLVANIA...
LANDENBERG 53
...RHODE ISLAND...
CHARLESTOWN 46
THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT HAS BEEN MAINLY
STATIONARY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH
SUNDAY. THE STATIONARY FRONT SHOULD REMAIN ALONG THE CAROLINA
COAST. ALTHOUGH HURRICANE JOAQUIN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL
OFFSHORE...TROPICAL MOISTURE AND VERY STRONG EASTERLY FLOW WILL
CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO THE REGION OVERRUNNING THE FRONT. AS MUCH
AS 5 TO 10 MORE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS. THESE EXTREME RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO
WIDESPREAD AND CATASTROPHIC FLOODING AND FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA. STRONG AND GUSTY
WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S.
GIVEN THE ALREADY VERY WET AND SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE REGION...SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES ARE
POSSIBLE. COASTAL FLOODING WILL ALSO REMAIN A HAZARD THROUGH
SUNDAY.
THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1100 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.
TATE
Last Updated: 509 AM EDT SUN OCT 04 2015