Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
300 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

Valid 12Z Mon Nov 10 2025 - 12Z Wed Nov 12 2025

...Frigid airmass brings sharply colder weather across the eastern
two-thirds of the country and record maximum and minimum temperatures in
the Southeast including all of Florida through tonight...

...Snowy, very cold and windy from the Great Lakes to interior New England
and west slopes of the Appalachians...


A closed upper low over the Ohio Valley/Upper Midwest will tilt negatively
as it shifts through the Northeast and into southeastern Canada by
Wednesday morning. At the surface, a frigid continental polar airmass will
continue to stream south through the Central and Eastern U.S. behind an
associated polar front. Max and min temperatures between 20-30 degrees
below average will tie or break many records across the Southeast through
tonight. Record breaking maximum temperatures are also possible for much
of the Florida peninsula on Tuesday as well as the polar airmass continues
its southward progression. Freeze watches and warnings are in effect from
the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Virginia Tidewater through Tuesday
morning. Surface high pressure will dive south across the Plains today,
while a compact pressure gradient across the Mississippi Valley, Midwest
and Southeast will generate gusty winds and dry conditions. This will
support an elevated fire weather threat across the Central Gulf Coast,
where red flag warnings are in effect today and for much of the Southern
Plains on Tuesday.

Surface troughing and northerly flow supplying cold air across the Midwest
and interior Northeast will generate snowfall for portions of the Great
Lakes and Appalachians today, where an additional 4-8" are expected with
isolated higher amounts possible by Wednesday morning. Lake effect snow
warnings are in effect downwind of Lake Erie, while winter weather
advisories and winter storm warnings dot downwind areas of the Great
Lakes, northern Maine and the Central/Southern Appalachians. Elsewhere, an
amplified upper low pressure system will bring unsettled weather to the
West beginning on Wednesday.


Kebede


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php