THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 11 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
900 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING...AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... 

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS
MUCH OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 800 PM CST...AN ANOMALOUSLY LARGE AND DEEP UPPER-LEVEL LOW
LOCATED IN CENTRAL MEXICO CONTINUED TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHWARD AS
SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE AND UNSTABLE AIR STREAMED NORTHWARD FROM THE
GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...WITH
A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES...WAS NEAR THE
CENTRAL TEXAS COAST AS A MOSTLY STATIONARY FRONT WAS LOCATED
ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THIS BOUNDARY WAS SLOWLY SINKING SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND THE MID-ATLANTIC. NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT HEAVY
RAINFALL AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAINFALL WAS ALSO FALLING ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...ACROSS THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS...AND INTO THE
NORTHEAST.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 600 AM CST MON MAR
07 THROUGH 800 PM CST THU MAR 10...

...KENTUCKY...
MURRAY                                4.47                    
GRACEY                                4.20                    
BENTON                                3.25                    
GOLDEN POND                           2.73                    
PADUCAH/BARKLEY                       2.63                    
PROVIDENCE                            2.15                    
CANTON                                2.03                    
SEDALIA                               2.00                    
OWENSBORO/DAVIESS CO. ARPT            1.98                    
HENDERSON CITY                        1.95                    
FORT CAMPBELL AAF                     1.70                    
LEWISPORT 2.8 E                       1.68                    
CORYDON 4.3 NE                        1.59                    

...LOUISIANA...
MONROE 2 NNW                         20.90                    
SWARTZ                               19.00                    
BARKSDALE AFB/BOSSIER CITY           18.02                    
RAYVILLE 2 NNE                       14.90                    
BOSSIER CITY 7 SE                    14.40                    
MINDEN 2.0 NE                        12.16                    
NATCHITOCHES REGIONAL AIRPORT        12.14                    
SIMSBORO 1 WNW                       11.20                    
JAMESTOWN                            10.70                    
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT                 10.41                    
BIENVILLE 0.5 S                       9.62                    
HOMER 1.2 N                           9.42                    
PLEASANT HILL 10.2 SE                 9.41                    
DELTA COMMUNITY COLLEGE               9.25                    
LAKE PROVIDENCE                       7.56                    
ALEXANRIA/ESLER                       7.06                    
BARKSDALE AFB                         5.00                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
GREENVILLE MUNI ARPT                 10.58                    
SOUTHAVEN 2 SSE                       9.07                    
LELAND 3 ENE                          7.52                    
CLEVELAND                             7.08                    
CLARKESDALE 2.9 W                     6.86                    
SENATOBIA 1.5 S                       5.49                    
BYHALIA 5.0 ENE                       4.85                    
HORN LAKE 3 SE                        4.00                    
BATESVILLE 2.2 SSE                    3.71                    
VICKSBURG 2.2 NE                      3.19                    
GRENADA 7.9 NNW                       2.70                    
INDIANOLA 1.1 N                       2.69                    
VICKSBURG/TALLULAH ARPT               2.65                    

...TENNESSEE...
CORDOVA                               8.06                    
WILLISTON 1 E                         7.64                    
MEMPHIS INTL ARPT                     7.31                    
UNION CITY                            6.40                    
COLLIERVILLE 1.2 E                    5.00                    
JACKSON 4.7 NW                        4.44                    
GADSDEN 4.9 SSE                       4.24                    
ATWOOD 0.8 WSW                        3.97                    
STANTON 8.8 E                         3.90                    
BARTLETT 0.9 NE                       3.86                    
SOMERVILLE 1.7 N                      3.85                    
ATOKA 3.2 ESE                         3.57                    
BRUCETON                              3.00                    
DYERSBURG MUNI ARPT                   2.73                    

...TEXAS...
LONGVIEW                             11.60                    
LONGVIEW/GREGG CO. ARPT               9.02                    
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE                     9.01                    
NESBITT 4 NW                          7.87                    
MAGNOLIA 2.8 S                        7.68                    
PARADISE 6.6 SW                       7.35                    
ZAVALLA 8.4 W                         7.18                    
MINERAL WELLS                         7.03                    
PINELAND 5 E                          6.70                    
MARSHALL 9.7 SE                       6.43                    
MURCHINSON 4 S                        6.34                    
BIG SANDY                             6.24                    
MINERAL WELLS 1 SSW                   6.03                    
BEN WHEELER 3.9 ESE                   6.00                    
DECATUR 4 W                           5.81                    
GALVESTON 6.4 NE                      5.09                    
CORPUS CHRISTI INTL ARPT              4.65                    
ARLINGTON MUNI ARPT                   2.27                    
DALLAS/LOVE FIELD                     2.27                    
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                 2.27                    
BROWNSVILLE INTL ARPT                 2.18                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS
ENDED...

...ARKANSAS...
HAMBURG S                            13.50                    
EUDORA S                             12.80                    
CROSSETT 2 SE                        12.30                    
DERMOTT 4 NE                         10.90                    
SEARCY MUNI AIRPORT                  10.84                    
MONTICELLO ARPT                       7.71                    
PINE BLUFF/GRIDER FIELD               7.60                    
STUTTGART MUNI ARPT                   7.38                    
BRADLEY 7.8 W                         6.36                    
MARVELL 4.1 W                         5.72                    
MARIANNA 3.1 WNW                      5.65                    
MCNEIL 1.4 E                          5.60                    
LITTLE ROCK/ADAMS FIELD               5.38                    
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT                   5.19                    
WALDO 4.2 S                           4.82                    
EL DORADO/GOODWIN FIELD               4.71                    
MONTICELLO 1.6 WNW                    4.63                    
BLYTHEVILLE ARPT                      4.05                    
MOUNT IDA                             3.83                    
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE FIELD              2.29                    
BENTONVILLE                           1.51                    

...ILLINOIS...
CAIRO                                 2.19                    

...INDIANA...
EVANSVILLE 6 W                        1.20                    

...OKLAHOMA...
POTEAU/ROBERT S KERR ARPT             2.54                    
ADA 0.3 NNW                           2.38                    
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                       2.36                    
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT               1.70                    
TULSA INTL ARPT                       1.47                    


THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT VERY
SLOWLY NORTHWARD TOWARD SOUTHERN TEXAS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS A WELL-DEFINED FRONT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. A
CONTINUOUS FLOW OF WARM...MOIST...AND UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE GULF
OF MEXICO WILL BE LIFTED ALONG THE FRONT RESULTING IN HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER THE SAME GENERAL AREA FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS. OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS...HEAVY RAIN WILL FOCUS OVER EASTERN LOUISIANA AND
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI WHERE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 3 TO 8
INCHES...WITH AMOUNTS APPROACHING 10 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA...WILL BE POSSIBLE. FARTHER TO THE NORTH AND
EAST...PROGRESSIVELY LESSER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY AND UP INTO NEW ENGLAND. FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN A
SIGNIFICANT THREAT AS HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER ALREADY
DELUGED AREAS. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 300 AM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

SANTORELLI




Last Updated: 1001 PM EST THU MAR 10 2016