Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
The Weather Prediction Center

 
 

 

Follow the Weather Prediction Center on Facebook Follow the Weather Prediction Center on Twitter
NCEP Quarterly Newsletter
WPC Home
Analyses and Forecasts
   National High & Low
   WPC Discussions
   Surface Analysis
   Days ½-2½ CONUS
   Days 3-7 CONUS
   Days 4-8 Alaska
   QPF
   PQPF
   Flood Outlook
   Winter Weather
   Storm Summaries
   Heat Index
   Tropical Products
   Daily Weather Map
   GIS Products
Current Watches/
Warnings

Satellite and Radar Imagery
  GOES-East Satellite
  GOES-West Satellite
  National Radar
Product Archive
WPC Verification
   QPF
   Medium Range
   Model Diagnostics
   Event Reviews
   Winter Weather
International Desks
Development and Training
   Development
WPC Overview
   About the WPC
   Staff
   WPC History
   Accomplishments
   Other Sites
   FAQs
Meteorological Calculators
Contact Us
   About Our Site
 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official web portal to all federal, state, and local government web resources and services.
 
Remnants of BILL Advisory Number 15
 
Issued 15:00Z Jun 19, 2015
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  22   21   20   19   18   17   16   15   14   13   12   11   10   9   8   7   


TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO TRACK THROUGH NORTHERN
ARKANSAS...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.3N 91.4W
ABOUT 117 MILES...188 KM...NE OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS SECTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND EASTERN ILLINOIS. MEANWHILE...FLOOD WARNINGS
EXTEND ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS...NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA...LOUISIANA...AND INTO PARTS OF ARKANSAS...MISSOURI...AND
ILLINOIS. FARTHER NORTH AND EAST...FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT
ACROSS SECTIONS OF ILLINOIS...INDIANA...AND OHIO. FLASH FLOOD AND
FLOOD WATCHES ARE SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS AND OHIO VALLEY.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 91.4 WEST. SATELLITE AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL AS IT TRACKS
WELL INLAND ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS THIS MORNING.  IN
ADDITION...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES WITH TWO SEPARATE
AXES OF ACTIVE CONVECTION.  TO THE NORTH OF BILL...MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL WAS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY ALONG THE STATIONARY
FRONT.  NEAR THE CENTER OF BILL...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WAS
BEING REPORTED.  REPORTED WIND GUSTS NEAR THE CENTER OF BILL WERE
MEASURED AT 26 MPH OR LESS.  BILL IS EXPECTED TO TRACK
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AND GRADUALLY LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT BEGINS TO
INTERACT WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO THE NORTH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO
2 INCHES ACROSS AREAS OF ARKANSAS...INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
MISSOURI.  2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER EAST INTO THE
TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS WHILE 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE MORE LIKELY
TOWARD THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC REGION.  THESE
RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 AM CDT

...ARKANSAS...
ROGERS 2.1 SE                        4.42                     
DELIGHT 2.2 WNW                      3.74                     
SPRINGDALE 6.4 WSW                   3.31                     
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD           3.24                     
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE              3.12                     
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT              2.94                     
BENTONVILLE                          2.82                     
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT                  2.67                     
EUREKA SPRINGS 4.0 WNW               2.62                     
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT             2.49                     
MOUNTAIN HOME/BAXTER CO. ARPT        1.93                     
LONOKE 1.2 SSW                       1.74                     
EVERTON 2.1 N                        1.67                     
ST. JOE 2.7 WNW                      1.64                     
ATKINS 1.0 NE                        1.51                     

...ILLINOIS...
SULLIVAN 3 S                         4.89                     
ALLENVILLE 1 S                       4.50                     
ELBURN                               4.45                     
SOUTH CAROL STREAM                   4.11                     
BATAVIA                              3.87                     
ROCHELLE                             3.43                     
MANHATTAN 5 SSE                      3.26                     
OAK PARK 1 SE                        3.07                     
MATTOON                              3.03                     
DIXON 2 SW                           2.64                     
NEWTON                               2.58                     
TUSCOLA                              2.29                     
NORTH AURORA 2 E                     2.23                     
STE. MARIE                           2.11                     
GENEVA                               2.10                     

...INDIANA...
MOROCCO                              3.70                     
NEW ROSS 2 E                         2.87                     
ANDERSON 5 NW                        2.30                     
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT               1.92                     
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT                 1.81                     
CHESTERTON                           1.70                     

...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT                3.64                     
COLLYER 2.1 SE                       1.45                     

...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT                 4.79                     
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW                 3.84                     
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE                   2.42                     
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE                2.13                     
RUSTON 1.6 NW                        1.85                     

...MISSOURI...
SPRINGFIELD 7 S                      5.50                     
MARSHFIELD 3.6 S                     5.48                     
NIXA 2.7 SSW                         4.72                     
NIANGUA                              4.37                     
SOUTH SPRINGFIELD                    3.10                     
COLUMBIA RGNL ARPT                   2.94                     
LITTON AGRI-SCI CNTR                 2.86                     
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT                     2.60                     
WHITESIDE 2 E                        2.50                     
FORNEY AAF/FORT LEONARDWOOD          2.47                     
MIDDLETOWN 4 SW                      2.34                     
JEFFERSON CITY ARPT                  2.27                     
KAISER/LAKE OZARK                    2.08                     

...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E                        12.53                     
NEWPORT                             11.52                     
BURNEYVILLE                         10.09                     
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                      8.63                     
RINGLING                             8.27                     
PAULS VALLEY MUNI APRT               7.35                     
SULPHUR                              7.09                     
MACOMB 5.2 ESE                       5.82                     
MARIETTA 2.8 SW                      5.57                     
ADA 0.3 NNW                          5.45                     
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW                       5.30                     
NORMAN 3.4 SE                        3.61                     
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S                 2.64                     
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT         2.55                     
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT               1.51                     

...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE                            12.50                     
GANADO 1.5 W                        11.77                     
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE                    9.51                     
SEALY 0.3 WNW                        9.17                     
ALICE INTL ARPT                      9.03                     
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE                     8.57                     
VICTORIA 9 ESE                       7.73                     
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW                     7.51                     
MANOR 4.7 WSW                        7.30                     
WF SAN JACINTO                       7.06                     
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO ARPT              6.98                     
NAVASOTA 8 SE                        6.73                     
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW                     6.59                     
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE                   6.46                     
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW                   6.15                     
CORPUS CHRISTI                       6.14                     
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE                       5.80                     
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                2.91                     
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL             2.51                     
FORT WORTH NAS                       2.34                     


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER FANNING

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 19/1500Z 36.3N 91.4W
12HR VT 20/0000Z 36.9N 89.8W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 20/1200Z 37.9N 87.0W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 21/0000Z 39.0N 82.4W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 21/1200Z 39.2N 77.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW