THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 08 FOR SOUTHEAST U.S. HEAVY RAIN AND COASTAL
STORM
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1100 AM EDT SUN OCT 04 2015

...HISTORIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING OCCURRING AND EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TODAY AND INTO MONDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS....

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES...REMAIN
IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CAROLINA... AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST GEORGIA...FAR EASTERN TENNESSEE... AND SOUTHERN AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST COASTS.

WIND ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTHEAST GEORGIA TO
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE CAROLINA COASTLINES.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 1000 AM EDT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE
OF 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 75 MILES OFF THE
COAST OF CHARLESTON...SOUTH CAROLINA. A STATIONARY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM THE LOW ALONG THE SOUTH AND NORTH
CAROLINA COASTLINES. A DEEP PLUME OF MOISTURE STREAMING
NORTHWESTWARD...ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE JOAQUIN...WAS
INTERACTING WITH THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WAS FALLING
ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CAROLINA. ELSEWHERE... RAIN WAS GENERALLY
LIGHT TO MODERATE ACROSS COASTAL TO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA. ONLY SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN WAS FALLING ACROSS
CENTRAL TO WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA. IN
ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT...A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE ENTIRE EASTERN U.S. WAS RESULTING IN GUSTY WINDS. WIND
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WERE REPORTED IN SOME AREAS.
PERSISTENT AND STRONG EASTERLY FLOW HAS CONTINUED TO RESULT IN
COASTAL FLOODING AND HIGH SURF ALONG MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
SOUTHEAST COASTLINE.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 AM EDT THU OCT
01 THROUGH 1000 AM EDT SUN OCT 04...

...GEORGIA...
DAHLONEGA 6 NW                        5.14                    
CLEVELAND 1 NE                        4.33                    
ST SIMONS ISLAND                      4.20                    
SAUTEE 3 W                            4.09                    
BAXLEY                                3.43                    
BRUNSWICK/MALCOLM MCKINNON AP         3.38                    
ALTO 4 SE                             3.29                    
R.H.BANDY STEAM PLANT (TVA)           3.27                    
ABBEVILLE 4S                          2.90                    
ROME 6SW                              2.71                    
TOCCOA                                2.55                    
ALMA/BACON CO. ARPT                   2.51                    
HAWKINSVILLE                          2.50                    
CHARLOTTE                             2.31                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
CALABASH 1 NNW                        9.04                    
OAKBORO 1 WNW                         7.76                    
RAEFORD 9.6 E                         7.43                    
POPE AFB                              7.33                    
LONGWOOD 1 NW                         7.04                    
FORT BRAGG                            7.00                    
BENSON 1 SSW                          6.87                    
ROCKINGHAM 0.6 WSW                    6.72                    
CAMERON 8 E                           6.71                    
ELIZABETHTOWN 4 NNE                   6.68                    
WILSON 2 NNW                          6.52                    
ANSON COUNTY ARPT                     6.32                    
TABOR CITY 4 NE                       6.13                    
ALBEMARLE 5.1 SSE                     6.11                    
HARRELLS 0.7 SE                       5.90                    
PINETOPS                              5.79                    
WILMINGTON                            4.40                    
RALEIGH-DURHAM INTL AIRPORT           3.76                    

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
BOONE HALL PLANTATION 3 NNE          24.23                    
SHADOWMOSS 3 SSW                     22.47                    
HUGER 5 NNW                          18.32                    
KIAWAH ISLAND 4 NNW                  18.25                    
JAMES ISLAND COUNTY PARK 1 NNE       17.00                    
CHARLESTON AIRPORT                   16.61                    
LITTLE RIVER 1 N                     16.00                    
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH                   15.86                    
GARRIS LANDING 2 NNW                 15.81                    
LONGS                                14.93                    
HUGER 3 NNE                          14.68                    
SANGAREE 2 NE                        14.51                    
CHARLESTON NWS                       13.88                    
KINGSTREE                            11.65                    
GOOSE CREEK 5 E                      11.26                    
SANTEE 6 NNE                         11.10                    
MOUNT PLEASANT 6 NE                  11.06                    
SAMPIT 1 ENE                          9.04                    
WANDO 1 SSW                           8.76                    
EASTOVER 6 SE                         8.51                    
COLUMBIA METRO APT                    6.77                    
HILTON HEAD ISLAND 4 N                5.31                    
MAYBANK BRIDGE 1 NE                   5.25                    

...TENNESSEE...
COLUMBIA                              5.48                    
DEL RIO 4SE (TVA)                     2.57                    
PRAIRIE PLAINS                        2.08                    

...VIRGINIA...
NORFOLK NAS                           3.77                    
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON                   3.43                    
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK                     2.98                    
NEWPORT/WILLIAMSBURG INTL ARPT        2.49                    
RICHMOND                              2.10                    

...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...

...DELAWARE...
BIG STONE BEACH 18 SE                 58                    
LEWES BEACH                           45                    
REHOBOTH BEACH                        42                    

...MASSACHUSETTS...
NANTUCKET                             47                    
OAK BLUFFS                            45                    

...MARYLAND...
OXFORD 2 NNW                          40                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
SMITH REYNOLDS AIRPORT                43                    

...NEW JERSEY...
CAPE MAY                              62                    
SEASIDE HEIGHTS                       56                    
TUCKERTON                             55                    
LITTLE SHEEPSHEAD CR                  54                    
LONG BEACH ISLAND                     47                    
OCEAN CITY                            47                    
PORT NORRIS 19 ESE                    45                    
SOUTH SEASIDE PARK                    45                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
LANDENBERG                            53                    

...RHODE ISLAND...
CHARLESTOWN                           46                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS
ENDED...

...DELAWARE...
NASSAU                                4.45                    
LONG NECK                             4.20                    
REHOBOTH BEACH                        3.75                    
DAGSBORO 7 ENE                        3.73                    
OCEAN VIEW 1 NW                       3.50                    
SELBYVILLE 7 E                        2.91                    
LEWES 2 SSW                           2.75                    
DOVER AFB                             2.61                    
SEAFORD 1 S                           2.55                    
DELMAR 4 E                            2.49                    
GEORGETOWN 6 W                        2.48                    
MILFORD 2 W                           2.01                    

...MARYLAND...
BISHOPVILLE 3.1 E                     4.67                    
FENTRESS 1 WSW                        4.16                    
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT                  3.65                    
TRAPPE 4 NE                           2.80                    
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT                   2.48                    
PATUXENT RIVER NAS                    2.11                    

...NEW JERSEY...
MILLVILLE MUNI ARPT                   2.15                    
ATLANTIC CITY INTL ARPT               1.36                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT                2.01                    


THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT HAS BEEN MAINLY
STATIONARY IS EXPECTED TO START MOVING SLOWLY EAST AND
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH MONDAY. THE FRONT ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST
SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY STATIONARY TODAY AND MONDAY. ALTHOUGH
HURRICANE JOAQUIN WILL REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE...TROPICAL MOISTURE
AND STRONG EASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO THE REGION
OVERRUNNING THE FRONT. AS MUCH AS 5 TO 10 MORE INCHES ARE STILL
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. THESE EXTREME RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO WIDESPREAD AND CATASTROPHIC FLOODING AND
FLASH FLOODING. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND
MONDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S.. GIVEN THE ALREADY VERY WET
AND SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION...SCATTERED DOWNED
TREES AND POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. COASTAL FLOODING WILL ALSO
REMAIN A HAZARD INTO MONDAY.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 500 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

SANTORELLI




Last Updated: 1059 AM EDT SUN OCT 04 2015