THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 02 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015

...A MULTI-DAY HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IS UNFOLDING ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH FLASH FLOODING LIKELY... 

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
NORTHERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN TEXAS AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALL
PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN TEXAS.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
COLORADO.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 300 PM CDT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
1008 MB...29.77 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES WEST OF
GOODLAND KANSAS. FROM THE LOW...A WARM FRONT EXTENDED TO THE
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TOWARD
THE GREAT LAKES. A STATIONARY BOUNDARY ALSO EXTENDS FROM THE LOW
TO THE SOUTH INTO THE BIG BEND REGION. DEEP MOISTURE IS
INTERACTING WITH A STRONG JET ALOFT AND A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET TO
PRODUCE A HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY MOVING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. FURTHER
NORTH...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WAS MOVING THROUGH COLORADO AND
NEBRASKA AND ENTERING SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING AND SOUTHERN SOUTH
DAKOTA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO OBSERVED
ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT
21 THROUGH 300 PM CDT THU OCT 22...

...COLORADO...
TYRONE 6 SE                           2.51                    
TRINIDAD 2 ENE                        2.29                    
THATCHER 7 SSE                        2.22                    
STONINGTON 9 SE                       2.13                    
TIMPAS 13 S                           1.82                    
HOEHNE 3 ESE                          1.53                    
CAMPO 4 SW                            1.45                    
THATCHER 11 SSE                       1.23                    
RYE 2 W                               1.14                    
COLORADO CITY 7 E                     1.08                    
SWISSVALE 3 SW                        1.05                    
WESTON 6 ESE                          1.04                    

...KANSAS...
GARDEN CITY REG ARPT                  2.17                    
LIBERAL MUNI ARPT                     1.78                    

...NEW MEXICO...
ARTESIA 4 NNE                         2.84                    
PORTALES 1 SW                         2.75                    
GASCON 1 WNW                          2.62                    
CLOVIS 3 ENE                          2.35                    
ROSWELL 4 WNW                         2.25                    
SEDILLO 2 WNW                         1.78                    
GILA 3 NE                             1.72                    
CHAMA                                 1.65                    
MAYHILL 1 NNE                         1.60                    
ALBUQUERQUE 6 E                       1.38                    
CLIFF 6 NE                            1.34                    

...OKLAHOMA...
GUYMON MUNI ARPT                      3.27                    
FORGAN 10 NW                          2.80                    

...TEXAS...
DENVER CITY                           3.75                    
CANYON                                3.31                    
LUBBOCK 6 SW                          3.23                    
ABERNATHY                             3.01                    
DUMAS                                 2.96                    
BORGER/HUTCHINSON                     2.35                    
ODESSA-SCHLEMEYER FIELD               2.29                    
MIDLAND/ODESSA WFO                    2.27                    
SWEETWATER                            2.00                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT
21 THROUGH 300 PM CDT THU OCT 22...

...COLORADO...
BRECKENRIDGE 2 SSE                    3.4                    
TABERNASH 2 SSE                       3.0                    
CRESTED BUTTE                         2.0                    
FAIRPLAY N                            2.0                    
WOODLAND PARK 1 WSW                   2.0                    


STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
FOCUSED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA TODAY.
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS AFFECTING THE MAJORITY OF TEXAS...SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. A TOTAL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OF
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE A MAJOR CONCERN ACROSS THE REGION AS THE HEAVY
RAIN PARTICULARLY OVER THE HILL COUNTRY AND IN URBAN AREAS. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

FANNING




Last Updated: 454 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015