STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 04 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015

...A MULTI-DAY HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT CONTINUES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WITH FLASH FLOODING LIKELY... 

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL TEXAS AS
WELL AS INTO SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
WESTERN GULF COAST.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
COLORADO.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 300 AM CDT...AN AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WITH A CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ALONG THE SOUTH
DAKOTA AND NEBRASKA BORDER ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RAPID CITY.
A WARM FRONT EXTENDED EASTWARD FROM THE LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS AND INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WITH A COLD FRONT
EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD INTO EASTERN COLORADO. A SECONDARY
BOUNDARY...SERVING AS A FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND
CONVECTION...WAS NEARLY STATIONARY AND ORIENTED IN A SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST DIRECTION ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS. A WARM AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS WAS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
WITH SOUTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW BRINGING PLENTY OF DEEP MOISTURE
INTO THE REGION. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATED AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND INTO SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ELSEWHERE...LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAIN WAS FALLING TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE LOW FROM THE
NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS WERE ALSO BEING REPORTED IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
COLORADO UNDERNEATH THE UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT
21 THROUGH 300 AM CDT THU OCT 22...

...COLORADO...
TYRONE 6 SE                           2.51                    
TRINIDAD 2 ENE                        2.29                    
THATCHER 7 SSE                        2.22                    
STONINGTON 9 SE                       2.13                    
TIMPAS 13 S                           1.82                    
TWO BUTTES 12 NE                      1.70                    
HOEHNE 3 ESE                          1.53                    
CAMPO 4 SW                            1.45                    
THATCHER 11 SSE                       1.23                    
RYE 2 W                               1.14                    
COLORADO CITY 7 E                     1.08                    
SWISSVALE 3 SW                        1.05                    
WESTON 6 ESE                          1.04                    

...KANSAS...
GARDEN CITY REG ARPT                  2.17                    
LIBERAL MUNI ARPT                     1.78                    

...NEW MEXICO...
ARTESIA 4 NNE                         2.84                    
PORTALES 1 SW                         2.75                    
GASCON 1 WNW                          2.62                    
CLOVIS 3 ENE                          2.35                    
ROSWELL 4 WNW                         2.25                    
SEDILLO 2 WNW                         1.78                    
GILA 3 NE                             1.72                    
CHAMA                                 1.65                    
MAYHILL 1 NNE                         1.60                    
ALBUQUERQUE 6 E                       1.38                    
CLIFF 6 NE                            1.34                    

...OKLAHOMA...
PENNINGTON CREEK NEAR REAGAN          4.47                    
MCGEE CREEK RESERVOIR NEAR FARRIS     3.63                    
BLUE RIVER                            3.48                    
GUYMON MUNI ARPT                      3.27                    
FORGAN 10 NW                          2.80                    
LITTLE BEAVER CREEK NEAR DUNCAN       2.29                    
JIMMY CREEK NEAR MEERS                2.19                    
FOURCHE MALINE NEAR RED OAK           2.09                    

...TEXAS...
ANTELOPE                              3.84                    
DENVER CITY                           3.75                    
AVENGER FIELD ARPT                    3.68                    
BEAR MOUNTAIN                         3.45                    
CLEAR FK TRINITY RIVER AT FT WORTH    3.43                    
ALVORD 9 NE                           3.35                    
GRAPEVINE LAKE                        3.33                    
CANYON                                3.31                    
LAKE AMON G CARTER NEAR BOWIE         3.26                    
ABILENE MUNI ARPT                     3.24                    
LUBBOCK 6 SW                          3.23                    
ABERNATHY                             3.01                    
JACKSBORO                             2.97                    
DUMAS                                 2.96                    
BRIDGEPORT 3 NNE                      2.95                    
TRUCE                                 2.88                    
LAKE BRIDGEPORT REPEATER              2.84                    
N SULPHUR RIVER NEAR COOPER           2.78                    
VILLAGE CREEK AT EVERMAN              2.73                    
JOPLIN                                2.69                    
DENTON MUNI ARPT                      2.64                    
BOWIE                                 2.58                    
DALLAS/FORT WORTH INTL ARPT           2.57                    
BUSHY CREEK                           2.53                    
ODESSA-SCHLEMEYER FIELD               2.31                    
MIDLAND/ODESSA WFO                    2.27                    
SWEETWATER                            2.00                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT
21 THROUGH 300 AM CDT THU OCT 22...

...COLORADO...
BRECKENRIDGE 2 SSE                    3.4                    
TABERNASH 2 SSE                       3.0                    
CRESTED BUTTE                         2.0                    
FAIRPLAY N                            2.0                    
WOODLAND PARK 1 WSW                   2.0                    


STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL FOCUSED ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN TEXAS AND INTO PORTIONS OF
THE WESTERN LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THROUGH FRIDAY...THE
RAINFALL SHOULD FOCUS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS BEFORE
THE AXIS BEGINS TO SHIFT SOUTH AND EASTWARD BY THE WEEKEND. OVER
THE NEXT THREE DAYS...AS MUCH AS 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF COAST.
LESSER...THOUGH STILL SIGNIFICANT...AMOUNTS BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EAST TEXAS AND INTO WESTERN
LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. IN
ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO
BE A MAJOR THREAT ACROSS THE REGION...PARTICULARLY OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY AND IN URBAN AREAS.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

SANTORELLI