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Tropical Depression BILL Advisory Number 19
 
Issued 15:00Z Jun 20, 2015
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  22   21   20   19   18   17   16   15   14   13   12   11   10   9   8   7   


TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 AM CDT SAT JUN 20 2015

...TENACIOUS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS
NORTHERN KENTUCKY...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.2N 84.9W
ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...NW OF LEXINGTON KENTUCKY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF
SOUTHEASTERN INDIANA.  IN ADDITION...FLASH FLOOD AND FLOOD WATCHES
EXTEND FROM SOUTHEASTERN ILLINOIS EASTWARD ALONG THE OHIO
VALLEY...ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE NORTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.2 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST. AFTER SPENDING MORE
THAN THREE DAYS OVER LAND...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO
MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AS IT TRACKS WELL
INLAND OVER SATURATED GROUNDS RESULTING FROM ANTECEDENT HEAVY
RAINS.  WHILE SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING BEGINS TO SHOW A MORE
EXTRATROPICAL APPEARANCE TO THE OVERALL CLOUD STRUCTURE OF
BILL...LOCAL RADAR IMAGERY REVEALS A TIGHT CORE OF SPIRAL RAINBAND
BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY.  SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
INDICATE THAT WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  THE
CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 1002 MB. BILL IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UP THE OHIO VALLEY
AND INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TODAY AND GRADUALLY LOSE
TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.  THEREAFTER...BILL COULD BRIEFLY
RESTRENGTHEN ON SUNDAY AS IT BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAIN UP ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY INTO WEST VIRGINIA WHILE 1 TO 3
INCHES ARE EXPECTED FARTHER EAST INTO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC
REGION.  THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 AM CDT

...ARKANSAS...
ROGERS 2.1 SE                        4.42                     
BENTONVILLE                          4.27                     
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE              4.03                     
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT              3.85                     
DELIGHT 2.2 WNW                      3.74                     
SPRINGDALE 6.4 WSW                   3.31                     
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD           3.24                     
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT                  2.67                     
EUREKA SPRINGS 4.0 WNW               2.62                     
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT             2.49                     

...ILLINOIS...
FULTS 3.7 ENE                        8.26                     
FREEBURG 3.8 ESE                     7.63                     
BUSH 2.0 ESE                         7.42                     
COOKS MILL                           5.14                     
SCOTT AFB/BELLEVILLE                 5.01                     
SULLIVAN 3 S                         4.89                     
CARBONDALE/MURPHYSBORO               4.83                     
FLORA                                4.70                     
LAWRENCEVILLE-VINCENNES INTL AP      4.63                     
ALLENVILLE 1 S                       4.50                     
ELBURN                               4.45                     
MATTOON/CHARLESTON                   4.23                     
SOUTH CAROL STREAM                   4.11                     
BATAVIA                              3.87                     
CAHOKIA/ST. LOUIS                    3.58                     
ROCHELLE                             3.43                     
MANHATTAN 5 SSE                      3.26                     
OAK PARK 1 SE                        3.07                     
DIXON 2 SW                           2.64                     
NEWTON                               2.58                     
TUSCOLA                              2.29                     
NORTH AURORA 2 E                     2.23                     
STE. MARIE                           2.11                     

...INDIANA...
PLAINVILLE 1.3 S                     8.80                     
BEDFORD 8.6 NNW                      7.35                     
EVANSVILLE 5.9 WNW                   6.91                     
GRISSOM AFB/PERU                     6.72                     
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT                 5.27                     
SANDBORN                             4.96                     
BLOOMINGTON/MONROE CO. ARPT          4.87                     
BICKNELL                             4.67                     
FORT WAYNE/BAER FIELD                4.53                     
MOROCCO                              3.70                     
MUNCIE/JOHNSON FIELD                 3.16                     
NEW ROSS 2 E                         2.87                     
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT               2.57                     
ANDERSON 5 NW                        2.30                     
TERRE HAUTE/HULMAN RGNL ARPT         2.12                     
CHESTERTON                           1.70                     

...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT                3.64                     
OLATHE/JOHNSON                       1.79                     
COLLYER 2.1 SE                       1.45                     

...KENTUCKY...
GEORGETOWN 1.2 N                     5.00                     
CORYDON 4.3 NE                       4.89                     
HENDERSON 0.4 SSW                    4.30                     
FRANKFORT/CAPITAL CITY ARPT          2.12                     
JACKSON/J. CARROLL                   1.96                     
PADUCAH/BARKLEY                      1.90                     
LEXINGTON/BLUE GRASS FIELD           1.14                     

...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT                 4.79                     
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW                 3.84                     
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE                   2.42                     
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE                2.13                     
RUSTON 1.6 NW                        1.85                     

...MISSOURI...
FORDLAND 4 WNW                       8.25                     
BOLIVAR 1.0 ENE                      8.22                     
BATTLEFIELD                          7.93                     
OZARK 3 N                            7.54                     
SPOKANE 3 SE                         7.00                     
HARTVILLE 1 E                        6.90                     
HIGHLANDVILLE                        6.75                     
SEYMOUR                              6.20                     
SPRINGFIELD 7 E                      6.00                     
MARSHFIELD 3.6 S                     5.48                     
HURLEY 8 ENE                         5.00                     
EXETER                               5.00                     
COMPETITION                          5.00                     
ROGERSVILLE                          4.80                     
NIXA 2.7 SSW                         4.72                     
LINDEN 2 NE                          4.60                     
NIANGUA                              4.37                     
FORNEY AAF/FORT LEONARDWOOD          4.24                     
SOUTH SPRINGFIELD                    3.10                     
COLUMBIA RGNL ARPT                   2.94                     
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT                     2.60                     
JEFFERSON CITY ARPT                  2.27                     

...OHIO...
FORT LORAMIE 2.1 WNW                 5.74                     
LIMA/ALLEN CO. APRT                  5.11                     
ANNA 3.1 NNW                         4.12                     
WASHINGTON 3.9 ESE                   3.70                     
AKRON-CANTON REGIONAL ARPT           3.51                     
WILMINGTON/CINCINNATI WFO            3.46                     
DAYTON/JAMES M COX AIRPORT           3.01                     
CINCINNATI (ASOS)                    2.90                     

...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E                        12.53                     
NEWPORT                             11.52                     
BURNEYVILLE                         10.09                     
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                      8.63                     
RINGLING                             8.27                     
PAULS VALLEY MUNI APRT               7.35                     
SULPHUR                              7.09                     
MACOMB 5.2 ESE                       5.82                     
MARIETTA 2.8 SW                      5.57                     
ADA 0.3 NNW                          5.45                     
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW                       5.30                     
NORMAN 3.4 SE                        3.61                     
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S                 2.64                     
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT         2.55                     
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT               1.51                     

...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE                            12.50                     
GANADO 1.5 W                        11.77                     
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE                    9.51                     
SEALY 0.3 WNW                        9.17                     
ALICE INTL ARPT                      9.03                     
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE                     8.57                     
VICTORIA 9 ESE                       7.73                     
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW                     7.51                     
MANOR 4.7 WSW                        7.30                     
WF SAN JACINTO                       7.06                     
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO ARPT              6.98                     
NAVASOTA 8 SE                        6.73                     
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW                     6.59                     
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE                   6.46                     
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW                   6.15                     
CORPUS CHRISTI                       6.14                     
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE                       5.80                     
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                2.91                     
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL             2.51                     
FORT WORTH NAS                       2.34                     


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 20/1500Z 38.2N 84.9W
12HR VT 21/0000Z 38.9N 81.6W...POST-TROPICAL
24HR VT 21/1200Z 39.4N 75.8W...POST-TROPICAL
36HR VT 22/0000Z 42.0N 69.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 22/1200Z 43.8N 64.2W...EXTRATROPICAL