THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 07 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1000 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015

...A MULTI-DAY HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT CONTINUES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WITH FLASH FLOODING LIKELY... 

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
CENTRAL...EASTERN...AND SOUTH TEXAS AS WELL AS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 900 PM CDT...A QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY WAS SLOWLY MEANDERING
SOUTH FROM THE BIG BEND REGION TO WESTERN LOUISIANA. A WARM AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS WAS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
WITH SOUTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW BRINGING PLENTY OF DEEP MOISTURE
INTO THE REGION. THUS...WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IN
PLACE...THIS STATIONARY FRONT HAS CONTINUED TO BE A FOCAL POINT
FOR CONVECTION. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATED AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ACROSS NORTHEASTERN TEXAS AND SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO
REPORTED IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. IN
ADDITION...SCATTERED SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT
21 THROUGH 900 PM CDT FRI OCT 23...

...COLORADO...
TYRONE 6 SE                           2.51                    
TRINIDAD 2 ENE                        2.29                    
THATCHER 7 SSE                        2.22                    
STONINGTON 9 SE                       2.13                    
TIMPAS 13 S                           1.82                    
TWO BUTTES 12 NE                      1.70                    
HOEHNE 3 ESE                          1.53                    
CAMPO 4 SW                            1.45                    
THATCHER 11 SSE                       1.23                    
RYE 2 W                               1.14                    
COLORADO CITY 7 E                     1.08                    
SWISSVALE 3 SW                        1.05                    
WESTON 6 ESE                          1.04                    

...KANSAS...
GARDEN CITY REG ARPT                  2.28                    
DODGE CITY WFO                        1.92                    
LIBERAL MUNI ARPT                     1.78                    

...NEW MEXICO...
ARTESIA 4 NNE                         2.84                    
PORTALES 1 SW                         2.75                    
GASCON 1 WNW                          2.62                    
CLOVIS 3 ENE                          2.35                    
ROSWELL 4 WNW                         2.25                    
SEDILLO 2 WNW                         1.78                    
GILA 3 NE                             1.72                    
CHAMA                                 1.65                    
MAYHILL 1 NNE                         1.60                    
ALBUQUERQUE 6 E                       1.38                    
CLIFF 6 NE                            1.34                    

...OKLAHOMA...
COLEMAN 4.6 WNW                       4.86                    
COLBERT 2.2 SSW                       4.80                    
PENNINGTON CREEK NEAR REAGAN          4.47                    
MARIETTA 2.8 SW                       4.42                    
MCGEE CREEK RESERVOIR NEAR FARRIS     3.63                    
BLUE RIVER                            3.48                    
GUYMON MUNI ARPT                      3.27                    
FORGAN 10 NW                          2.80                    
LITTLE BEAVER CREEK NEAR DUNCAN       2.29                    
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT               2.21                    
JIMMY CREEK NEAR MEERS                2.19                    
FOURCHE MALINE NEAR RED OAK           2.09                    

...TEXAS...
CORSICANA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT          13.43                    
KERENS 3 NW                          11.03                    
GLEN ROSE 4 WNW                      10.26                    
GRAPEVINE                             7.93                    
ASH CR AT HIGHLAND DR                 7.67                    
WALNUT SPRINGS 2 S                    7.60                    
POWELL 1 SW                           7.37                    
GRAND PRAIRIE ALERT 14                7.25                    
SOUTHLAKE 2 W                         7.19                    
SKILLMAN AT SOUTHWESTERN              6.92                    
MALAKOFF                              6.88                    
SUNNYVALE 3 WNW                       6.79                    
SACHSE 1 ENE                          6.69                    
MURPHY                                6.68                    
MERIDIAN                              6.30                    
TROPHY CLUB 1 NE                      6.24                    
HEATH 1 WSW                           6.01                    
MIDLOTHIAN 5 SSE                      6.00                    
WACO REGIONAL AIRPORT                 6.00                    
DALLAS LOVE FIELD                     5.81                    
LUBBOCK 6 SW                          3.23                    
MIDLAND/ODESSA WFO                    2.46                    


AN UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST COMBINED WITH MOISTURE ARRIVING
FROM THE MOISTURE ARRIVING AHEAD OF HURRICANE PATRICIA...WHICH
MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE WESTERN MEXICAN COAST...WILL PROLONG
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL FOCUSED ACROSS MUCH
OF EASTERN TEXAS AND INTO PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...THE PRIMARY AXIS OF
RAINFALL SHOULD FOCUS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS BEFORE IT
SHIFTS TOWARD THE TEXAS COAST LATER ON SATURDAY AND INTO SUNDAY.
OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS...AS MUCH AS 5 TO 10 INCHES OF
RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS...AS WELL AS THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
TEXAS COAST AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. BETWEEN 3 TO 5
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE ALSO EXPECTED FOR EAST
TEXAS...WESTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A MAJOR THREAT ACROSS THE REGION...PARTICULARLY
OVER THE HILL COUNTRY TO THE TEXAS COAST...AND IN URBAN AREAS. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

FANNING




Last Updated: 1021 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2015