THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 09 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1000 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...A MULTI-DAY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD EVENT CONTINUES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... 

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL...EASTERN...AND SOUTH TEXAS AS WELL AS
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 900 AM CDT...A WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WAS IN PLACE ACROSS
MUCH OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN TEXAS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT PUSHING
THROUGH THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE 
WAS STREAMING INTO THE REGION FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO AND AHEAD OF
TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA WHICH WAS MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL MEXICO.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED
AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN TEXAS STRETCHING BACK TO THE BIG BEND. THIS
RAIN WAS FOCUSED MAINLY ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...WHICH
IS PUSHING TOWARD THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WERE MORE SCATTERED ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
AND INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT
21 THROUGH 900 AM CDT SAT OCT 24...

...ARKANSAS...
WALDO 4.2 S                           6.18                    
CAMDEN 6.3 N                          4.55                    
HOPE 0.9 SSW                          4.42                    
TEXARKANA 2.1 N                       4.18                    
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT                   3.82                    
HOPE 12.2 S                           3.62                    
FOUKE 5.3 ENE                         3.14                    

...OKLAHOMA...
COLEMAN 4.6 WNW                       4.86                    
COLBERT 2.2 SSW                       4.80                    
PENNINGTON CREEK NEAR REAGAN          4.47                    
MARIETTA 2.8 SW                       4.42                    
MCGEE CREEK RESERVOIR NEAR FARRIS     3.63                    
BLUE RIVER                            3.48                    
GUYMON MUNI ARPT                      3.27                    
FORGAN 10 NW                          2.80                    
LITTLE BEAVER CREEK NEAR DUNCAN       2.29                    
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT               2.21                    
JIMMY CREEK NEAR MEERS                2.19                    
FOURCHE MALINE NEAR RED OAK           2.09                    

...TEXAS...
POWELL 1.0 SW                        20.15                    
CORSICANA 4.3 WSW                    18.95                    
GRAPEVINE                            18.67                    
CORSICANA/CAMPBELL FIELD             16.32                    
MALONE                               15.79                    
KERENS 3.4 NW                        15.68                    
SOUTHLAKE 2 W                        15.52                    
BRANDON                              14.02                    
CEDAR CREEK RESERVOIR                13.17                    
RICHLAND CREEK NEAR MERTENS          12.28                    
MIDDLE SULPHUR R                     11.67                    
WACO 1.4 S                           11.33                    
TRINITY RIVER AT TRINIDAD            11.21                    
KERENS 3 NW                          11.03                    
GLEN ROSE 4 WNW                      10.26                    
MAYPEARL                             10.25                    
VAN 1.3 W                            10.06                    
MIDDLE SULPHUR RIVER AT COMMERCE      9.18                    
LAVON 0.7 NNW                         9.10                    
MURPHY                                9.05                    
ARLINGTON MUNICIPAL AIRPORT           8.69                    
DALLAS/LOVE FIELD                     8.06                    
DALLAS/FORT WORTH INTL ARPT           7.55                    
ARLINGTON MUNI ARPT                   7.31                    
DALLAS LOVE FIELD                     6.97                    
FORT WORTH NAS                        6.50                    
LUBBOCK 6 SW                          3.23                    
MIDLAND/ODESSA WFO                    2.46                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS
ENDED...

...COLORADO...
TYRONE 6 SE                           2.51                    
TRINIDAD 2 ENE                        2.29                    
THATCHER 7 SSE                        2.22                    
STONINGTON 9 SE                       2.13                    
TIMPAS 13 S                           1.82                    
TWO BUTTES 12 NE                      1.70                    
HOEHNE 3 ESE                          1.53                    
CAMPO 4 SW                            1.45                    
THATCHER 11 SSE                       1.23                    
RYE 2 W                               1.14                    
COLORADO CITY 7 E                     1.08                    
SWISSVALE 3 SW                        1.05                    
WESTON 6 ESE                          1.04                    

...KANSAS...
GARDEN CITY REG ARPT                  2.28                    
DODGE CITY WFO                        1.92                    
LIBERAL MUNI ARPT                     1.78                    

...NEW MEXICO...
ARTESIA 4 NNE                         2.84                    
PORTALES 1 SW                         2.75                    
GASCON 1 WNW                          2.62                    
CLOVIS 3 ENE                          2.35                    
ROSWELL 4 WNW                         2.25                    
SEDILLO 2 WNW                         1.78                    
GILA 3 NE                             1.72                    
CHAMA                                 1.65                    
MAYHILL 1 NNE                         1.60                    
ALBUQUERQUE 6 E                       1.38                    
CLIFF 6 NE                            1.34                    


AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. AND NORTHWEST MEXICO
WILL CONTINUE TO FACILITATE THE TRANSPORT OF MOISTURE FROM
TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WHILE AT LOW
LEVELS STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL DRAW MOISTURE FROM THE GULF
OF MEXICO. THIS WILL PROLONG FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ON SATURDAY...THE
AXIS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BEGIN SHIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS
THE TEXAS COAST WHERE AS MUCH AS 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...IS FORECAST. BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THE
HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
AND CENTRAL GULF COAST. AS MUCH AS 3 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE REGIONS.
WITH ALL THE HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A
MAJOR THREAT ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS ON SATURDAY
AND EVENTUALLY MOVING INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATER IN
THE WEEKEND.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

KREKELER




Last Updated: 1030 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2015