THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 7 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
900 PM CST WED MAR 09 2016

...HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO INUNDATE FROM
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AHEAD OF A
DYNAMIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM... 

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...FLOOD WARNINGS...AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS
REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF COAST NORTHWARD
ALONG AND WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 800 PM CST...AN ANOMALOUSLY LARGE AND DEEP UPPER-LEVEL LOW
CENTERED TO THE NORTH OF PUERTO VALLARTA ON THE WEST COAST OF
MEXICO CONTINUED TO MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST.  TO THE EAST OF
THIS LOW...A BROAD STREAM OF MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR CONTINUED TO
PUSH NORTHWARD FROM EASTERN MEXICO AND THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  A STATIONARY FRONT WAS STRENGTHENING
ALONG THE TEXAS COAST AND ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...WITH A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OF 1003 MB...29.68
INCHES...LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI...TEXAS.  THE
FRONT CONTINUED TO EXTEND DOWN ALONG THE EAST COAST OF MEXICO INTO
A MAIN LOW OFF TAMPICO MEXICO.  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED
TO ORGANIZE ALONG AND TO THE NORTH OF A STATIONARY FRONT FROM THE
TEXAS COAST NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. 
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN CONTINUED TO SPREAD FARTHER INLAND ACROSS
ALL OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN TEXAS AND CONTINUED UP INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 600 AM CST MON MAR
07 THROUGH 800 PM CST WED MAR 09...

...ARKANSAS...
SEARCY MUNI AIRPORT                  10.84                    
BRADLEY 7.8 W                         6.36                    
MCNEIL 1.4 E                          5.60                    
STUTTGART MUNI ARPT                   5.52                    
HAMBURG 0.8 S                         5.25                    
MARIANNA 3.1 WNW                      5.25                    
MONTICELLO ARPT                       5.04                    
WALDO 4.2 S                           4.82                    
PINE BLUFF/GRIDER FIELD               4.81                    
EL DORADO/GOODWIN FIELD               4.71                    
CROSSETT 0.9 S                        4.63                    
MONTICELLO AIRPORT                    3.63                    
LITTLE ROCK/ADAMS FIELD               3.55                    
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT                   3.05                    
FORT SMITH MUNI ARPT                  2.65                    
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE FIELD              1.99                    

...LOUISIANA...
BARKSDALE AFB/BOSSIER CITY           14.63                    
BOSSIER CITY 7 SE                    14.40                    
MONROE RGNL ARPT                     12.30                    
MINDEN 2.0 NE                        12.16                    
SIMSBORO 1 WNW                       11.20                    
JAMESTOWN                            10.70                    
BIENVILLE 0.5 S                       9.62                    
HOMER 1.2 N                           9.42                    
SWARTZ                                8.89                    
MONROE 2.4 WNW                        8.46                    
SHREVEPORT 3.2 ESE                    8.45                    
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT                  8.10                    
BARKSDALE AFB                         5.00                    
LAKE PROVIDENCE                       4.80                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
GREENVILLE MUNI ARPT                  2.95                    

...OKLAHOMA...
ADA 0.3 NNW                           2.38                    
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                       2.36                    
POTEAU/ROBERT S KERR AIRPORT          2.17                    

...TENNESSEE...
COLLIERVILLE 1.2 E                    5.00                    
MEMPHIS INTL ARPT                     2.52                    

...TEXAS...
LONGVIEW                              8.60                    
NESBITT 4 NW                          7.87                    
PARADISE 6.6 SW                       7.35                    
LONGVIEW/GREGG CO. ARPT               7.25                    
MINERAL WELLS                         7.03                    
PINELAND 5 E                          6.70                    
MARSHALL 9.7 SE                       6.43                    
MURCHINSON 4 S                        6.34                    
BIG SANDY                             6.24                    
MINERAL WELLS 1 SSW                   6.03                    
BEN WHEELER 3.9 ESE                   6.00                    
DECATUR 4 W                           5.81                    
KRUM 2 SW                             5.66                    
BOONEVILLE                            5.36                    
GARRETT CREEK RANCH                   5.13                    
JOPLIN                                4.41                    
MOUNT PLEASANT AIRPORT                4.32                    
CORSICANA/CAMPBELL FIELD              4.24                    
DALLAS 7.2 SW                         2.77                    


THE LARGE AND ANOMALOUS UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO IS
EXPECTED TO DRIFT VERY SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL MEXICO
TOWARD SOUTHERN TEXAS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS WITH A
WELL-DEFINED STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS INTO
THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. A CONTINUOUS FLOW OF WARM AND MOIST
UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL BE LIFTED ALONG THE
FRONT AND RESULT IN HEAVY RAIN TO FALL IN THE SAME GENERAL AREA
FROM EASTERN TEXAS INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. THE FOCUS OF HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW IS
EXPECTED TO BE FROM ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... NORTHERN
LOUISIANA AND EASTERN ARKANSAS WHERE 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS...OF RAIN COULD FALL. BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...THE
AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINS WILL EDGE SLIGHTLY EASTWARD FROM THE
LOUISIANA COAST NORTHWARD INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY.
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH SATURDAY SHOULD RANGE FROM 5 TO 8
INCHES FROM EASTERN TEXAS THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
TO AS MUCH AS 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...IN
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA.  LESSER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED FARTHER
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND NEW ENGLAND. BECAUSE
MULTIPLE DAYS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...A PROLONGED THREAT OF
FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING WILL LAST FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK FOR
THE WESTERN GULF COAST AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGIONS. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 300 AM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

KONG




Last Updated: 1012 PM EST WED MAR 09 2016