A FEW IDEAS TO HELP DETERMINE HOW BIG AN AREA OF RAINFALL TO FORECAST
THE SIZE IS DEPENDENT ON HOW MUCH MOISTURE IS PRESENT AND ON THE STRENGTH OF THE MOISTURE TRANSPORT
- IS DEPENDENT ON BOTH THE ABSOLUTE (PWS, MIXING RATIOS) AND RELATIVE MOISTURE (RH)
THE SIZE IS DEPENDENT ON THE SYSTEMS MOVEMENT
SIZE IS DEPENDENT ON THE SCALE OF THE FORCING
PATTERN RECOGNITION IS ONE OF THE BEST TOOLS TO USE WHEN TRYING TO FORECAST THE SCALE OF THE EVENT.
MODEL GUIDANCE PROVIDES A DECENT FIRST GUESS, ESPECIALLY OF COOL SEASON STRATOFORM EVENTS