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Tropical Depression BILL Advisory Number 11
 
Issued 15:00Z Jun 18, 2015
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  22   21   20   19   18   17   16   15   14   13   12   11   10   9   8   7   


TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES A NORTHWARD PATH
EAST OF OKLAHOMA CITY...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.9N 96.2W
ABOUT 84 MILES...135 KM...ESE OF OKLAHOMA CITY OKLAHOMA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EAST
TEXAS...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.  FLOOD
WATCHES AND WARNINGS AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR
EASTERN HALF OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA AND INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 96.2 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BILL CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA.  THE STORM CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION...HOWEVER THE RAINBANDS ARE BEGINNING TO WEAKEN. 
NEVERTHELESS...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WAS REPORTED NORTH AND
WEST OF THE CENTER.  IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH HAVE
BEEN REPORTED WEST OF THE CENTER.  THERE ARE ALSO HEAVIER RAIN
BANDS MOVING VERY SLOWLY FROM SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD
INTO NORTHWEST LOUISIANA WHERE SOME OF THE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS
ARE IN EFFECT.  BILL HAS BEGUN TO TURN NORTHEAST AND WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY.  BY
FRIDAY...THE CENTER OF BILL WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MISSOURI. 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND
INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI.  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES
MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE INTO PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN TEXAS.  RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY.  THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 AM CDT

...ARKANSAS...
LONOKE 1.2 SSW                       1.74                     
EVERTON 2.1 N                        1.67                     
ST. JOE 2.7 WNW                      1.64                     
ATKINS 1.0 NE                        1.51                     
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT              1.48                     
BENTONVILLE                          1.43                     

...KANSAS...
COLLYER 2.1 SE                       1.45                     

...LOUISIANA...
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW                 3.84                     
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE                   2.42                     
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE                2.13                     
RUSTON 1.6 NW                        1.85                     

...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E                        12.53                     
NEWPORT                             11.52                     
BURNEYVILLE                         10.09                     
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                      8.63                     
RINGLING                             8.27                     
SULPHUR                              7.09                     
MACOMB 5.2 ESE                       5.82                     
MARIETTA 2.8 SW                      5.57                     
ADA 0.3 NNW                          5.45                     
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW                       5.30                     
NORMAN 3.4 SE                        3.61                     
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S                 2.64                     
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT         2.55                     
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT               1.69                     
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT               1.51                     

...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE                            12.50                     
GANADO 1.5 W                        11.77                     
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE                    9.51                     
ALICE INTL ARPT                      9.03                     
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE                     8.57                     
SEALY 0.3 WNW                        8.09                     
VICTORIA 9 ESE                       7.73                     
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW                     7.51                     
MANOR 4.7 WSW                        7.30                     
WF SAN JACINTO                       7.06                     
MANOR 5 WSW                          7.01                     
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW                     6.59                     
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE                   6.46                     
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW                   6.15                     
CORPUS CHRISTI                       6.14                     
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW                    6.12                     
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE                       5.80                     
ROCKPORT                             4.36                     
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                2.91                     
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL             2.51                     
FORT WORTH NAS                       2.34                     


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER FANNING

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 18/1500Z 34.9N 96.2W
12HR VT 19/0000Z 35.7N 95.0W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
24HR VT 19/1200Z 36.3N 93.7W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
36HR VT 20/0000Z 37.0N 91.0W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
48HR VT 20/1200Z 38.0N 88.3W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
72HR VT 21/1200Z 39.0N 77.2W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE