THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 14 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN FALLING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...


FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS
MUCH OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 200 PM CST...AN ANOMALOUSLY LARGE AND DEEP UPPER-LEVEL LOW
LOCATED OVER SOUTH TEXAS WAS SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWARD AS MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR STREAMED NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE
WESTERN GULF COAST REGION. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...WITH A
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 90
MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF CORPUS CHRISTI...TEXAS. AN OCCLUSION
EXTENDED FROM THIS LOW ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS WITH A STATIONARY
FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY. THERE WAS ALSO A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WAS
FALLING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND
WESTERN ALABAMA. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WAS FALLING ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AND WESTERN
TENNESSEE. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WAS REPORTED IN THE VICINITY OF
THE OCCLUSION IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS IN ADDITION TO NORTH
TEXAS...AND WAS MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 600 AM CST MON MAR
07 THROUGH 200 PM CST THU MAR 11...

...ALABAMA...
MOBILE/BATES FIELD                    3.58                    
GRAND BAY                             2.98                    
MOBILE DOWNTOWN AIRPORT               2.91                    
TUSCALOOSA MUNI AIRPORT               1.59                    

...ARKANSAS...
HAMBURG S                            13.50                    
EUDORA S                             12.80                    
CROSSETT 2 SE                        12.30                    
DERMOTT 4 NE                         10.90                    
SEARCY MUNI AIRPORT                  10.86                    
MONTICELLO AIRPORT                    8.74                    
PINE BLUFF/GRIDER FIELD               8.28                    
STUTTGART MUNI ARPT                   7.66                    
BRADLEY 7.8 W                         6.36                    
MARVELL 4.1 W                         5.72                    
MARIANNA 3.1 WNW                      5.65                    
MCNEIL 1.4 E                          5.60                    
LITTLE ROCK/ADAMS FIELD               5.46                    
TEXARKANA REGIONAL AIRPORT            5.33                    
BLYTHEVILLE ARPT                      5.13                    

...LOUISIANA...
MONROE 2 NNW                         20.90                    
SWARTZ                               19.00                    
BARKSDALE AFB/BOSSIER CITY           18.11                    
RAYVILLE 2 NNE                       14.90                    
BOSSIER CITY 7 SE                    14.40                    
NATCHITOCHES REGIONAL AIRPORT        12.23                    
MINDEN 2.0 NE                        12.16                    
SIMSBORO 1 WNW                       11.20                    
JAMESTOWN                            10.70                    
SHREVEPORT RGNL AIRPORT              10.41                    
BIENVILLE 0.5 S                       9.62                    
HOMER 1.2 N                           9.42                    
PLEASANT HILL 10.2 SE                 9.41                    
DELTA COMMUNITY COLLEGE               9.25                    
ALEXANRIA/ESLER                       8.60                    
PONCHATOULA 2 N                       8.44                    
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI AIRPORT         7.44                    
BARKSDALE AFB                         5.00                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
GREENVILLE MUNI ARPT                 10.93                    
HATTIESBURG 8 WSW                     9.35                    
SOUTHAVEN 2 SSE                       9.07                    
JAYESS 5.6 SW                         8.25                    
LELAND 3 ENE                          7.52                    
WAYNESBORO 5.4 WNW                    7.48                    
CLEVELAND                             7.08                    
EASTABUCHIE 4 NW                      6.89                    
CLARKESDALE 2.9 W                     6.86                    
ELLISVILLE 5 NNE                      6.77                    
TAYLORSVILLE 6 E                      6.50                    
TERRY 5.7 NW                          6.45                    
MCCOMB/LEWIS FIELD                    6.29                    
JACKSON WFO                           6.23                    
VICKSBURG/TALLULAH ARPT               5.44                    
NATCHEZ/HARDY                         4.70                    
STARKVILLE 5.3 S                      4.10                    
COLUMBUS AFB                          4.07                    
PASCAGOULA                            2.72                    

...TENNESSEE...
MEMPHIS INTL ARPT                     8.33                    
CORDOVA                               8.06                    
WILLISTON 1 E                         7.64                    
JACKSON/MCKELLAR                      6.58                    
UNION CITY                            6.40                    
JACKSON 3.6 S                         5.46                    
COLLIERVILLE 1.2 E                    5.00                    
GADSDEN 4.9 SSE                       4.24                    
ATWOOD 0.8 WSW                        3.97                    
STANTON 8.8 E                         3.90                    
BARTLETT 0.9 NE                       3.86                    
SOMERVILLE 1.7 N                      3.85                    
ATOKA 3.2 ESE                         3.57                    
BRUCETON                              3.00                    
DYERSBURG MUNI ARPT                   2.73                    

...TEXAS...
LONGVIEW                             11.60                    
TOLEDO BEND DAM                       9.79                    
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE                     9.01                    
NESBITT 4 NW                          7.87                    
MAGNOLIA 2.8 S                        7.68                    
PARADISE 6.6 SW                       7.35                    
ZAVALLA 8.4 W                         7.18                    
MINERAL WELLS                         7.03                    
PINELAND 5 E                          6.70                    
MARSHALL 9.7 SE                       6.43                    
MURCHINSON 4 S                        6.34                    
BIG SANDY                             6.24                    
MINERAL WELLS 1 SSW                   6.03                    
BEN WHEELER 3.9 ESE                   6.00                    
DECATUR 4 W                           5.81                    
GALVESTON 6.4 NE                      5.09                    
CORPUS CHRISTI INTL ARPT              4.75                    
ARLINGTON MUNI ARPT                   2.27                    
DALLAS/LOVE FIELD                     2.27                    
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                 2.27                    
BROWNSVILLE INTL ARPT                 2.18                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS
ENDED...

...ILLINOIS...
CAIRO                                 2.19                    

...INDIANA...
EVANSVILLE 6 W                        1.20                    

...KENTUCKY...
MURRAY                                4.47                    
GRACEY                                4.20                    
BENTON                                3.25                    
GOLDEN POND                           2.73                    
PADUCAH/BARKLEY                       2.63                    
PROVIDENCE                            2.15                    
CANTON                                2.03                    
SEDALIA                               2.00                    
OWENSBORO/DAVIESS CO. ARPT            1.98                    
HENDERSON CITY                        1.95                    
FORT CAMPBELL AAF                     1.70                    
LEWISPORT 2.8 E                       1.68                    
CORYDON 4.3 NE                        1.59                    

...OKLAHOMA...
POTEAU/ROBERT S KERR ARPT             2.54                    
ADA 0.3 NNW                           2.38                    
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                       2.36                    
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT               1.70                    
TULSA INTL ARPT                       1.47                    


THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT VERY
SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER TEXAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS A
WELL-DEFINED FRONT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. A CONTINUOUS
FLOW OF MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE TO LIFT ALONG THE FRONT RESULTING IN MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL. LATER TODAY AND INTO SATURDAY...THE HEAVY RAIN
WILL FOCUS OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES WHERE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE. EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS APPROACHING 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE COAST INCLUDING PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. FARTHER NORTH...LIGHTER RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT FOR THE REST OF FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY DUE TO THE CONTINUOUS HEAVY RAINFALL OVER AN ALREADY
WATER-LOGGED REGION. LATER ON SATURDAY AND INTO EARLY
SUNDAY...HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD COME TO AN END AS THE UPPER-LEVEL
LOW WEAKENS AND MOISTURE FLOW FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO IS CUT OFF. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 900 PM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

FANNING




Last Updated: 355 PM EST FRI MAR 11 2016