WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook

WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook
Risk of 1 to 6 hour rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance at a point

Updated: 0046 UTC Fri Oct 17, 2025
Valid: 01 UTC Oct 17, 2025 - 12 UTC Oct 17, 2025

Forecast Discussion

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
844 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Day 1
Valid 01Z Fri Oct 17 2025 - 12Z Fri Oct 17 2025

The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less
than 5 percent.

Locally heavy rainfall will continue across portions of far
northwest KS into central NE this evening along a cold front.
Hourly rainfall will occasionally exceed 1", and total rainfall
may locally approach 2". While this rainfall could result in some
minor runoff issues, the probability of flash flooding remains
below 5 percent.

Chenard


Day 1 threat area: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/94epoints.txt


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