POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
500 PM EDT MON MAY 30 2016

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL THROUGH THE EASTERN CAROLINAS AND INTO PORTIONS OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.8N 79.7W
ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...E OF COLUMBIA METRO SOUTH CAROLINA.
ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...NNE OF CHARLESTOWN MUNI SOUTH CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...25 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 0 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH
CAROLINA.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST. POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE BONNIE IS CURRENTLY ASSOCIATED WITH MAINLY SCATTERED
CONVECTION THROUGH THE EASTERN CAROLINAS. RADAR AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS ALSO SHOW LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE
MOISTURE FROM BONNIE OVERSPREADING PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
SEABOARD...MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN MID-ATLANTIC. WINDS OF ONLY
AROUND 10 MPH ARE PRESENT NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION ON
LAND...WHILE WINDS ARE SOMEWHAT STRONGER OFFSHORE. BONNIE IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH AND
NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...AND INCREASE IN SPEED SOMEWHAT
BY WEDNESDAY...TRACKING OFFSHORE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
NORTHEAST. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS STORM IS MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAIN...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MAINLY THE EASTERN CAROLINAS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...25 KM/H...WITH GUSTS TO
25 MPH...40 KM/H..

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.86 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMA
OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4 PM EDT

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON ARPT                      1.75                     

...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING                8.85                     
OLIVER 2 SW                          7.74                     
MARLOW                               7.46                     
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD                   2.69                     
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT                   1.57                     

...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT                   2.31                     
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT                1.59                     
BOSTON/LOGAN                         1.13                     

...MARYLAND...
GALENA                               3.51                     
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT                 1.77                     
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS             1.20                     

...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP           5.21                     
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT            2.41                     
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT               2.05                     
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT             1.95                     

...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TWP                         4.52                     
WESTAMPTON TWP                       3.50                     
MOUNT HOLLY WFO                      3.08                     
NEWARK INTL ARPT                     1.60                     

...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY                        1.65                     

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS                                3.49                     
WALNUTPORT                           2.70                     
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT           2.35                     
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT        2.32                     

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
OLD HOUSE 1 SSE                     10.36                     
LENA 4 ENE                           9.03                     
ARCHDALE 2 NE                        8.61                     
ARCHDALE 2 NNE                       8.52                     
ALLENDALE 1 S                        6.14                     
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11                  6.11                     
CALAWASSIE ISLAND                    6.05                     
CHARLESTON AIRPORT                   4.84                     
BEAUFORT 2 N                         4.60                     
SANGAREE                             4.05                     

...VIRGINIA...
RICHMOND                             2.34                     
PETERSBURG                           1.21                     


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER TATE

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 30/2100Z 33.8N 79.7W
12HR VT 31/0600Z 33.8N 79.0W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 31/1800Z 34.0N 78.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 01/0600Z 34.5N 78.0W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 01/1800Z 35.4N 77.2W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 02/1800Z 36.6N 75.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 03/1800Z 38.0N 72.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 04/1800Z 39.0N 66.4W...EXTRATROPICAL