THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 12 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...A MULTI-DAY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD EVENT CONTINUES TO
PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY... 

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND COASTAL TEXAS AS WELL AS
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 300 AM CDT...A SURFACE LOW WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1001
MB...29.56 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 80 MILES OFFSHORE OF CORPUS
CHRISTI...TEXAS. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WAS STREAMING INTO EASTERN
TEXAS AND THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS MORNING. THIS
MOISTURE...ALONG WITH A WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS ALREADY IN
PLACE...WAS FOSTERING AN ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
AND FLASH FLOODING. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATED AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
AFFECTING MAINLY SOUTHEAST TEXAS...JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE
SURFACE LOW. ELSEWHERE...ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS AND INTO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN...WITH EMBEDDED HEAVY
RAIN...WAS BEING REPORTED.  

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT
21 THROUGH 300 AM CDT SUN OCT 25...

...ARKANSAS...
WALDO 4.2 S                           6.18                    
CAMDEN 6.3 N                          4.55                    
HOPE 0.9 SSW                          4.42                    
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT                   4.22                    
HOPE 12.2 S                           3.62                    
FOUKE 5.3 ENE                         3.14                    
MOUNT IDA                             2.68                    

...LOUISIANA...
BARKSDALE AFB/BOSSIER CITY            5.42                    
SHREVEPORT DOWNTOWN ARPT              3.13                    
WHITE BAYOU NEAR ZACHARY              2.28                    
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT            2.12                    
ENGLAND AFB/ALEXANDRIA                1.65                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
VICKSBURG/TALLULAH ARPT               1.83                    
NATCHEZ/HARDY                         1.68                    

...TEXAS...
POWELL 1.0 SW                        20.15                    
CORSICANA/CAMPBELL FIELD             20.07                    
COOLIDGE 5 N                         20.00                    
RICHLAND CHAMBERS RESERVOIR          19.72                    
GRAPEVINE                            18.67                    
ASH CREEK NEAR MALONE                18.53                    
CAYUGA                               18.30                    
TRINITY RIVER AT TRINIDAD            17.43                    
KERENS 3 NW                          16.11                    
SOUTHLAKE 2 W                        15.52                    
BRANDON                              14.02                    
CEDAR CREEK RESERVOIR                13.17                    
FAYETTEVILLE 5 W                     12.79                    
RICHLAND CREEK NEAR MERTENS          12.28                    
MIDDLE SULPHUR R                     11.67                    
WACO 1.4 S                           11.39                    
ANDERSON MILL 2 SSE                  11.00                    
CADDO MILLS 4 ESE                    10.86                    
PALACIOS 16 E                        10.03                    
BURNET 5 NNW                          9.14                    
ARLINGTON MUNICIPAL AIRPORT           8.88                    
DALLAS/LOVE FIELD                     8.37                    
DALLAS/FORT WORTH INTL ARPT           7.64                    
WHARTON                               7.11                    
AUSTIN 10.7 N                         6.66                    
FORT WORTH NAS                        6.50                    
SAN ANTONIO 3 SSE                     5.71                    
HOUSTON                               4.72                    
LUBBOCK 6 SW                          3.23                    
MIDLAND/ODESSA WFO                    2.46                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS
ENDED...

...COLORADO...
TYRONE 6 SE                           2.51                    
TRINIDAD 2 ENE                        2.29                    
THATCHER 7 SSE                        2.22                    
STONINGTON 9 SE                       2.13                    
TIMPAS 13 S                           1.82                    
TWO BUTTES 12 NE                      1.70                    
HOEHNE 3 ESE                          1.53                    
CAMPO 4 SW                            1.45                    
THATCHER 11 SSE                       1.23                    
RYE 2 W                               1.14                    
COLORADO CITY 7 E                     1.08                    
SWISSVALE 3 SW                        1.05                    
WESTON 6 ESE                          1.04                    

...KANSAS...
GARDEN CITY REG ARPT                  2.28                    
DODGE CITY WFO                        1.92                    
LIBERAL MUNI ARPT                     1.78                    

...NEW MEXICO...
ARTESIA 4 NNE                         2.84                    
PORTALES 1 SW                         2.75                    
GASCON 1 WNW                          2.62                    
CLOVIS 3 ENE                          2.35                    
ROSWELL 4 WNW                         2.25                    
SEDILLO 2 WNW                         1.78                    
GILA 3 NE                             1.72                    
CHAMA                                 1.65                    
MAYHILL 1 NNE                         1.60                    
ALBUQUERQUE 6 E                       1.38                    
CLIFF 6 NE                            1.34                    

...OKLAHOMA...
COLEMAN 4.6 WNW                       4.86                    
COLBERT 2.2 SSW                       4.80                    
PENNINGTON CREEK NEAR REAGAN          4.47                    
MARIETTA 2.8 SW                       4.42                    
MCGEE CREEK RESERVOIR NEAR FARRIS     3.63                    
BLUE RIVER                            3.48                    
GUYMON MUNI ARPT                      3.27                    
FORGAN 10 NW                          2.80                    
LITTLE BEAVER CREEK NEAR DUNCAN       2.29                    
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT               2.21                    
JIMMY CREEK NEAR MEERS                2.19                    
FOURCHE MALINE NEAR RED OAK           2.09                    


THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH EASTWARD WHILE TRANSPORTING DEEP MOISTURE AHEAD OF IT INTO
THE WESTERN GULF COAST REGION...THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND
EVENTUALLY THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION. THIS WILL PROLONG
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ON SUNDAY...THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL FOCUS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS...LOUISIANA...AND PORTIONS OF
MISSISSIPPI...WHERE 3 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. BY MONDAY...THE HEAVIEST OF THE RAINFALL
WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION AND 2 TO 5 INCHES OF
RAIN IS EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. WITH ALL THE HEAVY
RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A LARGE THREAT FROM
EAST TEXAS TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

SANTORELLI




Last Updated: 453 AM EDT SUN OCT 25 2015