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Remnants of BILL Advisory Number 21
 
Issued 03:00Z Jun 21, 2015
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  22   21   20   19   18   17   16   15   14   13   12   11   10   9   8   7   


POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1100 PM EDT SAT JUN 20 2015

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BILL CONTINUES TO BRING HEAVY RAIN
THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.3N 79.7W
ABOUT 104 MILES...167 KM...NW OF CHARLOTTESVILLE VIRGINIA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...32 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...45 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS AREAS OF
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND THE MID-ATLANTIC. FLASH FLOOD AND FLOOD
WATCHES EXTEND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OHIO VALLEY...CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS AND NORTHWARD INTO PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL NORTHEAST.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST. WHILE POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE BILL STILL HAS SOME CYCLONIC CIRCULATION...IT IS NOT AS
DISCERNIBLE AS IT MOVES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF WEST
VIRGINIA.  RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW
BUT IT IS MUCH LESS ORGANIZED THAN IT HAS PREVIOUSLY BEEN DURING
THE PAST FEW DAYS.  SURFACE OBSERVATIONS HAVE REPORTED UP TO 35
MPH WIND GUSTS NEAR THE CENTER.  OUTER RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO MOVE
AHEAD OF THE CENTER INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEAST.  THE MOST IMPRESSIVE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF BILL WAS MOVING THROUGH THE WASHINGTON D.C./BALTIMORE
METRO AREA.  THIS LINE OF STORMS WAS PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL AND ALSO HAD A HISTORY OF PRODUCING FLASH
FLOODING...STRONG WINDS...AND EVEN TORNADOES.  LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAINFALL IS ALSO BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
NEW YORK.  THE REMNANTS OF BILL ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC DURING THE EARLY HOURS OF
SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL TRACK ACROSS THE NORTHEAST COASTLINE ON
SUNDAY.  THE REMNANTS OF BILL COULD BRIEFLY RESTRENGTHEN ON SUNDAY
AS IT BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3
INCHES OF RAIN FROM THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...MID-ATLANTIC
REGION...AND NORTHWARD INTO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND.  THESE RAINS WILL
CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING...PARTICULARLY
IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY
RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 8 PM EDT

...ARKANSAS...
ROGERS 2.1 SE                        4.42                     
BENTONVILLE                          4.27                     
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE              4.03                     
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT              3.85                     
DELIGHT 2.2 WNW                      3.74                     
SPRINGDALE 6.4 WSW                   3.31                     
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD           3.24                     
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT                  2.67                     
EUREKA SPRINGS 4.0 WNW               2.62                     
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT             2.49                     

...ILLINOIS...
COOKS MILL                           5.14                     
SCOTT AFB/BELLEVILLE                 5.01                     
SULLIVAN 3 S                         4.89                     
CARBONDALE/MURPHYSBORO               4.83                     
FLORA                                4.70                     
LAWRENCEVILLE-VINCENNES INTL AP      4.63                     
ALLENVILLE 1 S                       4.50                     
ELBURN                               4.45                     
MATTOON/CHARLESTON                   4.23                     
SOUTH CAROL STREAM                   4.11                     
BATAVIA                              3.87                     
CAHOKIA/ST. LOUIS                    3.58                     
MURPHYSBORO                          3.56                     
ROCHELLE                             3.43                     
MANHATTAN 5 SSE                      3.26                     

...INDIANA...
GRISSOM AFB/PERU                     6.72                     
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT                 5.27                     
SANDBORN                             4.96                     
BLOOMINGTON/MONROE CO. ARPT          4.87                     
BICKNELL                             4.67                     
FORT WAYNE/BAER FIELD                4.53                     
MOROCCO                              3.70                     
MUNCIE/JOHNSON FIELD                 3.16                     
NEW ROSS 2 E                         2.87                     
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT               2.57                     
ANDERSON 5 NW                        2.30                     
TERRE HAUTE/HULMAN RGNL ARPT         2.12                     
CHESTERTON                           1.70                     

...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT                3.64                     
OLATHE/JOHNSON                       1.79                     
COLLYER 2.1 SE                       1.45                     

...KENTUCKY...
HENDERSON CITY                       3.54                     
FRANKFORT/CAPITAL CITY ARPT          2.12                     
CALHOUN/LOCK                         2.02                     
JACKSON/J. CARROLL                   1.96                     
PADUCAH/BARKLEY                      1.90                     
LEXINGTON/BLUE GRASS FIELD           1.14                     

...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT                 4.79                     
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW                 3.84                     
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE                   2.42                     
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE                2.13                     
RUSTON 1.6 NW                        1.85                     

...MARYLAND...
MOUNTAIN LAKE 2 WNW                  1.60                     
ACCIDENT 3 NNE                       1.60                     

...MISSOURI...
FORDLAND 4 WNW                       8.25                     
BATTLEFIELD                          7.93                     
OZARK 3 N                            7.54                     
SPOKANE 3 SE                         7.00                     
HARTVILLE 1 E                        6.90                     
HIGHLANDVILLE                        6.75                     
SEYMOUR                              6.20                     
SPRINGFIELD 7 E                      6.00                     
MARSHFIELD 3.6 S                     5.48                     
HURLEY 8 ENE                         5.00                     
EXETER                               5.00                     
COMPETITION                          5.00                     
ROGERSVILLE                          4.80                     
NIXA 2.7 SSW                         4.72                     
LINDEN 2 NE                          4.60                     

...OHIO...
LIMA/ALLEN CO. APRT                  5.11                     
AKRON-CANTON REGIONAL ARPT           3.51                     
WILMINGTON/CINCINNATI WFO            3.46                     
DOWNTOWN COLUMBUS 2 WNW              3.21                     
DAYTON/JAMES M COX AIRPORT           3.01                     
CINCINNATI (ASOS)                    2.90                     
HARVEYSBURG 3 SW                     2.75                     
MORROW 1 E                           2.69                     
LOVELAND 5 SE                        2.50                     
GAHANNA 5 WNW                        2.35                     
NORTH ZANESVILLE 4 W                 2.14                     
WOODSFIELD 2 E                       1.81                     
NELLIE                               1.71                     
FAIRFIELD 5 SSE                      1.46                     
CONESVILLE 2 ESE                     1.34                     

...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E                        12.53                     
NEWPORT                             11.52                     
BURNEYVILLE                         10.09                     
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                      8.63                     
RINGLING                             8.27                     
PAULS VALLEY MUNI APRT               7.35                     
SULPHUR                              7.09                     
MACOMB 5.2 ESE                       5.82                     
MARIETTA 2.8 SW                      5.57                     
ADA 0.3 NNW                          5.45                     
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW                       5.30                     
NORMAN 3.4 SE                        3.61                     
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S                 2.64                     
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT         2.55                     
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT               1.51                     

...PENNSYLVANIA...
FORT NECESSITY                       0.92                     
CHARLEROI                            0.90                     
MARIANNA 1 E                         0.77                     
NEW CASTLE WWTP                      0.66                     
NORTH SALEM                          0.60                     

...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE                            12.50                     
GANADO 1.5 W                        11.77                     
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE                    9.51                     
SEALY 0.3 WNW                        9.17                     
ALICE INTL ARPT                      9.03                     
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE                     8.57                     
VICTORIA 9 ESE                       7.73                     
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW                     7.51                     
MANOR 4.7 WSW                        7.30                     
WF SAN JACINTO                       7.06                     
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO ARPT              6.98                     
NAVASOTA 8 SE                        6.73                     
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW                     6.59                     
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE                   6.46                     
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW                   6.15                     
CORPUS CHRISTI                       6.14                     
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE                       5.80                     
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                2.91                     
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL             2.51                     
FORT WORTH NAS                       2.34                     

...WEST VIRGINIA...
ALBRIGHT                             1.58                     
CAMERON                              1.18                     
BARRACKVILLE                         1.18                     
MORGANTOWN MUNICIPAL                 1.10                     
PLEASANT HILL CAMP                   1.07                     
WESTOVER 1 SSE                       1.00                     


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  500 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER FANNING

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 21/0300Z 39.3N 79.7W
12HR VT 21/1200Z 39.4N 75.3W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 22/0000Z 43.8N 68.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 22/1200Z 43.0N 62.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 23/0000Z 44.6N 57.8W...EXTRATROPICAL