THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 9 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS TO OHIO VALLEY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FREEZING RAIN EVENT
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
900 PM CST THU FEB 22 2018

...A SLOW-MOVING FRONT CONTINUES TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS WHILE FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW IMPACT AREAS FROM THE
CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE GREAT
LAKES...

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...FLOOD WARNINGS...AND FLOOD
ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM EASTERN TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI...TENNESSEE...AND OHIO VALLEYS.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALL PORTIONS OF THE
ARROW HEAD OF MINNESOTA AND THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN.

WINTER STORM WATCHES AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST...AND FOR PORTIONS
OF THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN APPALACHIANS.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 800 PM CST...A SURFACE LOW WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1021 MB
OR 30.15 INCHES WAS LOCATED NEAR LUFKIN...TEXAS. A STATIONARY
FRONT WAS DRAPED ACROSS THE VIRGINIA/NORTH CAROLINA BORDER THROUGH
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND WESTERN GULF
COAST. NWS DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED IN THE LOWER
AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. ANOTHER AREA OF PRECIPITATION WAS
LOCATED FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS
PRECIPITATION WAS IN THE FORM OF SNOW FOR THE DAKOTAS AND UPPER
GREAT LAKES...WHILE MIXED PRECIPITATION AND FREEZING RAIN WERE
OCCURRING IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND IOWA.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ICE AMOUNTS IN INCHES FROM
200 AM CST TUE FEB 20 THROUGH 800 PM CST THU FEB 22...

...IOWA...
GRAFTON                               0.38
DES MOINES 1 WNW                      0.20
MURRAY 1 W                            0.20
IOWA FALLS 1 NE                       0.19
ALBIA                                 0.13
FAYETTE 2 NNW                         0.10
MONTEZUMA 1 W                         0.10
NEW HAMPTON                           0.10
OTTUMWA 1 NE                          0.10
WAUKEE 1 N                            0.10

...KANSAS...
ALTOONA 5 N                           0.25
HUMBOLDT 5 ESE                        0.25
LAWRENCE 2 SW                         0.25
OLPE 5 NNW                            0.25
BERRYTON 1 W                          0.22
BLAINE                                0.20
CONCORDIA 2 SSE                       0.20
MARION                                0.20
TECUMSEH 3 NW                         0.18
LAWRENCE 4 NE                         0.16

...MISSOURI...
BETHANY                               0.25
PLEASANT HILL 2 N                     0.19
VICHY 1 NNW                           0.16
LAKE LOTAWANA 1 NW                    0.13
STRASBURG 3 NNE                       0.13
DESLOGE                               0.12
PRINCETON                             0.12
ATLANTA                               0.10
COLE CAMP                             0.10
LAKE MYKEE 1 SSW                      0.10

...PENNSYLVANIA...
DUSHORE                               0.20
CYCLONE                               0.10
OIL CITY                              0.10

...WISCONSIN...
ASHWAUBENON                           0.20
LA VALLE                              0.20
RIPLINGER 7 SSE                       0.20
SHAWANO 1 SSE                         0.18
OCONTO                                0.15
OSHKOSH                               0.15
STODDARD 5 NNE                        0.15
OMRO                                  0.12
THREE LAKES                           0.12
ALMOND                                0.10

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 200 AM
CST TUE FEB 20 THROUGH 800 PM CST THU FEB 22...

...ARKANSAS...
MENA INTERMOUNTAIN MUNI ARPT          8.54
SWEET HOME 2 ESE                      8.06
LITTLE ROCK AIR FORCE BASE            6.44
HOT SPRINGS MEMORIAL FIELD ARPT       6.42
MONTICELLO 2 WNW                      5.74
MCGEHEE 1 N                           5.50
CROSSETT 3 NNE                        5.45
TEXARKANA RGNL-WEBB FIELD             5.45
CATO 3 SSE                            5.16

...KENTUCKY...
COLVILLE 1 E                          4.10
LAWRENCEBURG 5 SSE                    3.50
DUNCAN 1 WNW                          3.40
HARRODSBURG 11 NW                     3.40
SALVISA 3 NNW                         3.34
NONESUCH 5 N                          3.23
VERSAILLES 6 SSW                      3.23
SPRINGFIELD 2 N                       3.10
MOUNT OLIVET 4 NNE                    3.01
LEXINGTON BLUE GRASS AI               2.97
LOUISVILLE INTL-STANDIF               2.15

...LOUISIANA...
NOBLE 2 ESE                           8.58
COUSHATTA 1 NE                        6.32
WINNSBORO 8 WSW                       6.00
RUSTON 5 ENE                          5.58
MONROE 2 WNW                          5.27
COLUMBIA 4 NNW                        4.75
PLEASANT HILL 10 SE                   4.69
SHREVEPORT 5 SSE                      4.67
BOSSIER CITY 4 S                      4.58
ROCKY BRANCH 1 W                      4.24

...MISSOURI...
SHREWSBURY                            3.75
SALEM 15 E                            3.66
MOUNTAIN VIEW 7 NE                    3.23
FAIRDEALING 6 W                       3.15
DIEHLSTADT                            3.12
RAYMONDVILLE 4 SE                     3.04
HOUSTON 5 ESE                         3.02
EMINENCE 1 SSE                        2.90
LINN 1 NW                             2.87
POPLAR BLUFF 2 N                      2.80

...MISSISSIPPI...
DODDSVILLE 4 W                        6.43
SENATOBIA 2 S                         5.94
CLARKSDALE 3 SW                       5.05
BATESVILLE 4 ESE                      3.28
SOUTHAVEN 5 SE                        2.84
CLEVELAND                             2.67
BYHALIA 6 N                           1.68
VAIDEN 5 WNW                          1.67
VICKSBURG 7 NE                        1.57
GRENADA 6 SSW                         1.54

...OHIO...
ASSUMPTION                            5.04
OTTAWA                                2.83
ROME 4 NE                             2.50
LUCASVILLE 1 ENE                      2.45
ROSEMOUNT W                           2.36
ABERDEEN 5 NE                         2.27
RIPLEY 3 NE                           2.22
RARDEN 7 NE                           2.20
PORTSMOUTH 5 N                        2.07
VAN WERT                              2.03
CINCINNATI 7 E                        1.32

...PENNSYLVANIA...
PERRYOPOLIS                           1.39

...TENNESSEE...
OAKLAND 1 NE                          3.82
SOMERVILLE 1 E                        3.80
TENNESSEE RIDGE 3 S                   3.32
JACKSON 4 N                           3.24
CUMBERLAND CITY 1 ESE                 3.21
MEDINA NNW                            3.20
STANTON 9 E                           3.08
BIG SANDY 1 NE                        3.00
CLARKSVILLE 10 WSW                    3.00
ARLINGTON 1 SW                        2.77

...TEXAS...
COLMESNEIL 12 ESE                     8.61
CUMBY                                 7.13
PARIS/COX FIELD                       6.51
ROWLETT 2 NW                          6.24
BROADDUS 15 SE                        6.22
SACHSE 1 NE                           6.12
ANNA 4 SSW                            5.10

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET IN INCHES FROM 200 AM CST TUE FEB 20
THROUGH 800 PM CST THU FEB 22...

...KANSAS...
NEWTON                                1.00
GODDARD                               0.40
MAYETTA 5 WNW                         0.30
NWS WICHITA                           0.30
BUHLER NE                             0.25
CLEVELAND 3 ENE                       0.25
HALSTEAD NNE                          0.20

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...ARKANSAS...
DRAKE FIELD AIRPORT                   0.05
HIGHFILL                              0.01
HARRISON                              0.00

...ILLINOIS...
HENNEPIN                              0.12
MAEYSTOWN 2 SSW                       0.10
PEORIA                                0.10
MOUNT STERLING                        0.01
QUINCY                                0.01

...MICHIGAN...
ALOHA 1 SSE                           0.25
HARVEY 3 SE                           0.20
LEVERING                              0.19
ALPENA                                0.13
IRON MOUNTAIN 4 NNE                   0.10
NEGAUNEE 4 NE                         0.10
NORWAY 1 SSE                          0.10
SAINT IGNACE                          0.10
THREE LAKES 2 ESE                     0.10
WATERS 1 NW                           0.10
ENGADINE                              0.06

...MINNESOTA...
AUSTIN                                0.20
FILLMORE 3 WSW                        0.10
ROCHESTER 1 SW                        0.10

...OKLAHOMA...
STRATFORD 3 N                         0.40
COGAR 3 N                             0.38
SHAWNEE 1 E                           0.35
FILLMORE                              0.25
PINE 1 E                              0.25
WAYNE                                 0.25
BARTLESVILLE                          0.24
MCALESTER REGIONAL AIRP               0.21
LAKE THUNDERBIRD 5 SW                 0.20
ENID                                  0.15
KEYSTONE STATE PARK                   0.15
TULSA 5 W                             0.10

...TEXAS...
WHEELER                               0.20
CANADIAN                              0.15
HIGGINS                               0.15
WELLINGTON                            0.15
HOWARDWICK                            0.10

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE
EVENT HAS ENDED...

...ILLINOIS...
ST. ANNE                              5.73
HOMER 2 N                             5.29
WILLARD AIRPORT                       4.67
SIDNEY 1 N                            4.54
PAXTON 2 WSW                          4.52
DANVILLE                              4.38
HENNING 3 SSE                         4.38
CRETE 4 SSE                           4.37
HOOPESTON                             4.35
MONEE                                 4.35

...INDIANA...
WHEATFIELD 2 SSE                      6.50
DE MOTTE 1 NNW                        6.41
CONRAD 3 ESE                          6.11
MOROCCO 1 N                           5.53
LEESBURG                              5.50
GOSHEN 2 WNW                          5.11
ARGOS                                 4.90
WINONA LAKE 1 ESE                     4.73
RENSSELAER 1 N                        4.70
PORTAGE                               4.50

...MICHIGAN...
BELLEVUE                              4.54
PINCKNEY 4 NE                         3.36
CONSTANTINE 2 E                       3.34
KENTWOOD 3 ENE                        3.26
EAST GRAND RAPIDS 1 SSW               3.19
HOLT                                  3.10
EDGEMONT PARK 2 N                     3.09
ADA 2 W                               3.07
FLINT 1 ESE                           2.88
ANN ARBOR 3 SE                        2.54

...WISCONSIN...
WEST ALLIS 2 NE                       2.12
JACKSON 2 E                           1.60
LAKE CATHERINE 1 NNE                  1.60
ARLINGTON                             1.32
SULLIVAN 4 SSE                        1.30
OREGON                                1.17
SAINT FRANCIS 1 WSW                   1.11

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET AMOUNTS IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...OKLAHOMA...
DUNCAN                                1.00
OKLAHOMA CITY 3 SW                    0.50

...TEXAS...
ANSON                                 1.00
BAIRD                                 1.00
BLACKWELL                             1.00
HASKELL                               1.00
ABILENE                               0.80

THE SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AROUND THE ARKLATEX FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE FRONT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. A
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
MOVE SLOWLY INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AS WELL. THESE BOUNDARIES WILL
ACT AS FOCAL POINTS FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL...WHILE
THERE WILL BE ICE ACCUMULATIONS NEAR THE TRANSITION ZONE AS ARCTIC
AIR SPILLS IN BEHIND THE FRONT. THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
EXTEND FROM EAST TEXAS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...EASTWARD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. THESE REGIONS CAN EXPECT
AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS. MODERATE RISKS OF FLASH FLOODING ARE IN PLACE FOR
NORTHEASTERN TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS...EXTENDING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY SATURDAY. THE
POTENTIAL FLOODING MAY OVERWHELM MAIN STEM RIVERS AND CAUSE MAJOR
RIVER FLOODING. NEAR THE TRANSITION ZONE OF THE PRECIPITATION
SHIELD...ACCUMULATING ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY FOR
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS...MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND
UPPER GREAT LAKES. OVER A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE FOR
PARTS OF IOWA IN PARTICULAR. ADDITIONALLY...LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATION
IS FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE INTERIOR NORTHEAST THROUGH FRIDAY.
NORTH OF THE ICE POTENTIAL...HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED FOR THE UPPER
MIDWEST TO UPPER GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH 12 TO 18
INCHES POSSIBLE.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 300 AM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

TATE




Last Updated: 359 AM EST FRI FEB 23 2018