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Tropical Depression HARVEY Advisory Number 48
 
Issued 09:00Z Sep 01, 2017
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  53   52   51   50   49   48   47   46   45   44   


TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL092017
400 AM CDT FRI SEP 01 2017

...HARVEY BEGINNING TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS HEAVY RAIN
SPREADS TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY...SEVERE FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS
FAR EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.7N 87.2W
ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...NNE OF MUSCLE SHOALS RGNL ALABAMA
ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...SW OF NASHVILLE METRO TENNESSEE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM PARTS OF
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI ACROSS WESTERN TENNESSEE AND INTO MUCH OF
KENTUCKY

FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN
TEXAS...INCLUDING THE HOUSTON METROPOLITAN AREA...AND INTO WESTERN
LOUISIANA

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.7 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 87.2
WEST. RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT TROPICAL
DEPRESSION HARVEY CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF LOSING TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS IN THE PAST FEW HOURS.  MUCH OF THE MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINS ARE NOW ORGANIZED TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION
CENTER AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT.  HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE
OHIO VALLEY AND WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ARRIVING FROM THE GREAT LAKES SHOULD BEGIN TO
INTERACT WITH THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF HARVEY IN OHIO ON
SATURDAY AND THEN DEVELOP IT SLOWLY AS AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW OVER
NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
-------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN FROM WESTERN TO CENTRAL TENNESSEE
AND WESTERN TO CENTRAL KENTUCKY INTO EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN INDIANA,
SOUTHERN OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA. LOCALLY HIGHER
TOTALS OF 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM WESTERN TENNESSEE TO WEST
CENTRAL KENTUCKY. THESE RAINS WILL ENHANCE THE FLASH FLOODING RISK
ACROSS THESE AREAS. MEANWHILE, WIDESPREAD SEVERE FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE IN AND AROUND HOUSTON, BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR/ORANGE, AND
EASTWARD AROUND THE LOUISIANA BORDER THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL IN THE AFFECTED AREA IF YOU ARE IN A SAFE PLACE.
DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED ROADWAYS.

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4
AM CDT

...ALABAMA...
GASQUE                                8.00                    
BONSECOUR                             7.91                    
GRAND BAY 10.5 NE                     6.81                    
FOLEY 7.4 SW                          6.44                    
ELBERTA                               6.31                    
ORANGE BEACH                          6.03                    
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW               6.01                    
MOBILE REGIONAL AIRPORT               5.83                    
MOBILE/BATES FIELD                    5.83                    
FAIRHOPE                              5.77                    
GULF SHORES                           5.60                    
SUMMERDALE                            4.73                    
MONTROSE                              4.52                    
DAPHNE 0.4 SW                         4.42                    
FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL 3W         4.35                    
SONNY CALLAHAN ARPT                   4.32                    

...ARKANSAS...
WATSON 9 N                            9.96                    
LAKE POINSETT RAWS                    6.63                    
MAMMOTH SPRINGS 2 SSE                 6.42                    
LITTLE DIXIE                          6.24                    
CANAL 43 N. NEAR DUMAS                6.03                    
HARRISBURG                            4.33                    
STUTTGART MUNI ARPT                   4.33                    
FELSENTHAL 7 NNW                      3.21                    
CROSSETT 0.9 S                        2.79                    
JONESBORO MUNI ARPT                   2.01                    

...FLORIDA...
PENSACOLA REGIONAL AIRPORT            7.95                    
MILTON                                7.33                    
UNIVERSITY WEST 2.0 WNW               6.36                    
CRESTVIEW - SIKES ARPT                5.63                    
PACE                                  5.35                    
GULF BREEZE                           5.28                    
PANAMA CITY ARPT                      4.03                    

...GEORGIA...
COLUMBUS METRO ARPT                   2.04                    
ATLANTA RGNL ARPT - FALCON FIELD      1.70                    

...KENTUCKY...
PLANO 2 ENE                           5.73                    
FRANKLIN 2 NE                         5.58                    
AUBURN 6 WNW                          4.39                    
PROVIDENCE 3 ENE                      4.32                    
BOWLING GREEN 2 NW                    4.23                    
RUSSELLVILLE 2 NNW                    4.14                    
CORINTH 3 SW                          4.06                    

...LOUISIANA...
BAYOU CONWAY                         22.25                    
BAYOU TORO NEAR TORO                 20.62                    
KENNER GULLY AT MARK LEBLEU          18.23                    
CALCASIEU RVR AT OLD TOWN BA         18.15                    
W-14 AT JOE SPEARS RD                17.85                    
W-6 AT WARD LINE ROAD                17.24                    
MOSS BLUFF                           16.70                    
BELFIELD DITCH AT BELFIELD ROAD      16.37                    
IOWA 0.9 ESE                         16.36                    
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT GOOS RD           16.02                    
BAYOU ARSENE AT HECKER ROAD          15.84                    
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT HWY 171           15.74                    
LAKE CHARLES 11.5 SSW                15.41                    
RAGLEY 5.0 SE                        15.18                    
EB L-14 AT IOWA BASEBALL FIELD       14.85                    
INDIAN BAYOU AT COFFEY ROAD          14.10                    
TOPSY 4 NNW                          14.08                    
LACASSINE BAYOU AT LORRAIN BRIDGE    13.04                    
ZAVALLA 2 ENE                        12.87                    
SULPHUR 2.2 E                        12.54                    
BON WIER 2 ENE                       12.44                    
HACKBERRY 5 SSE                      12.33                    
CONTRABAND BAYOU AT 18TH STREET      12.28                    
WELSH 0.7 W                          12.26                    
W-4 AT NELSON ROAD                   12.12                    
GILLIS 4 WSW                         12.11                    
FORT POLK                            11.96                    
BUXTON CREEK AT DOUGLAS ROAD         11.21                    
CHOUPIQUE BAYOU AT HWY 90            11.02                    
LACASSINE NATIONAL 2 ENE             10.55                    
BAYOU DINDE AT PICARD ST              9.76                    
LEBLEU SETTLEMENT 2 WNW               9.64                    
FORKED ISLAND 5 ENE                   9.37                    
BUNDICK CREEK NEAR DE RIDDER          9.26                    
PECAN ISLAND 2 E                      9.14                    
LAKE CHARLES MUNI ARPT                9.08                    
NEW IBERIA/ACADIANA                   8.92                    
VERNON - FTS                          8.77                    
LAFAYETTE RGNL ARPT                   7.14                    
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                   5.88                    
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT                 5.33                    
ENGLAND AFB/ALEXANDRIA                4.84                    
SLIDELL AIRPORT                       3.82                    
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT            3.17                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
GAUTIER                               8.27                    
SANDHILL CRANE - FTS                  7.90                    
GRAND BAY                             6.06                    
OCEAN SPRINGS 3.6 ESE                 4.61                    
MOSS POINT - TRENT LOTT INTL ARPT     4.55                    
PASCAGOULA                            4.54                    
PEARLINGTON 4.4 N                     3.99                    
JOURDAN RIVER NEAR KILN               3.35                    
TANGIPAHOA RIVER AT OSYKA             3.15                    
TYLERTOWN 9 WNW                       3.08                    
NATCHEZ/HARDY                         2.91                    
KEESLER AFB/BILOXI                    2.55                    
GULFPORT-BILOXI                       2.40                    

...TENNESSEE...
MEMPHIS INTL ARPT                     1.25                    
JACKSON MCKELLAR-SIPES RGNL ARPT      1.12                    

...TEXAS...
CEDAR BAYOU AT FM 1942               51.88                    
CLEAR CREEK AT I-45                  49.40                    
DAYTON 0.2 E                         49.23                    
MARYS CREEK AT WINDING ROAD          49.20                    
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR                 47.35                    
SANTA FE 0.7 S                       46.70                    
PASADENA 4.4 WNW                     45.74                    
HORSEPEN CREEK AT BAY AREA BLVD      45.60                    
SOUTH HOUSTON 4.0 SSW                44.91                    
BERRY BAYOU AT FOREST OAKS BLVD      44.80                    
BERRY BAYOU AT NEVADA                44.44                    
FRIENDSWOOD 2.5 NNE                  44.05                    
LITTLE VINCE BAYOU AT BURKE RD       43.52                    
HOUSTON WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE      43.38                    
LEAGUE CITY 2.7 NE                   43.32                    
WEBSTER 0.4 NW                       43.32                    
LNVA CHEEK CANAL AT DITCH 407        43.11                    
LITTLE CEDAR BAYOU AT 8TH ST         42.32                    
ARMAND BAYOU AT GENOA-RED BLUFF RD   42.16                    
TURKEY CREEK AT FM 1959              42.12                    
BOONDOCKS RD AT TAYLORS BA           41.86                    
ARMAND BAYOU AT PASADENA LAKE        41.20                    
TAYLOR LAKE AT NASA ROAD 1           40.44                    
SH 124 AT HILLEBRANDT BAYOU          38.18                    
MAHAW BAYOU AT ENGLIN RD             37.75                    
JACINTO CITY                         37.60                    
HUNTING BAYOU AT LOOP 610 EAST       37.00                    
TELEPSEN                             36.60                    
MAHAW BAYOU AT BRUSH ISLAND ROAD     36.53                    
FIRST COLONY 4 WSW                   36.34                    
BEAMER DITCH HUGHES RD               36.32                    
LA PORTE 1 N                         36.24                    
BAYTOWN 2 NW                         35.64                    
MOUNT HOUSTON                        35.60                    
HOUSTON/CLOVER FIELD                 33.37                    
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL             31.26                    
KATY 6 NE                            31.23                    
HOUSTON/WILL HOBBY                   27.88                    
HOUSTON/D.W. HOOKS                   27.01                    
GALVESTON/SCHOLES                    22.84                    
COLLEGE STATION 2 SSW                19.64                    
VICTORIA 3.8 NW                      15.60                    
AUSTIN 4 SSE                         10.28                    
AUSTIN/MUELLER MUNI ARPT             10.07                    
CORPUS CHRISTI 3.6 S                  6.23                    

...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...

...TEXAS...
PORT ARANSAS 2 ENE                   132                    
COPANO VILLAGE 1 ENE                 125                    
LAMAR 2 SSW                          110                    
ROCKPORT 1 S                         108                    
TAFT 5 NNE                            90                    
MAGNOLIA BEACH 8 ESE                  79                    
EDNA                                  73                    
FLOUR BLUFF 4 ESE                     72                    
ARANSAS PASS 7 SE                     71                    
CLEAR LAKE SHORES 1 WSW               71                    
BRAZOS 451                            70                    
PALACIOS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT            69                    
CORPUS CHRISTI NAS 5 SE               65                    
GANADO 7 S                            64                    
LA WARD                               64                    
BAYOU VISTA 13 E                      61                    
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT       58                    
QUINTANA 1 NE                         58                    
SUGAR LAND MUNICIPAL AIRPORT          58                    
JONES CREEK 9 SW                      55                    
LA MARQUE 2 E                         55                    
FREEPORT 1 ESE                        54                    
SAN LEON 19 E                         54                    
MISSOURI CITY 1 SE                    53                    
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                 53                    
WEBSTER                               53                    
BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT                52                    
GONZALES AIRPORT                      52                    
NASSAU BAY                            52                    
TEXAS CITY 4 ENE                      52                    


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 01/0900Z 35.7N 87.2W
12HR VT 01/1800Z 36.1N 86.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 02/0600Z 37.5N 85.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 02/1800Z 39.1N 83.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 03/0600Z 42.0N 81.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP