THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 01 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
900 AM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

...HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... 

FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN
TEXAS...SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...ARKANSAS...AND WESTERN LOUISIANA

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 800 AM CST...A SURFACE LOW WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 998
MB...29.47 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTH OF FARGO
NORTH DAKOTA. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE
PLAINS TOWARD A SECONDARY SURFACE LOW IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. FROM
THE SECOND LOW...A DRY LINE EXTENDS TO THE SOUTH ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS SHOW AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS
AFFECTING WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND CENTRAL TEXAS. MORE SCATTERED
SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED FURTHER EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 600 AM CST MON MAR
07 THROUGH 800 AM CST TUE MAR 08...

...OKLAHOMA...
ADA 0.3 NNW                           2.38                    
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                       2.36                    

...TEXAS...
MINERAL WELLS 1 SSW                   6.03                    
BOONEVILLE                            5.36                    
PARADISE                              5.21                    
GARRETT CREEK RANCH                   5.13                    
RUNAWAY BAY 0.7 SSW                   4.46                    
SPRINGTOWN 6.0 NW                     4.17                    
SANGER 5.4 NW                         3.64                    
GRAFORD 8.1 ENE                       3.53                    
AGNES                                 3.15                    
SALT CREEK                            2.85                    
COTTONDALE                            2.59                    
WHITESBORO 2.8 W                      2.37                    


A LARGE AND ANOMALOUS UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS DIGGING INTO NORTHERN
MEXICO THIS MORNING AND WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE
NEXT COUPLE DAYS. AT THE SURFACE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER-LOW WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN TEXAS BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. A WARM MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN
THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY FROM
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WHERE THE
STORM PREDICTION CENTER IS FORECASTING A SLIGHT TO ENHANCED RISK
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ADDITIONALLY FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY THE AXIS OF SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY EASTWARD EACH DAY WITH
MANY OF THE SAME AREAS RECEIVING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN
GULF COAST SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY
ON THURSDAY. THE POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE DAYS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL
RESULT IN AN INCREASING THREAT OF FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING
THROUGH MID-WEEK. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 300 PM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

KREKELER




Last Updated: 923 AM EST TUE MAR 08 2016