THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 01 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1000 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015

...A MULTI-DAY HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IS BEGINNING TO UNFOLD ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH FLASH FLOODING LIKELY...

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN CENTRAL
TEXAS AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 900 AM CDT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
1012 MB...29.88 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 55 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF AMARILLIO TEXAS. FROM THE LOW...A STATIONARY BOUNDARY
EXTENDS TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CETNRAL PLAINS TOWARD THE
GREAT LAKES. A STATIONARY BOUNDARY ALSO EXTENDS FROM THE LOW TO
THE SOUTH INTO THE BIG BEND REGION. DEEP MOISTURE IS INTERACTING
WITH A STRONG JET ALOFT AND A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET TO PRODUCE A
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED A SQUALL LINE MOVING
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. FURTHER
NORTH...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WAS BEING OBSERVED ACROSS
WESTERN KANSAS AND COLORADO. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WERE ALSO OBSERVED ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT
21 THROUGH 900 AM CDT THU OCT 22...

...COLORADO...
TYRONE 6 SE                           2.51                    
TRINIDAD 2 ENE                        2.29                    
THATCHER 7 SSE                        2.22                    
STONINGTON 9 SE                       2.13                    

...KANSAS...
GARDEN CITY REG ARPT                  2.17                    
LIBERAL MUNI ARPT                     1.78                    

...NEW MEXICO...
ARTESIA 4 NNE                         2.84                    
PORTALES 1 SW                         2.75                    
GASCON 1 WNW                          2.62                    
CLOVIS 3 ENE                          2.35                    
ROSWELL 4 WNW                         2.25                    
SEDILLO 2 WNW                         1.78                    
GILA 3 NE                             1.72                    
CHAMA                                 1.65                    
MAYHILL 1 NNE                         1.60                    
ALBUQUERQUE 6 E                       1.38                    
CLIFF 6 NE                            1.34                    

...OKLAHOMA...
GUYMON MUNI ARPT                      3.27                    
FORGAN 10 NW                          2.80                    

...TEXAS...
DENVER CITY                           3.75                    
CANYON                                3.31                    
LUBBOCK 6 SW                          3.23                    
ABERNATHY                             3.01                    
DUMAS                                 2.96                    
BORGER/HUTCHINSON                     2.35                    
ODESSA-SCHLEMEYER FIELD               2.29                    
MIDLAND/ODESSA WFO                    2.27                    
SWEETWATER                            2.00                    


STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
FOCUSED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TODAY. THE
AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS AFFECTING THE MAJORITY OF TEXAS...SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS
MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. 4 TO 8 INCHES IS
POSSIBLE IN A SWATH FROM CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS TO THE RED RIVER
INCLUDING THE I-35 CORRIDOR FROM SAN ANTONIO TO DALLAS. FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE A MAJOR CONCERN ACROSS THER REGION AS THE HEAVY
RAIN IS COMING AFTER A PROLONGED DRY PERIOD.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

KREKELER




Last Updated: 1051 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015