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Remnants of BONNIE Advisory Number 21
 
Issued 21:00Z Jun 01, 2016
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  23   22   21   20   19   18   17   16   15   14   13   


POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
500 PM EDT WED JUN 01 2016

...CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE PASSING SOUTH OF CAPE
LOOKOUT...HEAVY RAIN THREAT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT IN
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.8N 76.0W
ABOUT 80 MILES...129 KM...SSE OF SMITH FIELD/BEAUFORT NORTH
CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD WATCHES AND A FLOOD ADVISORY ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE
COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA...AND FOR MUCH OF THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH
CAROLINA.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST. ..OR ABOUT 70 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT...NORTH CAROLINA.  LATEST
ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR COMPOSITE SHOW THAT
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE HAS ADOPTED A STEADY FORWARD MOTION
TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST IN THE PAST FEW HOURS.  LATEST SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT INDICATE THAT WINDS FROM THE
EAST-NORTHEAST HAVE STRENGTHENED TO AROUND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
NEAR 30 MPH.  MEANWHILE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME
MORE ACTIVE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AS A LEADING BAND OF
THUNDERSTORMS ROTATES WESTWARD TOWARDS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. 
THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF BONNIE HAS BECOME MORE DIFFICULT TO ACCESS
SINCE THE CENTER IS MOVING INTO A DATA VOID AREA.  RADAR IMAGES
SHOW THAT BONNIE HAS MAINTAINED A FAIR AMOUNT OF ROTATION AROUND
THE CENTER.  THEREFORE...THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS KEPT AT
1010 MB...THE SAME AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.  THE REMNANT
CIRCULATION OF BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARDS THE
EAST-NORTHEAST FOR THE REST OF TODAY...PASSING SOUTH OF THE OUTER
BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT BEFORE MOVING OFF INTO THE
ATLANTIC TOMORROW.  THE MAIN THREAT WITH BONNIE WILL CONTINUE TO
BE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER THE EASTERN PART OF NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A RISK OF MODERATE RIP CURRENTS NEAR THE
COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH
THURSDAY.  THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR
LOCAL FLASH FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY
SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 2 PM EDT

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON 2 NW                      2.23                     
GLASGOW                              2.01                     
NEW CASTLE                           1.94                     
TOWNSEND                             1.86                     
KITTS HUMMOCK                        1.82                     
PORT PENN                            1.64                     
WOODSIDE                             1.57                     
PRICES CORNER                        1.57                     
DOVER AFB                            1.50                     
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO ARPT            1.43                     

...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING                8.85                     
OLIVER 2 SW                          7.74                     
MARLOW                               7.46                     
NEWINGTON 1 S                        4.92                     
BLICHTON 1 ESE                       4.62                     
ROCKY FORD 1 SSW                     4.07                     
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD                   2.69                     
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT                   1.57                     

...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT                   2.31                     
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT                1.59                     
TAUNTON MUNI ARPT                    1.21                     
BOSTON/LOGAN                         1.13                     

...MARYLAND...
GALENA                               3.51                     
CARVILLE 3 W                         3.35                     
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT                 2.77                     
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT                  1.38                     
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS             1.31                     

...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP           8.21                     
MAYSVILLE 7.5 SSE                    5.42                     
BUXTON 1.0 ESE                       5.12                     
HOLDEN BEACH 0.6 E                   4.87                     
VARNAMTOWN 1.3 SSW                   3.71                     
FAYETTEVILLE 1.6 WSW                 3.29                     
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT            2.50                     
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT             2.45                     
SOUTHPORT/BRUNSWIC                   2.20                     
NEW BERN/CRAVEN CO. ARPT             2.17                     
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT               2.07                     
FORT BRAGG/FAYETTEVILLE              1.47                     
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO ARPT       1.45                     
CHAPEL HILL/WILLIAMS ARPT            1.34                     

...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TOWNSHIP                    4.52                     
EAST WINDSOR TWP                     3.91                     
WESTAMPTON TWP                       3.50                     
TRENTON 5 ESE                        3.16                     
SPRINGDALE 3 W                       3.14                     
MOUNT HOLLY WFO                      3.08                     
SEWELL                               2.93                     
TURNERSVILLE 2 S                     2.76                     
MATAWAN 1 WSW                        2.76                     
TOTTENVILLE 8 S                      2.52                     
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AIRPORT           1.81                     
NEWARK INTL ARPT                     1.60                     

...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY                        1.65                     
NEW YORK/LA GUARDIA                  1.53                     

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS                                3.49                     
POHOPOCO CREEK                       3.09                     
KRESGEVILLE                          3.08                     
PALMERTON 6 ENE                      3.00                     
WALNUTPORT                           2.70                     
DREXEL HILL                          2.51                     
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT           2.35                     
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT        2.32                     
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA               2.30                     
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT               1.51                     

...RHODE ISLAND...
PROVIDENCE/PO WARWICK                1.50                     
WESTERLY STATE ARPT                  1.35                     
NEWPORT                              1.33                     

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
RIDGELAND 5.8 ESE                   10.43                     
OLD HOUSE 1 SSE                     10.36                     
VARNVILLE 6.7 SW                     9.03                     
LENA 4 ENE                           9.03                     
NORTH CHARLESTON 2.6 NW              8.61                     
ARCHDALE 2 NE                        8.61                     
BRUNSON 1.6 SSW                      6.45                     
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW                   6.44                     
JOHNS ISLAND 4 SE                    6.24                     
ALLENDALE 1 S                        6.14                     
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11                  6.11                     
CALAWASSIE ISLAND                    6.05                     
CHARLESTON AIRPORT                   5.27                     
BEAUFORT 2 N                         4.60                     

...VIRGINIA...
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT                  2.56                     
RICHMOND                             2.35                     
WALLOPS ISLAND                       2.02                     
NORFOLK NAS                          1.87                     
TINKER CREEK                         1.39                     
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON                  1.24                     
PETERSBURG                           1.21                     
BUCHANAN 1 WNW                       1.02                     


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 01/2100Z 33.8N 76.0W
12HR VT 02/0600Z 34.2N 75.4W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 02/1800Z 34.7N 75.0W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 03/0600Z 35.3N 74.0W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 03/1800Z 35.4N 72.0W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW