Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
324 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

Valid 00Z Sun 09 Nov 2025 - 00Z Sun 16 Nov 2025

An approaching cold front will bring an increasing risk of rain
showers across the northern islands today, pushing southward 
tonight into Sunday. Weak forcing and shallow moisture will limit 
rainfall rates and reduce the risk of any flooding. However 
persistent easterly flow into the terrain should still support a 
few inches of rain, especially the windward portions of Maui and 
the Big Island, where the HREF mean and latest ECMWF support 
upwards of 2 to 4 inches of rain through Monday.

Strong winds are likely behind the front with an east- 
northeasterly direction. Winds should shift back slightly to the 
easterly direction into early next week while remaining breezy to 
strong as surface high pressure sets up north of the state. 
Another front may approach Hawaii mid to late week, bringing 
another round of light to moderate precipitation as windy 
conditions continue.

Chenard/Tate