THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 14 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS TO OHIO VALLEY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FREEZING RAIN EVENT
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2018

...RAIN CONTINUES FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA EASTWARD THROUGH THE
TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS WHILE SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION IS
OCCURRING IN KANSAS AND MISSOURI... 

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND WATCHES AS WELL AS FLOOD
ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM NORTH TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI...TENNESSEE...AND OHIO VALLEYS...AND
PENNSYLVANIA.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES
ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 200 AM CST...A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH A CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 1004 MB OR 29.69 INCHES WAS LOCATED IN NORTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO. FROM THIS LOW...A COLD FRONT EXTENDED INTO NEW MEXICO
WHILE A LONG SLOW-MOVING FRONT STRETCHED THROUGH TEXAS... THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...TENNESSEE VALLEY...OHIO VALLEY...AND
INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION. ANOTHER QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT
WAS LOCATED IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI. NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED
THAT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WAS OCCURRING ALONG THE
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS. ANOTHER AREA OF MODERATE RAIN WAS
LOCATED IN THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THE
PRECIPITATION SHIELD...SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION WAS OBSERVED IN
KANSAS AND NORTHERN MISSOURI.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ICE AMOUNTS IN INCHES FROM
200 AM CST TUE FEB 20 THROUGH 200 AM CST SAT FEB 24...

...KANSAS...
ALTOONA 5 N                           0.25                    
HUMBOLDT 5 ESE                        0.25                    
LAWRENCE 2 SW                         0.25                    
OLPE 5 NNW                            0.25                    
BERRYTON 1 W                          0.22                    
BLAINE                                0.20                    
CONCORDIA 2 SSE                       0.20                    
MARION                                0.20                    
TECUMSEH 3 NW                         0.18                    
LAWRENCE 4 NE                         0.16                    
BURR OAK                              0.10                    

...OKLAHOMA...
STRATFORD 3 N                         0.40                    
COGAR 3 N                             0.38                    
SHAWNEE 1 E                           0.35                    
FILLMORE                              0.25                    
PINE 1 E                              0.25                    
WAYNE                                 0.25                    
BARTLESVILLE                          0.24                    
MCALESTER REGIONAL AIRP               0.21                    
LAKE THUNDERBIRD 5 SW                 0.20                    
ENID                                  0.15                    
KEYSTONE STATE PARK                   0.15                    
TULSA 5 W                             0.10                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 200 AM
CST TUE FEB 20 THROUGH 200 AM CST SAT FEB 24...

...ARKANSAS...
ANTOINE                               9.20                    
MALVERN                               9.07                    
MOUNT IDA                             8.65                    
LITTLE ROCK AIR FORCE BASE            8.54                    
HOT SPRINGS MEMORIAL FIELD ARPT       8.13                    
SWEET HOME 2 ESE                      8.06                    
JONESBORO MUNI ARPT                   7.69                    
TEXARKANA RGNL-WEBB FIELD             7.32                    
MONTICELLO 2 WNW                      5.74                    
MCGEHEE 1 N                           5.50                    
CROSSETT 3 NNE                        5.45                    

...ILLINOIS...
ST. ANNE                              5.73                    
HOMER 2 N                             5.29                    
WILLARD AIRPORT                       4.67                    
SIDNEY 1 N                            4.54                    
PAXTON 2 WSW                          4.52                    
HENNING 3 SSE                         4.38                    
CRETE 4 SSE                           4.37                    
HOOPESTON                             4.35                    
MONEE                                 4.35                    

...INDIANA...
SOUTH BEND 1 NW                       7.60                    
NORTH JUDSON                          7.18                    
DUNLAP                                7.00                    
NEW CARLISLE 7.3 WNW                  6.69                    
WHEATFIELD 2 SSE                      6.50                    
DE MOTTE 1 NNW                        6.41                    
CONRAD 3 ESE                          6.11                    
BREMEN 4 WSW                          6.07                    
MOROCCO 1 N                           5.53                    
LEESBURG                              5.50                    

...KENTUCKY...
CALVERT CITY                          5.76                    
HOPKINSVILLE                          5.59                    
SIKESTOWN 1 W                         5.48                    
MURRAY                                5.26                    
GOLDEN POND                           5.25                    
LIVERMORE                             5.18                    
MAYFIELD GRAVES COUNTY AIRPORT        4.91                    
COLVILLE 1 E                          4.10                    
LOUISVILLE INTL-STANDIFORD FIELD      4.06                    
FORT KNOX                             4.00                    
PADUCAH - BARKLEY REGIONAL AIRPORT    3.73                    

...LOUISIANA...
NOBLE 2 ESE                           8.58                    
GEORGETOWN                            8.26                    
COUSHATTA 1 NE                        6.32                    
WINNSBORO 8 WSW                       6.00                    
SHREVEPORT - BARKSDALE AFB            5.68                    
RUSTON 5 ENE                          5.58                    
MONROE 2 WNW                          5.27                    
COLUMBIA 4 NNW                        4.75                    
PLEASANT HILL 10 SE                   4.69                    
BOSSIER CITY 4 S                      4.58                    

...MISSOURI...
KENNETT MEMORIAL ARPT                 5.63                    
POPLAR BLUFF MUNI ARPT                4.52                    
CAPE GIRARDEAU RGL ARPT               3.93                    
SHREWSBURY                            3.75                    
SALEM 15 E                            3.66                    
MOUNTAIN VIEW 7 NE                    3.23                    
FAIRDEALING 6 W                       3.15                    
DIEHLSTADT                            3.12                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
YALLABUSHA                            7.03                    
LAKE VILLAGE 6 SE                     6.69                    
DODDSVILLE 4 W                        6.43                    
SENATOBIA 2 S                         5.94                    
SCOTT                                 5.24                    
CLARKSDALE 3 SW                       5.05                    
MOORHEAD                              4.87                    
COFFEEVILLE                           4.85                    
TUPELO RGNL ARPT                      3.72                    
BATESVILLE 4 ESE                      3.28                    

...OHIO...
ASSUMPTION                            5.04                    
RED OAK                               3.18                    
GEORGETOWN                            2.93                    
OTTAWA                                2.83                    
ROME 4 NE                             2.50                    
LUCASVILLE 1 ENE                      2.45                    
CINCINNATI MUNI ARPT                  2.36                    
ROSEMOUNT W                           2.36                    
ABERDEEN 5 NE                         2.27                    
RIPLEY 3 NE                           2.22                    

...OKLAHOMA...
BROKEN BOW                            9.48                    
IDABEL                                9.18                    
VALLIANT                              8.57                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
GREENSBURG                            2.20                    
PITTSBURGH - ALLEGHENY CO ARPT        1.60                    
PERRYOPOLIS                           1.39                    

...TENNESSEE...
TIPTONVILLE - REELFOOT LAKE           5.69                    
UNION CITY                            4.89                    
MILAN                                 4.87                    
GERMANTOWN                            4.85                    
OAKLAND 1 NE                          3.82                    
SOMERVILLE 1 E                        3.80                    
MEMPHIS INTL ARPT                     3.39                    
TENNESSEE RIDGE 3 S                   3.32                    
JACKSON 4 N                           3.24                    
CUMBERLAND CITY 1 ESE                 3.21                    

...TEXAS...
COLMESNEIL 12 ESE                     8.61                    
TEXARKANA                             8.35                    
CLARKSVILLE                           8.15                    
PARIS/COX FIELD                       8.08                    
JASPER 15 NNW                         7.72                    
DALLAS LOVE FIELD                     7.43                    
CUMBY                                 7.13                    
ROWLETT 2 NW                          6.24                    
BROADDUS 15 SE                        6.22                    
SACHSE 1 NE                           6.12                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...ARKANSAS...
DRAKE FIELD AIRPORT                   0.05                    
HIGHFILL                              0.01                    
HARRISON                              0.00                    

...IOWA...
GRAFTON                               0.38                    
DES MOINES 1 WNW                      0.20                    
MURRAY 1 W                            0.20                    
IOWA FALLS 1 NE                       0.19                    
ALBIA                                 0.13                    
FAYETTE 2 NNW                         0.10                    
MONTEZUMA 1 W                         0.10                    
NEW HAMPTON                           0.10                    
OTTUMWA 1 NE                          0.10                    
WAUKEE 1 N                            0.10                    
EDGEWOOD                              0.01                    
ELKADER                               0.01                    
STRAWBERRY POINT                      0.01                    

...ILLINOIS...
HENNEPIN                              0.12                    
MAEYSTOWN 2 SSW                       0.10                    
PEORIA                                0.10                    
MOUNT STERLING                        0.01                    
QUINCY                                0.01                    

...MICHIGAN...
ALOHA 1 SSE                           0.25                    
HARVEY 3 SE                           0.20                    
LEVERING                              0.19                    
ALPENA                                0.13                    
IRON MOUNTAIN 4 NNE                   0.10                    
NEGAUNEE 4 NE                         0.10                    
NORWAY 1 SSE                          0.10                    
SAINT IGNACE                          0.10                    
THREE LAKES 2 ESE                     0.10                    
WATERS 1 NW                           0.10                    

...MINNESOTA...
AUSTIN                                0.20                    
FILLMORE 3 WSW                        0.10                    
ROCHESTER 1 SW                        0.10                    

...MISSOURI...
BETHANY                               0.25                    
PLEASANT HILL 2 N                     0.19                    
VICHY 1 NNW                           0.16                    
LAKE LOTAWANA 1 NW                    0.13                    
STRASBURG 3 NNE                       0.13                    
DESLOGE                               0.12                    
PRINCETON                             0.12                    
ATLANTA                               0.10                    
COLE CAMP                             0.10                    
LAKE MYKEE 1 SSW                      0.10                    

...NEBRASKA...
FRANKLIN                              0.00                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
DUSHORE                               0.20                    
CYCLONE                               0.10                    
OIL CITY                              0.10                    
POCONO MOUNTAINS AIRPORT              0.07                    

...TEXAS...
WHEELER                               0.20                    
CANADIAN                              0.15                    
HIGGINS                               0.15                    
WELLINGTON                            0.15                    
HOWARDWICK                            0.10                    

...WISCONSIN...
ASHWAUBENON                           0.20                    
LA VALLE                              0.20                    
RIPLINGER 7 SSE                       0.20                    
SHAWANO 1 SSE                         0.18                    
OCONTO                                0.15                    
OSHKOSH                               0.15                    
STODDARD 5 NNE                        0.15                    
OMRO                                  0.12                    
THREE LAKES                           0.12                    
ALMOND                                0.10                    
IOLA 4 W                              0.10                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE
EVENT HAS ENDED...

...MICHIGAN...
CONSTANTINE 2 E                       6.09                    
BARRON LAKE                           5.09                    
NILES 2.7 W                           4.73                    
BELLEVUE                              4.54                    
PINCKNEY 4 NE                         3.36                    
KENTWOOD 3 ENE                        3.26                    
EAST GRAND RAPIDS 1 SSW               3.19                    
FLINT 1 ESE                           2.88                    
ANN ARBOR 3 SE                        2.54                    

...WISCONSIN...
WEST ALLIS 2 NE                       2.12                    
JACKSON 2 E                           1.60                    
LAKE CATHERINE 1 NNE                  1.60                    
ARLINGTON                             1.32                    
SULLIVAN 4 SSE                        1.30                    
OREGON                                1.17                    
SAINT FRANCIS 1 WSW                   1.11                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET AMOUNTS IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...KANSAS...
NEWTON                                1.00                    
GODDARD                               0.40                    
MAYETTA 5 WNW                         0.30                    
NWS WICHITA                           0.30                    
BUHLER NE                             0.25                    
CLEVELAND 3 ENE                       0.25                    
HALSTEAD NNE                          0.20                    

...OKLAHOMA...
DUNCAN                                1.00                    
OKLAHOMA CITY 3 SW                    0.50                    

...TEXAS...
ANSON                                 1.00                    
BAIRD                                 1.00                    
BLACKWELL                             1.00                    
HASKELL                               1.00                    
ABILENE                               0.80                    
WHEELER                               0.20                    
CANADIAN                              0.10                    
HIGGINS                               0.10                    
WELLINGTON                            0.10                    


THE SURFACE LOW IN NEW MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BRINGING THE COLD FRONT WITH IT THROUGH THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SATURDAY EVENING AND THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY
ON SUNDAY. THE FRONT LOCATED IN TEXAS WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD
THROUGH THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SATURDAY. THE PORTION OF
THAT FRONT FARTHER EAST WILL LINGER IN THE OHIO VALLEY BEFORE THE
COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH. ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS
IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS WEEKEND. AN ADDITIONAL 1
TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS FORECAST FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH THE
WESTERN MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. BECAUSE SOILS IN THESE AREAS ARE ALREADY
SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
COULD OVERWHELM RIVERS AND CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING. THUS A HIGH RISK
OF FLASH FLOODING IS IN PLACE FOR SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH
SOUTHWESTERN OHIO. ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN OF 1 TO 2
INCHES IS EXPECTED FOR THE WESTERN GULF COAST INTO THE SOUTHEAST
AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH. IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WHERE COLDER AIR IS IN PLACE...ADDITIONAL LIGHT
ICING IS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY. ALSO...ADDITIONAL HEAVY SNOW OF 6
TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST ON
SATURDAY.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 900 AM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

TATE




Last Updated: 357 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2018