THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 4 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS TO OHIO VALLEY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FREEZING RAIN EVENT
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 PM CST WED FEB 21 2018

...HEAVY RAINFALL...FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW CURRENTLY IMPACTING
REGIONS FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES... 

ICE STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS
ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...MUCH OF KANSAS...MISSOURI AND INTO
WESTERN ILLINOIS. THERE IS ALSO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN
EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY INTO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHWEST NEW YORK.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS...AND FLOOD WARNINGS
ARE IN EFFECT FROM THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO
THE WESTERN OHIO VALLEY...IN ADDITION TO PARTS OF THE UPPER AND
LOWER GREAT LAKES AND THE INTERIOR OF NEW ENGLAND.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 200 PM CST...A COLD FRONT WITH SHARP TEMPERATURE GRADIENT WAS
SLOWLY ADVANCING EASTWARD FROM THE INTERIOR OF NEW ENGLAND INTO
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS LOCATED IN
NORTHEAST CANADA. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT A LONG SWATH
OF MODERATE RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WAS FALLING MAINLY
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS.
THERE WAS ALSO A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW IN NORTH
TEXAS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH REGION. RAIN WAS
ALSO OBSERVED FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES. RIGHT BEHIND THE RAIN...A MIX OF SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN WAS REPORTED ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND NEAR THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ICE AMOUNTS IN INCHES FROM
200 AM CST THU FEB 20 THROUGH 200 PM CST WED FEB 21...

...ILLINOIS...
HENNEPIN                              0.12                    
MAEYSTOWN 2 SSW                       0.10                    
PEORIA                                0.10                    
MOUNT STERLING                        0.01                    
QUINCY                                0.01                    

...KANSAS...
ALTOONA 5 N                           0.25                    
HUMBOLDT 5 ESE                        0.25                    
LAWRENCE 2 SW                         0.25                    
OLPE 5 NNW                            0.25                    
BERRYTON 1 W                          0.22                    
BLAINE                                0.20                    
CONCORDIA 2 SSE                       0.20                    
TECUMSEH 3 NW                         0.18                    
LAWRENCE 4 NE                         0.16                    
OTTAWA                                0.15                    

...MISSOURI...
PLEASANT HILL 2 N                     0.19                    
LAKE LOTAWANA 1 NW                    0.13                    
STRASBURG 3 NNE                       0.13                    
COLE CAMP                             0.10                    
OAKVIEW 2 NNE                         0.10                    
WILLARD                               0.10                    
HANNIBAL                              0.09                    
MEXICO                                0.05                    
COLUMBIA                              0.01                    
HOLTS SUMMIT                          0.01                    
JEFFERSON CITY                        0.01                    

...OKLAHOMA...
SHAWNEE 1 E                           0.35                    
PINE 1 E                              0.25                    
WAYNE                                 0.25                    
BARTLESVILLE                          0.24                    
LAKE THUNDERBIRD 5 SW                 0.20                    
ENID                                  0.15                    
KEYSTONE STATE PARK                   0.15                    
PAWNEE                                0.15                    
CHECOTAH                              0.10                    
FAIRVIEW                              0.10                    
NOBLE 3 NNW                           0.10                    
STILLWATER                            0.10                    
TULSA 5 W                             0.10                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 200 AM
CST THU FEB 20 THROUGH 200 PM CST WED FEB 21...

...ARKANSAS...
WEST LITTLE ROCK                      5.00                    
BIGELOW 6 SSW                         4.88                    
MENA 3 WNW                            4.80                    
HOT SPRINGS                           4.60                    
MOUNT IDA 12 E                        4.60                    
HOUSTON                               4.49                    
CONWAY 2 WNW                          4.18                    
MAUMELLE 1 SE                         4.02                    
SALEM 9 NNW                           3.72                    
PARKS 6 ENE                           3.70                    

...ILLINOIS...
ST. ANNE                              5.73                    
HOMER 2 N                             5.29                    
WILLARD AIRPORT                       4.67                    
SIDNEY 1 N                            4.54                    
PAXTON 2 WSW                          4.52                    
DANVILLE                              4.38                    
HENNING 3 SSE                         4.38                    
CRETE 4 SSE                           4.37                    
HOOPESTON                             4.35                    
MONEE                                 4.35                    

...INDIANA...
WHEATFIELD 2 SSE                      6.50                    
DE MOTTE 1 NNW                        6.41                    
CONRAD 3 ESE                          6.11                    
MOROCCO 1 N                           5.53                    
LEESBURG                              5.50                    
GOSHEN 2 WNW                          5.11                    
ARGOS                                 4.90                    
WINONA LAKE 1 ESE                     4.73                    
RENSSELAER 1 N                        4.70                    
PORTAGE                               4.50                    
SOUTH BEND 1 NW                       4.32                    

...MISSOURI...
SHREWSBURY                            3.75                    
SALEM 15 E                            3.66                    
MOUNTAIN VIEW 7 NE                    3.23                    
RAYMONDVILLE 4 SE                     3.04                    
HOUSTON 5 ESE                         3.02                    
EMINENCE 1 SSE                        2.90                    
LINN 1 NW                             2.87                    
STE. GENEVIEVE 14 WSW                 2.70                    
POTOSI 3 W                            2.68                    
EL DORADO SPRINGS 1 NNW               2.53                    

...OHIO...
ASSUMPTION                            5.04                    
OTTAWA                                2.83                    
VAN WERT                              2.03                    
DAYTON 4 SE                           1.40                    
ALVORDTON 1 E                         1.21                    
WATERVILLE 2 NNE                      1.11                    
NAPOLEON 1 WSW                        1.02                    
FAYETTE 4 ESE                         1.00                    

...TEXAS...
CUMBY 2 N                             5.20                    
ANNA 4 SSW                            5.10                    
MCKINNEY 2 ESE                        4.97                    
ROWLETT 2 NW                          4.94                    
SACHSE 1 NE                           4.90                    
PLANO 2 WSW                           4.66                    
EDGECLIFF 4 WSW                       4.60                    
UNIVERSITY PARK 2 WNW                 4.56                    
MOUNT PLEASANT 10 NNW                 4.50                    
GREENVILLE 6 S                        4.48                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET IN INCHES FROM 200 AM CST THU FEB 20
THROUGH 200 PM CST WED FEB 21...

...TEXAS...
JACKSBORO 2 SE                        0.50                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...IOWA...
GRAFTON                               0.38                    
DES MOINES 1 WNW                      0.20                    
MURRAY 1 W                            0.20                    
IOWA FALLS 1 NE                       0.19                    
ALBIA                                 0.13                    
FAYETTE 2 NNW                         0.10                    
MONTEZUMA 1 W                         0.10                    
NEW HAMPTON                           0.10                    
OTTUMWA 1 NE                          0.10                    
WAUKEE 1 N                            0.10                    

...MICHIGAN...
ALOHA 1 SSE                           0.25                    
HARVEY 3 SE                           0.20                    
LEVERING                              0.19                    
ALPENA                                0.13                    
IRON MOUNTAIN 4 NNE                   0.10                    
NEGAUNEE 4 NE                         0.10                    
NORWAY 1 SSE                          0.10                    
SAINT IGNACE                          0.10                    
THREE LAKES 2 ESE                     0.10                    
WATERS 1 NW                           0.10                    
ENGADINE                              0.06                    

...MINNESOTA...
AUSTIN                                0.20                    
FILLMORE 3 WSW                        0.10                    
ROCHESTER 1 SW                        0.10                    

...WISCONSIN...
ASHWAUBENON                           0.20                    
LA VALLE                              0.20                    
RIPLINGER 7 SSE                       0.20                    
SHAWANO 1 SSE                         0.18                    
OCONTO                                0.15                    
OSHKOSH                               0.15                    
STODDARD 5 NNE                        0.15                    
OMRO                                  0.12                    
THREE LAKES                           0.12                    
ALMOND                                0.10                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE
EVENT HAS ENDED...

...MICHIGAN...
BELLEVUE                              4.12                    
PINCKNEY 4 NE                         3.36                    
CONSTANTINE 2 E                       3.34                    
KENTWOOD 3 ENE                        3.26                    
EAST GRAND RAPIDS 1 SSW               3.19                    
HOLT                                  3.10                    
EDGEMONT PARK 2 N                     3.09                    
ADA 2 W                               3.07                    
LINDEN                                2.96                    
NILES                                 2.93                    
FLINT 1 ESE                           2.88                    

...WISCONSIN...
WEST ALLIS 2 NE                       2.12                    
JACKSON 2 E                           1.60                    
LAKE CATHERINE 1 NNE                  1.60                    
ARLINGTON                             1.32                    
SULLIVAN 4 SSE                        1.30                    
OREGON                                1.17                    
SAINT FRANCIS 1 WSW                   1.11                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET AMOUNTS IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...KANSAS...
GODDARD                               0.40                    
MAYETTA 5 WNW                         0.30                    
NWS WICHITA                           0.30                    
BUHLER NE                             0.25                    
CLEVELAND 3 ENE                       0.25                    
HALSTEAD NNE                          0.20                    


THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY LATER
TONIGHT AS IT DRAPES ALONG THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE WEST GULF COAST THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL ACT AS A FOCAL POINT FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL IN ADDITION TO THE ICE ACCUMULATIONS NEAR THE TRANSITION
ZONE AS ARCTIC AIR SPILLS IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. CENTRAL
ARKANSAS AND WEST TENNESSEE CAN EXPECT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ELSEWHERE...AREAS FROM NORTH
TEXAS TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA CAN EXPECT 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. A MODERATE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IS IN
EFFECT FROM EAST TEXAS...NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND A SMALL PORTION OF SOUTHWEST
TENNESSEE. THE POTENTIAL FLOODING MAY OVERWHELM MAIN STEM RIVERS
AND CAUSE MAJOR RIVER FLOODING. NEAR THE TRANSITION ZONE OF THE
PRECIPITATION SHIELD...ACCUMULATING ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THURSDAY. CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...EASTERN KANSAS...NORTHWEST
MISSOURI...AND SOUTH-CENTRAL IOWA CAN EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL
ONE-TENTH OF AN INCH. PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY AND WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA CAN ALSO EXPECT ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 900 PM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

REINHART




Last Updated: 406 PM EST WED FEB 21 2018