POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL092017
1000 AM CDT FRI SEP 01 2017
...HARVEY NOW POST TROPICAL WITH HEAVY RAIN MOVING INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY...SEVERE FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS FAR EASTERN TEXAS AND
WESTERN LOUISIANA...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.4N 87.1W
ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...NW OF NASHVILLE TENNESSEE
ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM...ESE OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM PARTS OF
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI ACROSS WESTERN TENNESSEE
...KENTUCKY...SOUTHERN INDIANA...AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.
FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN
TEXAS...INCLUDING THE HOUSTON METROPOLITAN AREA...AND INTO WESTERN
LOUISIANA
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.4 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 87.1
WEST. RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A LOSS OF MOST TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS. MUCH OF THE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS ARE ORGANIZED
TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT.
HARVEY IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY AND WEAKENS
INTO SATURDAY. AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ARRIVING FROM THE GREAT LAKES
SHOULD BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH THE HARVEY IN OHIO ON SATURDAY AND
THIS IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT A SECONDARY EXTRATROPICAL LOW OVER NEW
ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB... 29.59
INCHES.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
-------
RAINFALL...RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN FROM WESTERN KENTUCKY
INTO SOUTHEASTERN INDIANA, SOUTHERN OHIO AND WESTERN WEST
VIRGINIA. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
AROUND NORTHERN KENTUCKY. THESE RAINS WILL ENHANCE THE FLASH
FLOODING RISK ACROSS THESE AREAS. MEANWHILE, WIDESPREAD SEVERE
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN AND AROUND HOUSTON, BEAUMONT/PORT
ARTHUR/ORANGE, AND EASTWARD AROUND THE LOUISIANA BORDER THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL IN THE AFFECTED AREA IF YOU
ARE IN A SAFE PLACE. DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED ROADWAYS.
...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 10
AM CDT
...ALABAMA...
GASQUE 8.00
BONSECOUR 7.91
GRAND BAY 10.5 NE 6.81
FOLEY 7.4 SW 6.44
ELBERTA 6.31
ORANGE BEACH 6.03
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW 6.01
MOBILE REGIONAL AIRPORT 5.83
MOBILE/BATES FIELD 5.83
FAIRHOPE 5.77
GULF SHORES 5.60
SUMMERDALE 4.73
MONTROSE 4.52
DAPHNE 0.4 SW 4.42
FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL 3W 4.35
SONNY CALLAHAN ARPT 4.32
...ARKANSAS...
WATSON 9 N 9.96
LAKE POINSETT RAWS 6.63
MAMMOTH SPRINGS 2 SSE 6.42
LITTLE DIXIE 6.24
CANAL 43 N. NEAR DUMAS 6.03
HARRISBURG 4.33
STUTTGART MUNI ARPT 4.33
FELSENTHAL 7 NNW 3.21
CROSSETT 0.9 S 2.79
JONESBORO MUNI ARPT 2.01
...FLORIDA...
PENSACOLA REGIONAL AIRPORT 7.95
MILTON 7.33
UNIVERSITY WEST 2.0 WNW 6.36
CRESTVIEW - SIKES ARPT 5.63
PACE 5.35
GULF BREEZE 5.28
PANAMA CITY ARPT 4.03
...GEORGIA...
COLUMBUS METRO ARPT 2.04
ATLANTA RGNL ARPT - FALCON FIELD 1.70
...KENTUCKY...
GREEN RIVER NEAR BROWNSVILLE 1 NE 8.82
RUSSELLVILLE 2 W 8.20
BARREN RIVER AT BOWLING GREEN 7.59
ELKTON 5 SW 7.19
PLANO 2 ENE 5.73
FRANKLIN 2 NE 5.58
BOWLING GREEN 1 WNW 4.80
AUBURN 6 WNW 4.39
PROVIDENCE 3 ENE 4.32
BOWLING GREEN 2 NW 4.23
RUSSELLVILLE 2 NNW 4.14
CORINTH 3 SW 4.06
...LOUISIANA...
BAYOU CONWAY 22.25
BAYOU TORO NEAR TORO 20.62
KENNER GULLY AT MARK LEBLEU 18.23
CALCASIEU RVR AT OLD TOWN BA 18.15
W-14 AT JOE SPEARS RD 17.85
W-6 AT WARD LINE ROAD 17.24
MOSS BLUFF 16.70
BELFIELD DITCH AT BELFIELD ROAD 16.37
IOWA 0.9 ESE 16.36
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT GOOS RD 16.02
BAYOU ARSENE AT HECKER ROAD 15.84
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT HWY 171 15.74
LAKE CHARLES 11.5 SSW 15.41
RAGLEY 5.0 SE 15.18
EB L-14 AT IOWA BASEBALL FIELD 14.85
INDIAN BAYOU AT COFFEY ROAD 14.10
TOPSY 4 NNW 14.08
LACASSINE BAYOU AT LORRAIN BRIDGE 13.04
ZAVALLA 2 ENE 12.87
SULPHUR 2.2 E 12.54
BON WIER 2 ENE 12.44
HACKBERRY 5 SSE 12.33
CONTRABAND BAYOU AT 18TH STREET 12.28
WELSH 0.7 W 12.26
W-4 AT NELSON ROAD 12.12
GILLIS 4 WSW 12.11
FORT POLK 11.96
BUXTON CREEK AT DOUGLAS ROAD 11.21
CHOUPIQUE BAYOU AT HWY 90 11.02
LACASSINE NATIONAL 2 ENE 10.55
BAYOU DINDE AT PICARD ST 9.76
LEBLEU SETTLEMENT 2 WNW 9.64
FORKED ISLAND 5 ENE 9.37
BUNDICK CREEK NEAR DE RIDDER 9.26
PECAN ISLAND 2 E 9.14
LAKE CHARLES MUNI ARPT 9.08
NEW IBERIA/ACADIANA 8.92
VERNON - FTS 8.77
LAFAYETTE RGNL ARPT 7.14
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 5.88
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT 5.33
ENGLAND AFB/ALEXANDRIA 4.84
SLIDELL AIRPORT 3.82
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT 3.17
...MISSISSIPPI...
GAUTIER 8.27
SANDHILL CRANE - FTS 7.90
GRAND BAY 6.06
OCEAN SPRINGS 3.6 ESE 4.61
MOSS POINT - TRENT LOTT INTL ARPT 4.55
PASCAGOULA 4.54
PEARLINGTON 4.4 N 3.99
JOURDAN RIVER NEAR KILN 3.35
TANGIPAHOA RIVER AT OSYKA 3.15
TYLERTOWN 9 WNW 3.08
NATCHEZ/HARDY 2.91
KEESLER AFB/BILOXI 2.55
GULFPORT-BILOXI 2.40
...TENNESSEE...
RED RIVER AT PORT ROYAL 9.17
LAKELAND 8.15
LEXINGTON 7.44
FAIRVIEW BOWIE NATURE CENTER 7.12
MILLEDGEVILLE 2 S 6.78
SPRINGFIELD ROBERTSON CNTY ARPT 6.15
CLARKSVILLE 6.10
CENTERVILLE 15 NE 5.02
JACKSON MCKELLAR-SIPES RGNL ARPT 4.30
MEMPHIS INTL ARPT 4.05
NASHVILLE INTL ARPT 3.58
...TEXAS...
CEDAR BAYOU AT FM 1942 51.88
CLEAR CREEK AT I-45 49.40
DAYTON 0.2 E 49.23
MARYS CREEK AT WINDING ROAD 49.20
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 47.35
SANTA FE 0.7 S 46.70
PASADENA 4.4 WNW 45.74
HORSEPEN CREEK AT BAY AREA BLVD 45.60
SOUTH HOUSTON 4.0 SSW 44.91
BERRY BAYOU AT FOREST OAKS BLVD 44.80
BERRY BAYOU AT NEVADA 44.44
FRIENDSWOOD 2.5 NNE 44.05
LITTLE VINCE BAYOU AT BURKE RD 43.52
HOUSTON WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE 43.38
LEAGUE CITY 2.7 NE 43.32
WEBSTER 0.4 NW 43.32
LNVA CHEEK CANAL AT DITCH 407 43.11
LITTLE CEDAR BAYOU AT 8TH ST 42.32
ARMAND BAYOU AT GENOA-RED BLUFF RD 42.16
TURKEY CREEK AT FM 1959 42.12
BOONDOCKS RD AT TAYLORS BA 41.86
ARMAND BAYOU AT PASADENA LAKE 41.20
TAYLOR LAKE AT NASA ROAD 1 40.44
SH 124 AT HILLEBRANDT BAYOU 38.18
MAHAW BAYOU AT ENGLIN RD 37.75
JACINTO CITY 37.60
HUNTING BAYOU AT LOOP 610 EAST 37.00
TELEPSEN 36.60
MAHAW BAYOU AT BRUSH ISLAND ROAD 36.53
FIRST COLONY 4 WSW 36.34
BEAMER DITCH HUGHES RD 36.32
LA PORTE 1 N 36.24
BAYTOWN 2 NW 35.64
MOUNT HOUSTON 35.60
HOUSTON/CLOVER FIELD 33.37
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 31.26
KATY 6 NE 31.23
HOUSTON/WILL HOBBY 27.88
HOUSTON/D.W. HOOKS 27.01
GALVESTON/SCHOLES 22.84
COLLEGE STATION 2 SSW 19.64
VICTORIA 3.8 NW 15.60
AUSTIN 4 SSE 10.28
AUSTIN/MUELLER MUNI ARPT 10.07
CORPUS CHRISTI 3.6 S 6.23
...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...
...TEXAS...
PORT ARANSAS 2 ENE 132
COPANO VILLAGE 1 ENE 125
LAMAR 2 SSW 110
ROCKPORT 1 S 108
TAFT 5 NNE 90
MAGNOLIA BEACH 8 ESE 79
EDNA 73
FLOUR BLUFF 4 ESE 72
ARANSAS PASS 7 SE 71
CLEAR LAKE SHORES 1 WSW 71
BRAZOS 451 70
PALACIOS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 69
CORPUS CHRISTI NAS 5 SE 65
GANADO 7 S 64
LA WARD 64
BAYOU VISTA 13 E 61
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 58
QUINTANA 1 NE 58
SUGAR LAND MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 58
JONES CREEK 9 SW 55
LA MARQUE 2 E 55
FREEPORT 1 ESE 54
SAN LEON 19 E 54
MISSOURI CITY 1 SE 53
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 53
WEBSTER 53
BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 52
GONZALES AIRPORT 52
NASSAU BAY 52
TEXAS CITY 4 ENE 52
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER KREKELER
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 01/1500Z 36.4N 87.1W
12HR VT 02/0000Z 37.4N 85.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 02/1200Z 38.5N 84.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 03/0000Z 40.3N 83.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 03/1200Z 43.0N 79.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
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