THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 05 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY HEAVY RAIN
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 PM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...HEAVY RAIN NOW MAINLY OCCURRING IN THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY... 

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM EASTERN TEXAS EASTWARD
INTO SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA.

FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS...FLOOD WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS...LOUISIANA...AND WESTERN
MISSISSIPPI.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 300 PM CDT...A COLD FRONT STRETCHED THROUGH CENTRAL LOUISIANA
AND ALONG THE TEXAS GULF COAST BETWEEN TWO LOW PRESSURE CENTERS.
THE FIRST WAS ABOUT 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI WITH
A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES...AND THE SECOND WAS
ABOUT 40 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF VICTORIA TEXAS WITH A CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. ADDITIONALLY...A WARM FRONT
EXTENDED FROM THE LOW CENTER IN MISSISSIPPI EASTWARD INTO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC...WHILE A COLD FRONT WAS PRESENT ALONG THE TEXAS
GULF COAST SOUTH OF THE LOW IN TEXAS. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWED THAT A SQUALL LINE
CONTAINING VERY HEAVY RAIN AND EMBEDDED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS
MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA.  ELSEWHERE...WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WITH
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO FALL TO THE NORTH OF THE COLD
FRONT FROM THE UPPER COAST OF TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY. LIGHTER RAIN EXTENDED INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND
THE SOUTHEAST.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 PM CDT THU OCT
29 THROUGH 300 PM CDT SAT OCT 31...

...ARKANSAS...
HOT SPRINGS/MEMORIAL FIELD            2.33                    
DE QUEEN                              2.13                    
LITTLE ROCK AFB                       1.70                    

...LOUISIANA...
FORT POLK                             5.94                    
ENGLAND AFB/ALEXANDRIA                5.59                    
LAKE CHARLES MUNI ARPT                1.90                    
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW                  1.17                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
VICKSBURG/TALLULAH ARPT               1.98                    
NATCHEZ/HARDY                         1.81                    

...TEXAS...
KILLEEN MUNI ARPT                    21.44                    
TANGLEWOOD FOREST 1.1 S              18.03                    
SAN MARCOS 5.8 N                     16.23                    
KYLE 5 SW                            16.00                    
CANYON LAKE 2.8 N                    15.49                    
AUSTIN-BERGSTROM INTL ARPT           14.97                    
SAN LEANNA 0.1 SSE                   13.16                    
BUDA 0.7 SW                          13.06                    
WOODCREEK 0.5 SSW                    11.79                    
SARATOGA                             11.58                    
SAN MARCOS 2.9 WNW                   11.10                    
CANYON LAKE 1.5 WSW                  11.01                    
NEW BRAUNFELS 10.2 N                 10.57                    
TIMBERWOOD PARK 2.5 NW                9.25                    
WIMBERLY 3.5 NW                       9.05                    
SPRING BRANCH 5.7 SE                  8.80                    
DRIPPING SPRINGS 4.1 SSW              8.38                    
SUNSET VALLEY 1 SE                    7.09                    
BROWNSVILLE INTL ARPT                 6.55                    
AUSTIN CITY                           5.82                    
BLANCO 2 ESE                          5.24                    
HOUSTON/HOBBY                         5.23                    
ARLINGTON MUNI ARPT                   4.20                    
CORSICANA/CAMBELL FIELD               4.11                    
TEMPLE/MILLER                         4.06                    
DALLAS/REDBIRD ARPT                   3.69                    
DALLAS/LOVE FIELD                     3.44                    
RANDOLPH AFB/UNIVERSAL CITY           3.38                    
DUNCANVILLE 2 NNW                     3.25                    
DECATUR                               3.18                    
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                 3.08                    
BURNET                                3.05                    
SHEPPARD AFB/WICHITA FALLS            2.90                    
ABILENE MUNI ARPT                     2.68                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS
ENDED...

...KANSAS...
LIBERAL MUNI ARPT                     1.03                    

...OKLAHOMA...
ARDMORE                               3.60                    
FORT SILL AFB                         1.92                    
OKLAHOMA CITY/WILEY                   1.90                    
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT                1.78                    
LAWTON MUNI ARPT                      1.67                    


THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS AND THE ASSOCIATED FRONTS ARE
EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.  A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET COMBINED WITH PLENTY OF
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL
SPREADING FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EASTWARD INTO THE
SOUTHEAST.  AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS...IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ACROSS THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO THE SOUTHEAST...WHERE FLOODING AND
FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

TATE




Last Updated: 455 PM EDT SAT OCT 31 2015